You're absolutely right that, if he is, it will probably be an inside and/or professional job, not some rando trying to show off for an underage Jodie Foster. He's pissing in some dangerous people's weeds right now.
I think he has no idea what he is doing or what he is going to do. I'd rather get my important purchases out of the way before the chaos inevitably hits the supply chains.
Average person now, hands down. I like being able to live my life knowing I'm not surrounded by people who want to kill me.