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Posts
2
Comments
418
Joined
2 yr. ago

  • No. If there was a pee tape, Trump himself would sell it and his voters would buy it too. This is a man who sold his own mug shot.

    If Russia has something on him, it is dear old fucktons of money. Or we have to prepare to the scarier scenario where he's not being blackmailed into doing Putin's bidding, he really wants to be Putin.

  • Looking forward to that "Failing Disney and nasty, perverted Mickey Mouse, going around in shorts" post on Truth Social. If there's one corporation that might even take Donnie down it's Disney. Kinda like Kong vs Dumbzilla

  • I want to believe that commoditization of AI will happen as you describe, with AI made by devs for devs. So far what I see is "developer productivity is now up and 1 dev can do the work of 3? Good, fire 2 devs out of 3. Or you know what? Make it 5 out of 6, because the remaining ones should get used to working 60 hours/week."

    All that increased dev capacity needs to translate into new useful products. Right now the "new useful product" that all energies are poured into is... AI itself. Or even worse, shoehorning "AI-powered" features in all existing product, whether it makes sense or not (welcome, AI features in MS Notepad!). Once this masturbatory stage is over and the dust settles, I'm pretty confident that something new and useful will remain but for now the level of hype is tremendous!

  • It's not that LLMs aren't useful as they are. The problem is that they won't stay as they are today, because they are too expensive. There are two ways for this to go (or an eventual combination of both:

    • Investors believe LLMs are going to get better and they keep pouring money into "AI" companies, allowing them to operate at a loss for longer That's tied to the promise of an actual "intelligence" emerging out of a statistical model.
    • Investments stop pouring in, the bubble bursts and companies need to make money out of LLMs in their current state. To do that, they need to massively cut costs and monetize. I believe that's called enshttificarion.
  • My wife routinely makes me remove car keys or other bulkier things from my pocket because they "make me look bigger".

    I love my wife dearly I really do. But she deserved having to put things in her bra. Maybe I should start putting my car keys in the front of my underwear. As a fashion statement.

  • TIL... I thought he was South African (not that I ever cared enough to research). So once Trump annexes Canada he'll become a US national and be eligible to run for President? Pinky and the Brain level of planning there!

  • I'm not saying that it's a good plan, just that these are not random actions by a senile and vengeful old man. Trump says a lot of things but some of these he's been saying pretty consistently since at least 1987, which makes me think he actually believes them. The paid ad he ran back then is already mentioning:

    • his admiration for Japan's trade surplus....
    • ...made possible by a weak Yen vs the USD...
    • ....and by the fact that Japan could leverage the "free" US protection and invest on their economy instead of their defense...
    • .... concluding that these NATO allies are not pulling their weight and should "pay" for US protection....
    • ... because the US can't go on increasing their own debt to fund NATO

    So, yes, that's what a Great Again US looks like to Trump: manufacturing jobs back, weaker Dollar, trade surplus,, less debt and NATO countries investing more in their own protection. Now there's a whole lot of scary things about HOW he's trying to get there: antagonizing allies, fanning a dangerous trade war while letting a couple of actual wars spiral in unpredictable ways.... But old man Trump is still trying to move in the direction his greasy, younger self from the pic on Snopes said he would move.

  • according to at least Varoufakis, that's actually part of the plan.

    I don't pretend to be smart enough to understand this completely but the way I get it: if the dollar depreciates and (eg) the Euro becomes stronger, then people in the EU will find it more convenient to buy US goods, basically offsetting the effect of the tariffs that the EU has applied to counter US ones.

    On the reverse, US tariffs + strong Euro will make it even less convenient for people in the US to buy goods from the EU. This, in Varoufakis's interpretation of Trump's plan, will help rebalance the trade deficit of the US vs these other countries.

  • Dear federal employee, this is Elon again. I haven't seen a response to my last email. Are you mad at me?

    This week I'd like you to provide evidence that you laid an egg for your Country. Failure to comply will result in me thinking that maybe you don't love me. Can you do just this one little thing for me? Come on, one little egg.