One year after being bought for $44 billion, X is worth $19 billion

Still seems way overpriced. Doesn't even have name recognition anymore.

I'd guess that $19 billion is the value where if someone bought it and did their best to undo everything and get it back on track, that's how much it would be worth.
The problem with measuring value is you have to quantify what that $19 billion actually is. Like you could say it's the share price times the number of shares, except now twitter is privately owned we don't have a market share price anymore.
- Theoretically what someone would pay for it. The buyer always has plans to make it better.
  Or the textbook definition, the present value of the sum of all future profits.
- it's x's own current valuation, to calculate stock options to give to employees
I wonder if that’s a portion of why it’s devalued so much. I mean I know there’s a dozen or more other reasons but brand recognition could very well be one of them.
- Take a look at their user data over the past year with the name change date in mind.
  It’s is absolutely ASTONISHING how fucking moronic and empty headed Elon Musk is. A literal idiot with all the money.
People recognize it, just not as X lol
They surely still own the twitter name right
- Can any trademark lawyer in the audience tell us how long before, if Musk lets the trademark lapse, some rando could come along and make a Twitter clone while literally just calling it "Twitter?"
Yeah it's never going to be called just "X", it's always going to be "X, formerly twitter".
Just like Prince the whole time he changed his name to that symbol.
- Prince wanted people to call him Prince. He changed his name to that symbol to get out of a shitty contract with Warner Bros.
  "Warner Bros took the name, trademarked it, and used it as the main marketing took to promote all of the music I wrote," Prince once said in a press release. "The company owns the name Prince and all related music marketed under Prince. I became merely a pawn used to produce more money for Warner Bros."
  https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-36107590
  Elon changed Twitter to X because he's a babyman who never got over the fact that PayPal didn't like the name.
- I really wish xitter had have caught on.
I thought it was valued at 15 billion when he bought it? Maybe that's how much he received from the Saudis.

I don't get that platform. I just signed up for mastodon and am not sure I'm feeling that either.

I feel like these Twitter-style sites are just ...like... Keyboard warriors. It's just smug post after smug post.

It honestly creeps me out. Like I see all these popular political posts by profile icons I recognize.... But every post is just whinging...

Who are these people and why do they get popularity and even mentioned on the news as truth when their posts have no sources and are just bullshit political emotion. Then you read a news article that "Twitter is cancelling....". All because there was one post about with someone acting like a dick.

In its ideal form, a microblog style site could literally provide an online version of a collective consciousness of society. It would be a live feed of normal people's thoughts.
Except in reality it's porn, smug posting, corporate advertising, vitriol, and propaganda all fueled by algorithms written to keep mofos scrolling.
- It was good for two things: on the ground news, and speaking directly to businesses to resolve customer complaints.
- Porn, smug posting, and vitriol? Sounds like collective consciousness of society to me.
- You don't get advertising or algorithmic crap on Mastodon, and they have reasonably reliable filters to hide most porn I think
- Would the collective consciousness actually be interesting to read?
Honestly the format is good for stuff like quick business headlines and rumors that you could use if you're trading (basically free "squawk", given that professional squawk services cost a lot). It's also good to quickly spread the word during protests or similar.
But I agree that all of that is still offset by the huge amount of smugness and "ratio" competitions.
- Yeah that's a fair summary. It's brands doing announcements and ads, and people being assholes. Why would I be interested in either?
Any social media that involves Followers are destined to be bin fires.
I tried mastodon, some of it is sweet, but eventually you voice a different opinion to someone with lots of followers, and get attacked by the tribe.
All depends on who you follow. If you follow people who make stuff (art, software, etc) then you’ll find your feed a lot more upbeat.
- Still, on another platform (such as Lemmy) they could make more meaningful posts.
I'm with you. Lots of randoms giving their opinions on something that other randoms can show their support for? Huh... alright, I guess.

To put this in perspective, they lost an average of $2B per month in value. According to HUD, there were about 582,000 homeless people in the US last year. $2B per month is enough to house all of them nearly 4 times over if you assume $1k per month in housing expenses.

