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2 yr. ago

  • Thing is, same as with GHz, you have to do it as much as you can until the gains get too small. You do that, then you move on to the next optimization. Like ai has and is now optimizing test time compute, token quality, and other areas.

  • Worst case scenario, I don't think money spent on supercomputers is the worst way to spend money. That in itself has brought chip design and development forward. Not to mention ai is already invaluable with a lot of science research. Invaluable!

  • Thats not disingenuous. Theres is nothing Russia wants more. There is no doubt that the optics of this would be that USA and Europe have kneeled before Russia.

    The only part of America that wants to dramatically reduce support is MAGA. They might succeed, but not without consequences.

  • Some might flee, but many have not. Wars throughout history have shown that nations at war tend to find ways to replenish their forces, whether through conscription, training new recruits, or integrating foreign volunteers. The idea that Ukraine would simply "run out" of soldiers is an oversimplification.

  • That is not a number of total soldiers lost.

    But even if it is. In a scenario where the current army was not enough they could do a full scale mobilization and that would mean they have enough soldiers for many many years.

  • I don't think you can claim that a few of you 3 word sentences describe the entirety of the war. That's not serious.

    The Americans are not growing tired of sending weapons. Not if you look at the polls. Only the current administration has certain ideas about stopping support, but it's not clear if they actually will, because of three internal political situation and diplomatic standing of US in the world. European support is even growing.

  • Which casualties number? Medvedev one, claiming that Ukraine had a million dead?

    Reality is that this war can go on for a decade and both sides will have enough troops. Also warring countries don't run out of troops or anything. That's not how reality works. There would be a lot of other major problems long before a warring side would run out of troops.

  • With limited support, while Russia has been losing an unsustainable amount of manpower to occupy less that 1% of the territory in a year. Losing US support will be really bad, but right now the frontlines have been fortified and Ukraine has built up a lot of weapons industry to produce it's own weapons. I'm not saying it's going to be easy without US support (even though we cannot say 100% that is really going to happen), what I'm saying is that the situation is way way way more nuanced and complicated than you are claiming.