usernamesAreTricky @ usernamesAreTricky @lemmy.ml

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Note that she's saying "to at least $15 an hour" not saying that it should only be $15/hr

Get active, volunteer!

Yes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claus_von_Stauffenberg

The senate race is rather close in Texas, there's a real chance to oust cruz. If we're really lucky maybe flip blue for president too this cycle or be close enough that republicans have to pay attention and play defence next cycle

Vote, volunteer, get involved

Volunteer for dems around you in person or online

Headlines usually are written in headline case which capitalize everything but article. It might've been good to deviate from the guidelines in this case

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Title_case

They don't have the same electoral map predictions, and they show 51% odds which is not "highly favored". They're saying it's a tossup. Moreover 538 and nate silver have still been influenced by those right wing polls just less so than RealClearPolitics.

RealClearPolitics is hardly the place to look for accuracy. They have no pollster weighting and treat polls from a group like Trafalgar (that has literally come out as illegal working with the trump campaign) the same as a highly qualified pollsters. Guess which groups publish more polls lately

And what they push on their site has also been very pro-trump in general

In November 2020, The New York Times published an article alleging that since 2017, when many of its "straight-news" reporting journalists were laid off, RealClearPolitics showed a pro-Trump turn with donations to its affiliated nonprofit increasing from entities supported by wealthy conservatives

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RealClearPolitics

52% odds of winning on 538 is not really favored. 538 itself calls that even odds. A 2% difference is noise from polling

Also keep in mind that the 538 odds have been heavily influenced lately by right wing aligned groups flooding the average. The polling from higher quality groups hasn't really changed all that much, still largely suggesting Harris with a slight lead

The headline is a little misleading, she said "at least $15" not that she wants it necessarily at exactly $15/hr and no more

Look through the original commenter's post history. They aren't joking. They keep posting pro-trump stuff

TIL vote buying is when you propose policies that people want and, not say, running a 1 million dollar lottery to sign a pro-trump petition

And note that her wording was "at least $15", so she's signaling openness to doing more than that

Edited the title to say "doctor that" instead now

That too certainly :(

Note that the Senate race was closer last time in 2018 and is also closer in the polls. In 2018 that was 50.9% Cruz to 48.4% Beto (2.5% margin, ~200k votes)

Let's help make sure he doesn't win. Make sure that dems turn out to vote!

Help volunteer for dems around you

There are usually fewer early voting locations compared to election day so with record turnout, the lines have been longer

Republican areas tend to be less densely populated, so the number of people to voting locations ratio makes lines there generally less long

He's actually stopped golfing recently (for security reasons), so who's to say if he can still golf

At the very least that texas senate is seriously winnable and they feel reasonably confident of other states

Still make sure to get out there and vote and volunteer. If it's a lose, make it a win. If it's a close win, make it a big one. If it's a big win, make it a landslide

Register to vote if you haven't. Deadlines are quickly passing in many states

Volunteer for Dems and for Harris nearby in person or online