What a monumental waste of resources that could have made a difference. Musk just sucks

It's not real money, though. It's all just speculative value based on estimates of future revenue.
The real barrier to ending homelessness is the large number of real estate vacancies that are held open to prop up the price of the housing market. Twitter's lost value has nothing to do with that.
- But the 44B was payed, so they do/did exist. Now he could have just NOT bought twitter and spent half of this money on the poor et voilà no more homeless for at least 4 years.
  But you are right with the rest.
- There is no "real" money. It's all speculative based on what value people assign to it. For example, you may have noticed that the US dollar has become worth significantly less in recent years. Shares and fiat currency just have different volatility.
- You've missed the mark on two counts:
  Musk raised $44B of real money to buy Twitter and bring it into private ownership. I'm saying had he just left well enough alone, he could have used that money for other purposes
  Your point on adding more supply to the real estate market to prop up prices is the opposite of Econ 101 - more supply, all things equal, will reduce prices. Mental health is a much larger barrier to receiving help for the homeless.
  I used to volunteer weekly with homeless and housing insecure people in Philadelphia and untreated mental health or substance abuse was an issue for many. There are also barriers to receiving government aid that would assist them because many programs require an address or the process is unnecessarily complicated.
  Housing is just one step. They would also require a great deal of counseling, job training, and medical attention to reintegration into society. Anyway, my point was simply to illustrate what a magnificent waste of resources it was to buy Twitter.
- all the people that imagine their home prices are as high as they are, will fight tooth and nail to prevent this. the empty house market is crazy, just look on a "social home sharing site". houses are hotels for the few.

Lol it's not worth anything near that much

It's all gonna fold once interest rates get high enough. Didn't he borrow like 13 billion?

If only more people would move to Mastodon it could drop another 50% in value!

Please don't put more pressure on us, we're already telling people to do that.
- Haha I've been trying too.
Mastodon got a shout out on the latest Some More News, which was cool.

Makes sense.

Almost immediately after buying it, Elon enshittified the site - and not only that, but changed it's branding from one of the most recognisable names/logos in the world to a fucking "X" (almost always suffixed with "formerly Twitter" so people actually remember what the fuck it is)

almost always suffixed with "formerly Twitter" so people actually remember what the fuck it is
This continues to bring me such joy.
- I will never stop calling it twatter
- Ditto - and I hope it angers Elon with every mention
It’s not even a unique X. The exact X they’re using as a logo already exists as a Unicode character 𝕏
- Wow, that makes it even worse. Couldn't even be bothered to pay someone to make a logo, just stole it from Unicode

WORTH 19 BILLION TO WHO??

No one willing to buy, so it ain't worth shit
Aquaman might go for it

I mean that’s based on what Elon said, so that’s vastly over estimated.

I was expecting much less than that. o_O

That's because it isn't worth nearly that.
It was estimated at around $20 bil when he bought it. Since then he has more than cut revenue in half. The value today is at most $ 10 bil.
Except Musk has added a burden of $ 20 bil in debt, causing interest cost of $1.5 bil per year.
Twitter was not earning money when Musk bought it, but now it operates at huge deficits, and has huge negative internal value.
So the company has a net negative value. The only value may come from losses being tax deductible to a buyer. But that too is worth way less than the debt. Any value is completely speculative, based on a belief against evidence, that the company can still be turned around.
- And tax deductions on a loss are still a loss. Tax write-offs are a partial mitigation. They're taken off income, not directly from taxes.
  If your tax rate is 25% and you write off a $100 loss, you still lose a net $75. Yeah, if you make negative money you may avoid some taxes entirely, but not all. There's still payroll tax, property tax, sales tax, and more that are isolated from corporate income tax.
  A write-off will never make a company that's losing money before taxes profitable. They just soften the blow.
- The value of twitter isn't its revenue but rather its userbase. Which is still extremely strong.

…Yaccarino said that revenues grew in the high-single digit percentage…

She should start her own line of perfume. Desperation, by Linda Yaccarino.

Guaranteed to make you smell Musky.
She's gotta be getting some serious compensation to throw her reputation in the garbage like this. I just can't see how it makes any other sense for her in the long run.

This guy has the attention span of a circus flea, doesn't he?

I'm high af and buying Twitter. Hate speech is lol because I feel unloved. Advertisers you go now, you damned J's. We don't need qualified staff for 2.0 I know how to paste code. Ok now we're gonna make hella $ with "verified". Shit. Ok I gotta unplug some servers and refactor. I know PHP. A child looked me in the eyes but he couldn't see into me like I know the others do. Now we're X for some reason. Now we're revenue sharing. I like to lie. Now we're subscriptions, babby. No we're gonna facilitate financial transactions in a challenge to the banking sector now cuz they got my nuts in a fukkin' vice here Linda!

