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  • Trump’s popularity is lower than any President at this point in their presidency. I think there are a lot of “moderates” and uninformed voters who are starting to regret their choice.

    Once he starts axing Medicare/medicare and going after social security and other popular programs it is only going to get worse.

    Just remember there will be roughly 20 to 30 percent who are hard core MAGA who will never change their minds no matter how bad it gets.

  • Give it 30 to 60 days and the Trump Presidency will collapse.

    He’s pissing off too many people. He has the lowest approval rating at this point in his Presidency. He has MAGA stalwarts like the New York Post running front page articles against his dealings with Russia.

    The stock market is starting to show cracks because of his malfeasance on tariffs and his treatment of allies.

    He’s going after the FBI, CIA, and every other alphabet agency. Say what you want about them, they are filled with people who now fear for their jobs in a way they have never had to. That is not how a large agency runs long term.

    Finally they need to pass a budget and raise the debt ceiling. All things Republicans have proven incapable of on their own. At some point they will need to come and ask the Democrats for help in doing this or the government will default on the Republicans watch. At that point it will be game over. Trump will look weak and impotent.

    I don’t think Trump will have taken over enough of the government to overcome all of these challenges and hold onto power on his own.

    If he slows down and consolidates power maybe there will be a different outcome. But that’s not what project 2025 outlines. They want to break everything in the first 100 days. Hopefully he will have broken his own base in the process.

  • This is the pump before the dump. Institutional investors are slowly exiting and retail investors are making up most of the volume.

    We were due for a correction or crash but Biden and the Fed held it off long enough for the election. There is a lot of money sitting on the sidelines waiting to grab assets, housing etc on the cheap.

    Grifters like Trump can’t wait to get it started. In every crisis there is opportunity what Trump does with this crisis will likely reshape our government.

  • Not really feasible. The US has intelligence assets, spy satellites, AWACs, munitions spare parts, etc. that Europe can’t easily replace or doesn’t hold the rights to distribute to Ukraine without US consent.

    There is a reason the US doesn’t have universal healthcare.

  • FDIC insured up to $250,000 per account. So it’s mainly the little guys who enjoy the protection. FDIC did make all accounts even those over $250,000 whole.

    But yes if the Orange Baboon and Electric Hitler decide to fuck with the FDIC I would pull the bulk of my funds and look for offshore safe havens.

  • Lol sorry, every nation in Europe is a sovereign entity and is responsible for the safety of their citizens and the integrity of their borders.

    Poland made the decision to arm itself and has been spending for years. Lack of investment in the military is fundamentally a national decision to divert money into other programs or tax cuts.

    The US has been becoming less and less interested in the rules based order we built after WW2 for the last 20 years.

    Many people have predicted this would happen. You have only yourselves to blame.

  • Russia was a peer adversary and we had a very intelligent and calm president at the time.

    Today France can’t project power into Africa without the US providing logistical support and our President is nuttier than a fruitcake and is itching to let the military off the chain with any pretext to annex Canada.

    Dream on.

  • China will be lucky if they still exist as a single unified nation. Demographics, employment, debt, over built property market, over dependence on manufacturing exports, energy import dependence, food import dependence.

    They have a number of very strong headwinds that could very well cause the failure and break up of the CCP in the next twenty years.

  • No doubt they are intended to cleave the U.S.A.’s greatest asset from it. Our allies and the rules based global order. Russia and China can not defeat it.

    But they can defeat a weakened isolated USA. Or better yet they can establish their own regional hegemony when the USA that has no further interest in foreign intervention.

  • If Trump does raise tariffs across the board on Canada and Mexico we will have stagflation well within 6 months. There will be nothing the Fed can do to stop it as this is not market driven. There is no way they can even pretend wages can keep up with a sudden artificial 25% price increase.