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  • I made the comment because Gingrich took confrontational politics and brought it to the National level. The era of Fox News and the 24hr news cycle was starting and he was the architect of the sensational hyper partisan angry Republicanism that we see today on right wing media. I don’t think Gingrich actually believed what he is pushing. He pushed it because it got the results he wanted.

    Fast forward 30 years and now we have social media and the internet all vying for attention. Only the most extreme views that are controversial enough get noticed and commented on.

    Some of the people I know who were Republicans have moderate enough views that they don’t feel the party is in step with them anymore. But I know Republicans who are true MAGA supporters and just parrot the grievances of their party. They all seem to emulate that anger

  • I would respectfully disagree with that assessment.

    Even if 2024 is a huge enough electoral wipe out that Trump and his MAGA base are embarrassed to follow through on the violence they’ve been promising for years. Yes, Republicans might slink away and hide.

    But they will rebrand and be back within a few months. We’ve seen this before at the start of the Obama Presidency’, when the fall out from the G.W. Presidency showed that Republicans had shit the bed sooo hard, even hard core Republicans that I knew denied they ever supported W. (Even though a few had fucking pictures of the asshat on their office walls for years.)

    But the useful idiots that make up the core of the Republican base were back in a few months as “Tea Party” Republicans. Fully funded and promoted Koch and other billionaires. All those hard core W. supporters suddenly got angry and jumped on that band wagon.

    Make no mistake they will be back, even in the best case scenario. (Which I very much doubt will happen.)

  • “Of all the Republican weirdness in recent years, I truly don't understand why they seem to have made a conscious decision to become the biggest-asshole-in-the-room party.”

    Recent? They’ve been doing this shtick since at least Newt Gingrich in the 90s.

  • Exactly what we are currently doing. Provide an incentive for free and fair elections. If the election is proven to be stolen then I’d assemble a coalition of local forces to oppose Maduro. Hopefully backed up by other regional players.

    Otherwise you’ll see more aggression from dictators like him. Venezuela getting aggressive with more than one regional neighbor like Guyana could be the outcome if Maduro isn’t checked.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guyana%E2%80%93Venezuela_crisis_(2023-present)

  • In my experience Boomers, Gen X and older Millennials generally want to socialize at work. They grew up in a office environment where you were constantly around your coworkers and social media was in its infancy.

    Younger Millennials and GenZ mostly want to make a paycheck and go home. They generally don't want to socialize with people outside of their circle. I sometimes think genZ is way happier at home 24/7 and don’t want human interaction. Could also be they just don’t have the money for it.

  • Not at all what I meant. I’m not sorry and I would spank my kids again if they tried to do something life threatening (fortunately they are old enough that I don’t have to do that).

    People shouldn’t jump to conclusions or judge other parents for their parenting styles as long as it isn’t out and out abuse.

    There are plenty of other policy and moral decisions that J.D. Vance to bag on than the way he disciplined his kid. If there was a history of abuse then that would be a different thing altogether.

  • Yeah people are reading too much into this. I’d like to think I’d never say shut the hell up to my kids (or anyone else), but everyone’s family dynamic is different.

    Unfortunately sometimes you have to make them understand that now is not the time. This may be his attempt to do so.

    I only spanked my kids once and that was when they tried to run into traffic. I’m sure some people watching judged me and thought I was a terrible parent. But I needed to make them understand immediately that they can’t do that.

  • The stock market has been surging at the drop of any rumor or data point that would indicate the fed will drop interest rates for two years.

    Suddenly economic data pops up that might indicate conditions for an interest rate drop are forming and the market shits itself?

    IMO the market got fat over the summer. Now that the institutional investors are getting back from vacation season they are profit taking ahead of the EOQ.

  • “There was an acknowledged gap in polling in 2016 that excluded likely trump voters. It has since been resolved and polling in 2020 and 2022 was highly accurate.”

    I would respectfully dispute that statement. In the last dozen or so special elections as well as the last mid term election the Republicans have under performed with respect to their polling.

    There is a large swath of the population that doesn’t participate in polls because they don’t answer the phone for strange numbers and don’t answer questions online or in person.

    This “silent” population segment has favored Dems over the last few years but they could just as easily go for Republicans (as we saw with Trump in 2016) as we simply do not have good polling. I think they will swing Democrat again this election but we should take nothing for granted.

  • Thanks for the first hand account. It sounds just like how crime in the US is sensationally portrayed. The reality is even in some of our worst cities like Chicago, violent crime is usually between criminals themselves and usually within a few neighborhoods that everyone else avoids. Your average middle class family in the suburbs isn’t really affected.

  • Not with that attitude.

    “Ohm's law says that the current is voltage divided by resistance, so 110 volts / 2500 ohms gives 0.044 amps. At first, one might say that the orca would survive since that's less than the fatal level of 0.1 amp. However, that level is easily enough to cause the muscles to contract violently, and if that condition persisted for more than a short time, it would kill by respiratory paralysis. (Again, assuming whale physiology is comparable to humans'.”