$19 billion is still a lot. Boys, lets try to bring it down to $19 million

Let's bring it down to $19.00.
- I'll buy Twitter for 20 bucks!

Transforming Twitter into an 'everything' app is a terrible idea. Why? Take WeChat, for example. Initially a messaging app, it now incorporates a multitude of services including short video clips similar to YouTube, Twitter-like posts (for friends only), a wallet linked to a bank card, and more. One of my Chinese friends said, 'You won't find anyone in China who doesn't use WeChat because it has everything we need!' It seems that users are quite satisfied with the services WeChat provides.

However, they may be overlooking the drawbacks of such centralized applications:

Privacy issues: Identity verification is required; without it, most features are inaccessible.
Censorship: I suspect that all communications are stored on a central server, with algorithms designed to detect sensitive content or keywords related to politics, NSFW material, etc. Since it's linked to your identity, you could easily end up on a blacklist.
Account suspension: The developer has the power to suspend accounts at any time due to the centralized nature of the system.
Security risks: If someone gains access to your phone or passcode, they could access your money, your contacts' information, and your personal details, since it's an 'everything' app.
Manipulation: Show those news that the country or the company want us to, hide those that are not helpful to them.

These issues and risks are inherent in centralized platforms and social media but consolidating them into an 'everything' app only amplifies the risks. My friend mentioned that WeChat hasn't introduced a subscription fee yet, but Twitter and other services have.

I mean, an 'everything' app might be feasible in a restricted country like China, in the United States? Hell not! But, Big Tech and governments have the monopolistic power to make these things happen, so we have to find alternatives. The sooner we migrate, the sooner we can reduce the risks that I mentioned above.

The digital world is incredible, but also dangerous. It's best that we start protecting our own privacy rights, our right to speak freely, and our right to control our own minds and discern the truth.

Wechat als always had the backing of the central government. They got funding and, probably more important, the government slowed or outright banned other apps. The Verge has a good piece on it.
- Pretty soon he’ll have so much control over his platform that he can practically cron kings and manipulate outcomes to fit his personal political agenda.
  Huh.... do kings normally consist of commands that need to be run on a regular basis at scheduled times?
- When you say "not as fast", what does that mean?
However, they may be overlooking the drawbacks of such centralized applications
My guy it's wechat. It's china. The drawbacks are that they are chinese.
Nobody questions the drawbacks of your entire life being on an app and you being valued on a social score.
Those are all pros for Musk, he's an ego maniac and wants all that power to be able to manipulate and control people.
I'm only starting to realize now that the Fediverse kinda follows the unix philosophy of purpose-built interconnectable pieces interfacing with each other. It's much better than the alternative of just slapping everything into one cumbersome pile.
I'm not very well versed in the Fediverse so this may be wrong.
- No, you're right. Theoretically, you could even have a single login for multiple Fediverse sites (Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, etc.).
  Technically speaking, I believe you could even comment on this thread via Mastodon if you wanted to since both Lemmy and Mastodon use something called the ActivityPub protocol. But the reverse isn't true since Lemmy isn't configured correctly to view Mastodon content.

Seems like the buyer was very dumb

He still is and will probably always be
- I don't think you can recover from being that dumb.

Is it, though?

Its a digital message board on some overpriced servers.

Is this the wikipedia-argument back at him? The whole twitter post history could fit on a single hard drive, so why are people paying for it?
- That argument is unfair anyway, cause what fits on a hard drive gets bigger every year.
And a lot of consumers on it
Considering that almost every public lib continues to use it, there is something to it, even if only the network advantage.

https://elonmuskisaturd.com/

it's only worth what someone is willing to pay for it

We start the bid at $20.
Do we have $20?
Remember bidders that Twitter...ahem...X?.. X... Okay...X... Still has employees...really?...employees that are clearly loyal and easily controllable, as well as a nominal amount of IT equipment.

Personally I am going to miss the random problematic tweets by famous people that they later blame on medication.

Roseanne?
- Not anymore
They can do the same stupid shit on Threads or BlueSky. Let's keep them away from Mastodon.

Lol. What a dumbass.

Its funny how this headline keeps coming up every couple of weeks with a smaller number each time.

I dont know how they generate these evaluations, and honestly I dont even trust they are accurate. Or care, my life is fully uneffected by the success or failure of that site.

But it is always funny to read the new nearly identical headline with the number shifted down by 1-4 billion from last time.

