shawn1122 @ shawn1122 @lemm.ee

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They must enter a unique switch serial number (that corresponds with inventory) to make the purchase? Don't see why it has to be contigent on a subscription.

America is the epicenter of the dis and misinformation distrubution machine that is social media. It was bound to be an issue eventually. Flew too close to the sun. AI/LLMs will only accelerate the process.

In hindsight, it's amazing how ready the far right was for this new means of communication. Historically the left has been younger and more tech saavy but the far right seems like they're a decade ahead of the left when it comes to spreading their propoganda on social media.

Vance is more protectionist than Trump. Trump has surrounded himself with a group of people who believe in American exceptionalism and isolationism like a religion.

Laura Loomer (far right conspiracy theorist who plays Jigsaw in the Saw horror film franchise) came in and advised Trump to fire National Security Agency director Gen. Timothy Haugh as well as multiple others for disloyalty, in favour of more Trump-friendly appointees.

This is usually a a step before we go full Emperor has no clothes because intelligence is supposed to be apolitical. If Trump only wants intelligence that feels good to him, then the US is truly fucked.

Its doubtful that America will recover from this. The rest of the Western world needs to figure out how to make their soft landing.

The vast majority of Americans allowed for this by either voting for Trump or refraining from voting at all. There is certainly some global animosity towards the American voting public, though little has been said so far, as we wait to see if the people have any sway over the global recession their choice may cause.

Most of us have come to realize that the American government does not care about the world, which is fine. But this is the first time I've seen ordinary people around the world wish economic pain upon the American people, mostly because they know it's the only reason that their government will change course.

At no point in my lifetime has America's allies wished pain upon its people. It's precedent setting and these attitudes are not going to go away overnight. Trust is a very hard to rebuild.

America's allies invoked Article 5 of the NATO agreement after the attack on September 11th, 2001. Our countrymen then put their lives on the line (some of whom died) for several questionable American led military incursions.

This is a betrayal that likely won't be forgotten in either of our lifetimes. Anyone who thinks that the US can just vote in a democrat in 2028 and everything will go back to normal is kidding themselves.

This is what the ARC-AGI test by Chollet has also revealed of current AI / LLMs. They have a tendency to approach problems with this trial and error method and can be extremely inefficient (in their current form) with anything involving abstract / deductive reasoning.

Most LLMs do terribly at the test with the most recent breakthrough being with reasoning models. But even the reasoning models struggle.

ARC-AGI is simple, but it demands a keen sense of perception and, in some sense, judgment. It consists of a series of incomplete grids that the test-taker must color in based on the rules they deduce from a few examples; one might, for instance, see a sequence of images and observe that a blue tile is always surrounded by orange tiles, then complete the next picture accordingly. It’s not so different from paint by numbers.

The test has long seemed intractable to major AI companies. GPT-4, which OpenAI boasted in 2023 had “advanced reasoning capabilities,” didn’t do much better than the zero percent earned by its predecessor. A year later, GPT-4o, which the start-up marketed as displaying “text, reasoning, and coding intelligence,” achieved only 5 percent. Gemini 1.5 and Claude 3.7, flagship models from Google and Anthropic, achieved 5 and 14 percent, respectively.

https://archive.is/7PL2a

The stakes in Canada are certainly higher than in the US where many do not know or are just now learning what a tariff is.

Perhaps this election is less vibes based due to those high stakes but I do feel Carney is the right vibe, or at least the one Canadians are looking for, even if it is not intentional and just happens to be who he is.

He is in many ways the antithesis to Trump, in terms of being relatively dry and matter of fact, which is the type of leader Canadians are looking to rally around.

I appreciate your insights. Far right wolf-in-sheeps-clothing conservatives have seen success globally by presenting themselves as reformists and it seemed like Canada was about to go down the same path.

