Saleh @ Saleh @feddit.org

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Israel is currently attacking Iranian Oil and Gas.

Iran could retaliate by closing the Persian Gulf, where 20% of global Oil and Gas shipping goes through and to weaken US, UK and other support for Israel. This could bring these countries onto the plan, but also Israels allies UAE and Saudi Arabia. When more countries join against Iran, China could feel threatened, or see an opportunity in the distraction, Russia will certainly ramp up its efforts in Ukraine. The economic fallout of the explosion in oil and gas prices globally could tip over other conflicts into wars.

This can definitely spiral into another world war. Remember that WW1 was caused by serbian seperatists assasinating the austrio-hungarian crown prince.

When they have all the components manufactured and the enriched Uranium in "nuke shape" then y would also say they are developing one.

But while nukes arent that complicated to build in principle, there still goes quite some trial and design efforts into it.

This most likely includes doing tests with causing a nuclear explosion. Such tests would be detectable and a certain criterium for an ongoing development.

Remember how NKs nuclear weapon propgram got a lot of attention some 10 or so years ago? We knew because the seismographs picked up the shockwaves of underground explosions.

I am sorry, when reading i somehow mistook the "My grandfather" for "the grandfather".

Of course i don't know you or your grandfather and cannot judge that for him specifically.

It is not much yet as details remain to come out. Israel striking Irans Gas infrastructure aims at setting the entire region ablaze. This drastically increases the risk that Iran will respond to attacks on its Oil and Gas infrastructure by retaliating against US and Israel allied Oil and Gas producers such as the UAE and also locking down the Persian gulf for any energy shipments.

If it comes to this escalation, which Netanyahu seems to aim for, it will benefit the US and Russia in their oil and gas sales as the prices will likely skyrocket and could force the EU to ease its sanctions on Russia and weaken Ukraine significantly in its defense against the Russian invasion.

The grandfather most likely was on the side of the Nazi regime or indifferent. Mistakenly thought the statement was about grandfathers in general, not @Airowird@lemm.ee grandfather.

Anyways, Germany is not doing that out of historical responsibility or all the other stuff they talk about. This serves, or they think it serves, their own interests.

The whole "memory culture" only took off, when Germany was reunited and the European neighbors became scared of a newly powerful Germany. The supposed memory culture and subsequently support of Israel are the founding narrative of modern Germany. Changing the position on Israel would expose that narrative as flawed and would question the veracity of Germany not being a danger to the world.

Then since a decade or two the narratives around Israel also serve three goals. First it helps shifting blame for Antisemitism on "imported Antisemitism" aka "brown people". This can be seen with one of the "combating antisemitism" resolutions that the German parliament passed last year. As examples for "Antisemitism" it did not mention a white German Neonazi attempting a terrorist attack on a Synagogue in Halle. Instead the presentation of the movie "No Other Land" at the Berlinale movie festival was given as an example in the resolution. (Without specifying what exactly was "antisemitic" there).

The second goal is to absolve Germans from the supposed left to the far right from their own racism against Arabs and other "brown people". By pushing the blame of "Antisemitism" on "them", discrimination against "them" is not racist. It is just necessary to uphold Germanys historic responsibility.

Finally this also serves greatly to repress anti imperialist leftists and climate activists. Challenging colonial and post colonial structures now can be attacked as "antisemitic" as it inadvertently engages with the colonial reality of Israel.

Meanwhile Jews who do not want to be lumped in with Israel or express an anti-Zionist stance are faced with repressions and attacks by German politics and mainstream media, instead of acknowledging the Pluralism among Jewish people. In the end the alleged "fight against Antisemitism" in Germany is engaged in Antisemitism itself, instrumentalizing Jewish people and what is considered Jewish identity to conform to Germanys own narratives.

That reaction from the German government was to be expected, Hans-Jakob Schindler, senior director of the Netherlands-based Counter Extremism Project, told DW.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Counter_Extremism_Project

The group is modeled on United Against Nuclear Iran, an advocacy group led by Wallace which has had success increasing economic pressure on the Islamic Republic of Iran.

In 2017, GlobaLeaks obtained information allegedly originating from the email account of Yousef Al Otaiba, revealing a relationship between Otaiba, the UAE government, CEP and United Against Nuclear Iran. CEP and UANI are both led by Mark Wallace, who was employed as a senior adviser of The Electrum Group LLC by its chairman, Thomas Kaplan, the UANI’s top donor. Kaplan also maintains business relations with the UAE.