Companies such as Fidelity give an estimate on how much they are value after analyzing the finances of the company I think.

Elon Musk was born on third base but tells everyone he hit a triple.

His parents literally owned slaves.
He was a white kid in South Africa. Even if he was dirt poor and born into a broken home, in he was still further ahead than most of the country. Born at least on first or second base.
Then he had an upbringing of privilege. Mental and physical healthcare, plenty of food, fancy trips and parties, tutors and tuition, as much money as he wanted to start businesses; dude never wanted for anything. Elon being self made is an absolute lie.
My man, Lonnie, was born on third base and managed to kick the ball into the catcher's mitt when he tried to slide into home base.

Who gives shit? Let it sink. Let it be forgotten. Stop giving it attention.

Higher than I expected.

This is like your neighbor gifting you their child's drawing and saying it's worth $100.
Without somebody actually buying at that price, it's just a made up number.

When will these eLon simps finally admit to themselves that the person they've been idolizing is a dumb bitch?

That's what X is valuing itself at, not what it's worth. We'll get a better sense of what it's worth when it goes back on the market or goes bankrupt, whichever happens first. Right now I have a hard time imagining anyone would pay that much for it. For context Snapchat, which has had a lot more success with advertising lately, is worth about $16 billion.

Is this just part of the playbook for him to not have to pay taxes by saying he lost all his money??

Most of his money is in Tesla stock, seeing how that's been going ~~Twitter~~ X will be the last of his money, rather sad huh?
- Not even in this slightest is that sad. The economy correcting for the wrong person having massive wealth.
Only if he sells it

I'm so tired of Musk...Can we please shoot him into the immense vacuum of space aboard one of his precious Teslas?

It actually would be pretty easy to ignore him but this place is absolutely obsessed with dissecting his every move.
- The so called muskie haters are the most fanboi of him after all
Only if Trump is in the frunk.
There's a lot of drama around him, and some because of his own stupidity and pot stirring, but maybe the world could do with more like him.
Though he may not be self-made in the sense of lifting himself out of poverty into success. He does work pretty damn hard to forward his companies and the goals he sets, so that's admirable.
Surely a big reason he gets so much flak is because he enjoys being in the public eye, unlike Bezos, for example.
Public figures like Musk draw an annoying and undeserved amout of attention, though. I mean there's so much else happening in the world more worthy of our time, but that doesn't generate ad-revenue now does it?
- Ummm... The goals he sets are... Not good. Doesn't matter how hard you work if your hard work is destroying a company.

Twitter is actually a pretty cool place. Especially if you like nazi things and boner ads.

A job creator at work. What an impressive sight.

If it keeps trajectory ill be able to afford the whole of twitter

Is that before or after you factor in the $13 billion debt it took on to buy itself on Musk's behalf?

Works hard to forward his companies like X which lost billions in value cos of his stupidity? Where's his Hyperloop? I wouldn't buy a Tesla if it were the only car in existence. I'm even tired of his name.

sound investment

I am so happy for that🥰

And Elon really thinks folks are gonna trust him with their money.

Does Musk have a short position we don’t know about?

He took it private so, although there can be shares, they aren't traded on the open market. So no positions to short.

Shoulda shorted the fk outta it, lol.

It's called "eloning"

can't know how much is worth until is sold again

"No low ballers, I know what I've got!" - Musk, probably
I don't think anyone will buy it ever again

When will it be worth zero? At a rate of $2 billion per month, 10 months??

LOL

All according to plan.

To whom? Is anyone willing to buy it?

Maybe the old Twitter execs will buy it for that price. Musk should ask. Lol
- Yea..Parag is a badass. Musk was trying to weasel out of the deal but Parag made him buy it and to make the deal even better, Parag got fired, which gave him millions of dollars for free (golden parachute).
- Even then, there's not much to buy given Musk fired all the talent.

LOL

consider where the stock was trading at the year before he bought it. he got a discount, basically. a lot of people who had been holding shares lost money to the richest guy on earth. and then he threw the money away burning down Twitter.

More financial/business news in the technology community?

It's almost like our entire world of modern technology is inextricably connected to the economics that support it.
- That doesn't make it news about tech though

Interesting. And what's the right one worth? Do you have a need for two?

Hadn't it already massively dropped in value before the purchase was finalized, and that's why he wanted to back out? How is everybody overlooking that?

Twitter was never worth anywhere close to the 40 billion he publicly announced he'd pay for it whether or not a "significant" drop before purchase occurred.