Perhaps it wouldn't have played out that way once Poilievre's lack of substance received broader scrutinity but Trudeau's and the Liberal party's approval rating just a few months ago would suggest otherwise. Poilievre, Jenni Byrne and the rest of the conservative party likely assumed this would be a cakewalk.

Credit to Trudeau for realizing people were tired of him and Canada for having a system where a new leader could be voted in by the party before an election was called, so that it didn't turn into the shitshow that was the Biden-Harris handoff.

His policy proposals are acceptable but in this day and age that is not how elections are won, especially with misinformation being pumped directly into our veins.

Elections are won on vibes and he comes across as calm and rational in a time when Canadians are desperate for that energy (with an agent of chaos ie. Trump breathing down our collective necks).

If we're being completely real, the liberals were getting decimated in this election regardless of who they put forth if not for Trump's aggressive threats towards Canada's sovereignty and economy.

Trump's actions will create a power vacuum that will benefit the worlds biggest players, especially China.

But smaller players may also have a chance to jump a few rungs on the influence ladder. Could Canada be one of those nations?

Most people are afraid of how tariffs will tank the global economy (which they will) but there may be a small window of oppurtunity here too.

America pulled itself out of the great depression by becoming the worlds largest weapons manufacturer and staying out of WW2 until the very end.

They feel that they have been doing their allies a favor by having military bases in key locations that have allowed these nations to spend less than 2% of their GDP on defense.

This administration would like to reset the world order so that these countries pay for their own defense. Isolationists like JD Vance strongly believe in this.

They also know that allies will likely buy weapons from them which will help balance trade imbalances.

Here's the problem - there is no situation where this does not lead to nuclear proliferation. It's essentially inevitable if America continues down this path.

Also, when nations invest more in their militaries, they are more likely to use them, with or without adequate justification. The US is a prime example of this.

Perhaps the post WW2 period of relative peace and prosperity is about to come to an end, along with the concept of the Western world - leaving a power vacuum that I'm sure China and Russia are eager to capitalize on.

The prayer is to capitalism

I wouldn't label the women as unsuspecting. We all knew who Musk was in Jan 2024. A concious choice was made to sexually engage with a terrible person. That is bound to have some unsavory reprecussions.

You better listen otherwise I'll crash my economy!

Divesting in fascism is the only way forward.

Staring at Instagram and TikTok updooting anti fascist content and whining about the Democrats.

None of those affect Canadians directly. At the end of the day we're all just monkies fighting for resources.

When America says 'we own you now and if you fight it, we'll make sure you starve' it's a different conversation.

People don't (nor should they) take it likely when he says he's going to use economic force. Canada already has an affordability crisis with its social services under incredible strain. If he proceeds full throttle, Canadians will die.

Free speech for any white person born on US soil absolutist just doesn't have the same ring to it.

I think those outside the US figured it was only a matter of time. The US voting population has only become more disengaged and the country has created and is the epicenter of most social media misinformation campaigns.

The US pulled itself out of the great depression first through regulation via the new deal and then by selling military equipment to allied nations during WW2 (essentially leveraging its geographical isolation during the war). Its been addicted to making and selling military equipment since then, in part due to the cold war but I think we can all agree there have been a few wars along the way that were essentially treated as test runs.

Hoover's nearly 50% tariff on agriculture stretched the depression out by a few years. If we take history as any indication, tariffs are typically either a buildup to complete economic collapse or to a public bailout. One of those seems more likely than the other now. What would a 21st century 'New Deal' even look like?

That's certainly an oversimplification.

Science has representatives that are susceptible to the flaws in human thinking that are also apparent in religion. The recent pandemic made that very clear.

There is a scientific community that has good and bad players in it. Science doesn't get to wash itself of human corruption just because it's a process

He has a very clear handle on this. He's going to siphon the money made on tariffs to him and his cronies through some form of subsidy.

There are multiple points in human history where science has overestimated itself.

In Abrahamic religions, God is all knowing, not people. Eastern religions are more abstract, some have all knowing deities and some do not.