Nice. A Pro-US Imperialism, Pro-Israel, Pro-UAE, Anti-Iran "NGO" is quoted by the DW on German policy regarding Iran...

Schindler does not believe that the current military escalation will change anything around Germany's position on Israel. "We're not just any other country. We're Germany, with the history of the Holocaust," he explained. "In that sense there's absolutely no other moral or ethical option than expressing solidarity with Israel.

Whan an evil ghoul he is. There is international law and human rights, which Germany has vowed to uphold and Israel is massively violating. Israel is fundamentally opposed to upholding these and has enshrined both in its constitution and laws that it will break these international obligations. The only moral and ethical option is to uphold these obligations and force Israel to abide by them.

During his visit to Cairo, Wadephul commented on the Iranian strikes that came in retaliation for the earlier Israeli ones. "We condemn the indiscriminate Iranian attack on Israeli territory in the strongest possible terms," ​​Wadephul, a member of the CDU, said. "Iran is currently attacking Israel with hundreds of drones. There are initial reports of casualties. These developments are more than worrying."

That is the reality of Germanys position and shows how completely beyond reason they are. Israel starts an unprecedented attack on Iran, bombs residential areas killing dozens of civillians and Germany calls that "self defense" while condemning the counter-attack as "indiscriminate" hours before anything arrives in Israel. Germany is a complete joke when it comes to upholding international law.

Israel engages in similar rhetoric. I wonder if the sentiment would be "Iran just preemptively defended itself" amongst our politics and media if Iran was to strike nuclear facilities and assassinate military leaders and scientists in Israel.

Also it gives an angle to investigate such companies for breaking the law and fining them.

Given that the Irish are much more critical of Israel, i am sure there will be a few people looking into these things.

No matter how many tires you are stockpiling, you aren't manufacturing a car, unless you actually manufacture a car.

I never said that.

The key point is that we are still limited by what LLMs can and can't do and fundamentally this is no new technology, just refined technology.

Think of it like cars. Cars exist since more than a hundred years. A modern car looks much fancier than a car a hundred years ago. But when it comes to the core aspect -moving passengers and cargo around on the ground- modern cars can't do more than cars from a hundred years ago. They are restricted by the same restriction (usually requiring some sort of road, requiring refueling points...)

We are pushing the boundaries of what LLMs can do, but there seems no indication, that it actually is a suitable tool for automated programming. LLMs are most likely just cars, where you need something that can fly.

Learning a language and forming and expressing complex thoughts in an efficient way are three different things.

Learning the syntax of a programming language doesn't make you a programmer.
Being able to solve complex problems with the programming language makes you a programmer.
Being able to solve complex problems with the programming language in an efficient way makes you a good programmer.

You can 3D print a concrete hull with limited structural strength. All the rest still needs to be done by humans.

Also you could achieve the same effect in terms of manpower required for the structure just using prefabricated concrete modules.

A lot of the things that current "AI" is doing exist since the 90s or even earlier. It is just that now the computational capacity is big enough to make much more complex looking inputs and results.

This also applies to your manager and coworkers though.

It is a prerequirement.

If you produce thick steel sheets, that is a requirement to build tanks, but it doesnt mean you are building tanks.

Now if you start welding those sheets together in a tank shape, while making all the other stuff that you find in a tank, now you are building a tank.

So if Iran starts building specific parts for nukes and processing the enriched Uranium in a way that is suitable for making a warhead, that would be building a nuke.

Also bring an ID and some cash. E.g. to buy some snacks/meal/water if the day goes longer than you planned for.

Iran will not give Israel a pretext to nuke the place. Dirty bombs are not an effective mean of warfare, just a mean of terror. So far Iran has aimed its missiles at military targets, like the Israeli Ministry of Defense in Tel Aviv. Iran wants to weaken the Israeli military, and more importantly the support of the Israeli population and Israels allies. A dirty bomb would cause the opposite for all of that.

They havent been in the process of developing them. They have been enriching Uranium to the level needed for developing a nuclear weapon.

Iran has always been "close" to develop nuclear weapons over the past years, to ensure that it can do so to defend itself in the case of an attack. Now with Israels unprecedented attack, it is more likely that Iran sees the need to actually develop a nuke to protect its existence.

Israel knows this and keeps pushing to quickly get the US involved beyond a point of no return and fight the war against Iran for them.

I am afraid neither the Zionists nor many of their Allies will care.

No, those are death squads.