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usernamesAreTricky @ usernamesAreTricky @lemmy.ml
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  • They includes 3rd parties in 2016, but did not in 2020 and 2024, hence the different margins. And the 3rd party they included was of the Republican spoiler type rather than the Democratic spoiler type

    They had way higher third party votes in their poll than actually occured - and the third party votes in 2016 were higher than usual (helping trump narrowly win in 2016)

  • There are large number of Puerto Ricans in many swing states (+ important downballot races), and Republicans have been trying to court their vote. This isn't doing them any favors

    Peurto Ricans by state

    • Pennsylvania: 450k
    • North Carolina: 100k
    • Wisconsin: 65k
    • Michigan: 50k
    • Florida: 1.1 million
    • New York: 1 million

    It doesn't even have to change minds all that much to matter. If any trump-leaning Puerto Ricans just don't turnout, it matters a lot

  • Puerto Ricans also move. Plenty in swing states + places with competitive down-ballot races. Republicans are already trying to back track on this, they think it hurts them

    Peurto Ricans by state

    • Pennsylvania: 450k
    • North Carolina: 100k
    • Wisconsin: 65k
    • Michigan: 50k
    • Florida: 1.1 million
    • New York: 1 million

    EDIT: also worth mentioning that he also said other racists remarks too

    “These Latinos, they love making babies, too. Just know that they do,” Hinchcliffe said, setting up his joke: “There’s no pulling out. They don’t do that. They come inside, just like they did to our country.”

    Hinchcliffe also told a joke about one of his Black “buddies” and how they “carved watermelons” together.

  • They also said more than that and doubled down on the racism

    “These Latinos, they love making babies, too. Just know that they do,” Hinchcliffe said, setting up his joke: “There’s no pulling out. They don’t do that. They c-- inside, just like they did to our country.”

    Hinchcliffe also told a joke about one of his Black “buddies” and how they “carved watermelons” together.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/comedian-trump-rally-makes-racist-jokes-latinos-puerto-rico-rcna177514

  • Note: Gerrymandering doesn't impact state wide races like senate and presidential. Only district based things like house seats

    California is far more blue than texas is red. California votes around D+20 statewide, Texas is more like R+5 ish

  • From the article

    A Trump voter in Pennsylvania tells Rolling Stone that he had his girlfriend sign the petition and list him as a referrer. “If it were anyone other than Elon Musk doing this I wouldn’t trust it,” he says. But he is frustrated at receiving no confirmation message or further communication from the Super PAC since then. “Part of me thinks it’s B.S. just to rally up votes,” he admits, in which case he plans to “have a field day slandering [Musk], and Trump might just lose my vote.”

  • Are you sure? Becasuse that was probably me on this same account. On a different post on the exact same topic, I made a comment clarifying the same thing

    Edit: searching for "at least $15" across lemmy on my instance only has my own comments come up

  • He said he wanted his military generals to look like Hitler's

    In their book, The Divider: Trump in the White House, Peter Baker and Susan Glasser reported that Trump asked John Kelly, his chief of staff at the time, “Why can’t you be like the German generals?”

    [...]

    According to Baker and Glasser, Kelly explained to Trump that German generals “tried to kill Hitler three times and almost pulled it off.” This correction did not move Trump to reconsider his view: “No, no, no, they were totally loyal to him,” the president responded.

    [...]

    This week, I asked Kelly about their exchange. He told me that when Trump raised the subject of “German generals,” Kelly responded by asking, “‘Do you mean Bismarck’s generals?’” He went on: “I mean, I knew he didn’t know who Bismarck was, or about the Franco-Prussian War. I said, ‘Do you mean the kaiser’s generals? Surely you can’t mean Hitler’s generals? And he said, ‘Yeah, yeah, Hitler’s generals.

    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/10/trump-military-generals-hitler/680327/

  • Just a moment...

    Jump
  • Think the title autofil wasn't about to get the title right, should read

    Former Trump official agrees with John Kelly: Trump ‘does not operate by the rule of law’

    Instead of

    just a moment

  • 196 @lemmy.blahaj.zone

    Rule

    lemmy.ml meta @lemmy.ml

    Has lemmy.ml been slower to load and make posts/comments for anyone else lately?

    World News @lemmy.ml

    New tests confirm milk from flu-infected cows can make other animals sick — and raise questions about flash pasteurization

    196 @lemmy.blahaj.zone

    Worker injuries (do not) rule

    Antiwork @lemmy.ml

    Animals suffer for meat production – and abattoir workers do too

    Today I learned @lemmy.ml

    TIL about "Dubbing", the practice of removing part of a farmed birds earlobes or other parts attached to the head. It is usually done without any anesthetic

    Memes @lemmy.ml

    Who could have seen this coming except for people warning about it for decades

    196 @lemmy.blahaj.zone

    Rule

    United States | News & Politics @lemmy.ml

    Farm Animals Are Hauled All Over the Country. So Are Their Pathogens. | Tens of millions of farm animals cross state lines every year, traveling in cramped, stressful conditions

    Science @lemmy.ml

    New Research on Animal Communication Shows Their Cultures Are Often Complex and Cumulative

    Green - An environmentalist community @lemmy.ml

    Revealed: Tyson Foods dumps millions of pounds of toxic pollutants into US rivers and lakes

    Green - An environmentalist community @lemmy.ml

    Switching to plant-based diets means cleaner air – and it could save more than 200,000 human lives around the world

    196 @lemmy.blahaj.zone

    This is an Actual Article Rule :(

    196 @lemmy.blahaj.zone

    They're Also Awful to Human Workers Rule

    196 @lemmy.blahaj.zone

    Rule

    Today I Learned @lemmy.world

    TIL about "Swill milk" where cows were fed distillery waste causing cow teeth rot and disease. It was also adulterated with raw eggs, burn sugar, etc. Swill milk lead to over 8,000 infant's deaths

    Today I learned @lemmy.ml

    TIL about "Swill milk" where cows were fed distillery waste causing cow teeth rot and disease. It was also adulterated with raw eggs, burn sugar, etc. Swill milk lead to over 8,000 infant's deaths

    Green - An environmentalist community @lemmy.ml

    Farmed Bluefin Tuna Brands Claim to Be Sustainable. Here’s What Really Happens.

    World News @beehaw.org

    Tennessee company accused of using child labor to clean slaughterhouses

    Environment @beehaw.org

    The Number Of Pigs Being Slaughtered In The UK Is Falling