The fact that Iran evidently worked together and upheld the JCPOA, when the West was serious about diplomacy. Then Trump came and everyone was like "okay screw diplomacy, lets just keep increasing pressure and hope the country collapses"- Then Israel came and was like "lets bomb the shit out of them to have the West love me again and stop caring about the genocide i am committing." Then the West was like "hurr durr, Israel has the right to defend itself by attacking anyone and everyone whenever it pleases and why is Iran defending itself, how dare they?!"
When Israel assassinated politician in Iran last year. Iran only replied in a measured way to safe face, but seek deescalation. When Israel bombed Iran, Iran for the longest time did not retaliate and when it retaliated still only targeted spots with little risk of injuring or killing people, again being a "don't tread on me" reaction, without seeking escalation. Now Israel is completely out of their mind and went on to announce and celebrate direct attacks on Civilians, effectively telling Iran, that they are out for annihilating the country.
It is the dead-mans trigger. As Israel reaffirms it wants to force regime change and commit more atrocities against Iran's civilians, that threat becomes more realistic.
The GCC countries are certainly not going to be able to shift any balances around. What are they going to do? A ground invasion of Iran? Best they can do is help Israel bomb Civilians. And we saw how Saudi and UAE bombing Civilians in Yemen non-stop did fuck all except kill a lot of people.
The response would have to come from the US and other NATO countries, pulling their focus from Ukraine and containing China. Then it will be bye bye Ukraine and bye bye Taiwan and Israel will get what it wants, being the center of Western attention for all eternity.
You mean when the US and UK installed Shah disappeared, tortured and murdered tens of thousands of people with the aid of US and Israeli intelligence and weapons?
My hypothesis, based on previous Israeli behvaiour: (Note that "Israeli" refers here to the institutions of the state and state aligned private sector, where obviously the MIC is directly involved with the state.)
You are told that you cannot exhibit certain systems. By pushing it, you either get two outcomes:
You will be allowed to break the rules, subsequently having normalized that rules are not made for you.
You will face consequences for the rule-breaking. You loudly cry wolf and accuse everyone around to have been victimizing you. Your "homefront" will not care about differentiation, as your central narrative is you being victimized by everyone, so you get them to rally behind you. You can sow division and get some leverage by manipulating your "allies" against each other and whip them in line.
This ignores the third possible outcome, which Israel still fails to acknowledge as becoming ever more prevalent:
Everyone is tired of your shit as you have been pushing it too far too many times and you are actually digging yourself in a hole that will be harder and harder to climb out.
I find it rather implausible that the show organizers would be lying here. They are a private company. If they didn't want Israeli companies there, they could have dealt with that more quietly in advance. Also it should be pretty easy for every other company presenting there to see, which rules have been communicated beforehand. Now whether they would disclose that publicly is another matter, but inside the industry it will be known and talked about.
Great places to socialize are sports-clubs, social-clubs, volunteering, activism, religious communities...
I'd much rather spend five hours a week distributed over two or three occasions with people i share interests with, than with people i share work with. Meanwhile at work i am mostly engaged in small talk, that is quite repetitive as i see the people every day and i have to guard what i can say and what i cannot say more than in other circles.
No doubt Iran has acted in aggressive ways in other places. However it seemed to not have directed its aggression directly at Israel. People keep claiming that Iran would have orchestrated October 7, but if it had, Hezbollah, Houthis and Iranian proxies in Syria and Iraq would have joined in full force. So Iran wasn't interested in a confrontation with Israel in the past years either.
So far also Iran only matched target groups after Israel targeted them first. E.g. Israel strikes MoD offices in Tehran -> Iran strikes back at the MoD in Tel Aviv. Israels strikes Iranian gas and electrical infrastructure -> Iran strikes back at Israeli Gas and electrical infrastructure.
Iran doesn't want this war and keeps reiterating to go back to diplomacy, however the US and multiple G7 countries, especially UK, France and Germany are rattling the sabres more, defending Israels onslaught while condemning Irans responses. These countries claiming they would seek a diplomatic solution makes for rather cynical lies when they cover the attacker and condemn the defender.
Problem is that "race" isn't just cultural. How you will be treated definitely depends on how other people perceive your "race" and subsequently it will shape your life reality.
That person you gave as an example? In the US, Canada or most European countries he will be treated better than an actual Citizen born and raised in the respective country who is perceived as "black" or "brown".
While true, i think that in this particular case it is more that reason prevailed. If Israel just goes out assassinating foreign head of states and the US supports that, it will be open season quickly and a very good way of starting world war 3.
I remember having a lot of fun in the first two or three tiers of war thunder. But then the higher tiers hit, everything gets way too fast and you have to deal with too many sweaters.
Also in 2023 none of the European supply came from China. Almost half came from Russia/Kazakhstan
The relationship with Niger is fragile, since Niger kicked out the remaining French troops from France post-colonial presence in West Africa. It seems Niger is instead looking towards Canada.
Germany doesnt care about Jews. The moment Jews are not fitting the box Germany designed for them by not blindly supporting Israel, those Jews are facing the same repressions like anyone else who challenges Germanies blind support for Israel.
German politics, media and parts of civil society think that blind support of Israel is serving certain interests of Germany and they do it purely for these reasons. In particular we see it being used to justify racist discrimination against Arabs and other "brown" people and to crack down with increasing authoritarianism on leftist and ecological political positions.
Like Israeli society they have deluded themselves into thinking that they know better than everyone else in the world what is right and wrong and fail to see, how this actually harms Germany tremendously.
Israel is currently attacking Iranian Oil and Gas.
Iran could retaliate by closing the Persian Gulf, where 20% of global Oil and Gas shipping goes through and to weaken US, UK and other support for Israel. This could bring these countries onto the plan, but also Israels allies UAE and Saudi Arabia. When more countries join against Iran, China could feel threatened, or see an opportunity in the distraction, Russia will certainly ramp up its efforts in Ukraine. The economic fallout of the explosion in oil and gas prices globally could tip over other conflicts into wars.
This can definitely spiral into another world war. Remember that WW1 was caused by serbian seperatists assasinating the austrio-hungarian crown prince.
When they have all the components manufactured and the enriched Uranium in "nuke shape" then y would also say they are developing one.
But while nukes arent that complicated to build in principle, there still goes quite some trial and design efforts into it.
This most likely includes doing tests with causing a nuclear explosion. Such tests would be detectable and a certain criterium for an ongoing development.
Remember how NKs nuclear weapon propgram got a lot of attention some 10 or so years ago? We knew because the seismographs picked up the shockwaves of underground explosions.
My code is not intended to be run by any idiots but myself! Anyways why can't i make sense of what i have written just a month ago?