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  • From what I've seen, it's mostly non-coding "tech" journalists, executives, and enthusiasts getting the LLMs to generate tutorial fodder, which it can do just fine. I'm sure there are also some coders doing the most milquetoast development tasks, like yet another thin custom UI that just frontends some data in a database in a straightforward way that it works for. One example was a vibe coder getting pissed because he wanted to implement some feature on top of the tutorial fodder and the AI kept failing to do so and he was completely lost. He didn't understand why it could get as far as it could with "hard" stuff but be utterly unable to implement this thing he thought sounded like it should be "easier"

    From my experience on my sort of work, it can occasionally suggest a serviceable couple of lines fairly frequently faster than I could type it. If I have a tedious but boilerplate sort of thing to do, it can probably present a good draft (for example, if you write a CLI utility just start using the variables you would imagine, then ask it to generate the argument parsing section and it has a good chance of getting 90%+ of the way there). It can also generate a decent draft docstring for a function, which can be nice particularly if you strongly suspect no human would ever read it anyway. Some people swear by its ability to comment functions, but seems like they are grading on quantity not quality, as it documents every single line in useless ways (x = 50 // Assign the value 50 to variable x) and then fails to comment the actual confusing bits of code.

    So best scenario is using some code editor with AI integration to ambiently drive completion and quick access to prompt up specific context of code. But still be prepared to be annoyed as while the completions are occasionally useful enough to be worth the annoyance, you may find yourself discarding useless suggestions maybe most of the time. Still might be faster even with the annoyance, but there's a natural urge to be annoyed at seeing the LLM be wrong just so much of the time.

  • Yeah, they are frequently just parroting things like CVE notices as highlighted by a fairly stupid scanning tool.

    The security ecosystem has been long diluted because no one wants to doubt a "security" person and be wrong, and over time that has made a pretty soft context for people to get credibility as a security person.

  • If someone is claiming God is on their side, then absolutely they should not be trusted.

    A good example was Huckabee's message to Trump where he says he shouldn't listen to humble old Huckabee, but he should listen to God, who, coincidentally, is saying exactly the same thing as Huckabee.

    If you have your faith but make no assertions about it's validity over other opinions nor that it confers divine authority to the words or deeds of any person, cool, I respect that faith. I'm inclined to have some faith myself, but I'm not about to claim any of it is more than my personal wild guesses and hope.

    However organized religion is generally exploitable and bad people take advantage...

  • Good news, they find a treatment regimen that when applied to mice cause them to have a health span several times longer than the average health span of a mouse.

    Bad news, the treatment regimen when applied to humans causes them to have a health span several times longer than the average health span of a mouse.

  • If that concern were actually relevant and not merely an excuse, mob justice would fail to consider innocence. That's seen repeatedly. Merely an excuse seems likely, but...

    The thing I could imagine is that the list being something like a contact list, and Epstein treated celebrity contact information as a status symbol. If the list is a ledger of otherwise off book transactions, or a lost of people complete with blackmail material, then I can't see how they could even try to make the argument about innocent caught up in the list.

    Either way if they have a district list, put aside releasing the list for a moment, where's the legal system enforcement actions?

  • Not sure about that.

    It's how they acquired the office, but depending on how much they dismantle democracy, they don't need the popular cult as much.

    JD extending his term under some emergency context after a trump assassination may be the thing that we don't come back from.

  • Further I think Trump is now the least of our problems with the Trump administration. I fear JD would be even worse.

    During the Biden term, the worst people built plans around a trump return to office and the relatively more strong execution this time versus last time is from those around him, not himself so much.

  • Nah, it needs to be supremely conspiracy proof. Too many people will believe it was assassination of it could have possibly been assassination.

    He's an old unhealthy man, albeit with the best possible health care. His passing is moderately likely in an average day from health issues.

  • True enough, there are some rich people that aren't onboard with it, but there's just room for some other rich people to suceed even as their business suffers.

    And then double dip on a recovery.

    But certainly, there's room for both, so that's why it's not quite as mind numbingly stupid that some of the billionaires are on board.

  • That's one pair of philosophies that creep me out both ways. Both the anti natalists and pro natalists.

    Deciding for yourself is one thing, imposing your choice on others is maddening.

    I don't know if the comment quite raises to the level of anti natalist though. Maybe it's grading on a curve of reading some more hard core anti natalists, but that comment felt tame and felt like they wouldn't necessarily object to a couple having one child or even two, being somewhat below the replacement level..

  • Thanks for that write up, very informative about what went down.

    I wonder about having different alert sounds. The one alert sound I barely think to take seriously. I read them and I think I would notice unique phrasing, but I also imagine people are tempted by the ability to turn off emergency alerts as they seem a bit overused.

  • The issue here is that we've well gone into sharply exponential expenditure of resources for reduced gains and a lot of good theory predicting that the breakthroughs we have seen are about tapped out, and no good way to anticipate when a further breakthrough might happen, could be real soon or another few decades off.

    I anticipate a pull back of resources invested and a settling for some middle ground where it is absolutely useful/good enough to have the current state of the art, mostly wrong but very quick when it's right with relatively acceptable consequences for the mistakes. Perhaps society getting used to the sorts of things it will fail at and reducing how much time we try to make the LLMs play in that 70% wrong sort of use case.

    I see LLMs as replacing first line support, maybe escalating to a human when actual stakes arise for a call (issuing warranty replacement, usage scenario that actually has serious consequences, customer demanding the human escalation after recognizing they are falling through the AI cracks without the AI figuring out to escalate). I expect to rarely ever see "stock photography" used again. I expect animation to employ AI at least for backgrounds like "generic forest that no one is going to actively look like, but it must be plausibly forest". I expect it to augment software developers, but not able to enable a generic manager to code up whatever he might imagine. The commonality in all these is that they live in the mind numbing sorts of things current LLM can get right and/or a high tolerance for mistakes with ample opportunity for humans to intervene before the mistakes inflict much cost.

  • Well, here's me pinning my hopes on your interpretation. A few more moderate leaders in the world would be a gigantic relief after so many years of how things have been going. I mostly grew up the last time the world swung a bit more moderate and would be ecstatic to feel that way again.