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  • https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo

    Bidens lead is currently growing. This election has nothing to do with supporting Biden, or what Biden plans to do, or how old Biden is. It's entirely about stopping the orange Mussolini. Biden's odds of winning will keep growing as long as his opponents keep getting more extreme. With any sane republican this election would look like 1984.

  • Biden can only use his quarter billion in campaign funds for his running mate Kamala. So the only choice is a Biden*/Harris ticket in November. And realistically no matter who anyone would prefer, you're not going to sell a new candidate before November.

    We've all in this mess, so now it's time to grab the Go Joe, and clean it up.

  • Current polls show Trump gained a slight advantage after the disaster of a debate. Most voters don't seem to be supporting Biden, so much as not supporting Trump. So it's still a stupidly close race. Not to mention current polling is based on turnout from 2020 with some educated guesses, that have all undercounted Dem votes in every election since then.

    The outlook isn't good, but Trump is further from win than is immediately obvious.

  • It would be impossible to build today by any means. Not because of any technological problem. Physically it could be done rather quickly, as others have posited. The problem is that you could never combine the political and economic will to complete it.

    It's the same reason it would be easier to colonize Mars than to fix climate change. There's a half dozen robots on Mars that will do whatever you tell them. On Earth, there's 7 billion assholes who think they have a better idea of what to do.

  • https://www.pgpf.org/blog/2022/11/social-security-reform-options-to-raise-revenues

    There's a ton of right wing sites that would tell you eliminating the cap is a complete waste of time horrible for the economy, bringer of the end of days, etc.

    Bezos, like many ultra wealthy, most likely paid himself some token amount in wages. Many CEO's used to pay themselves $1, just to say they had an income. They have accountants that decide how much he should claim as wages, just to maximize the returns from Social Security, without paying into it any more than needed.

  • Removing the cap would go a long way, but it's not enough by itself. We'll still need more people, or a time machine with a fertility clinic in it. From what I can tell, boomers seem to be thinking we're going to find that time machine somehow.

  • Long before wages create affordability, they have to out pace inflation. It's going to take a long period of wages slightly beating inflation for the public to be happy.

    Or we could have another recession to make prices drop, but wages would lose ground to inflation when it returns.

  • Kinda sad really, but traveling up the east coast this year and we can see it in the towns we visit. The social gatherings are more segregated than usual, and they weren't integrated to begin with. Folks all looking at each other with a side eye, especially along the black/white divide.

    There's too many shit stirrers in this stew.