CanadaPlus @ CanadaPlus @lemmy.sdf.org

Formerly u/CanadaPlus101 on Reddit.

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2 yr. ago

AI may well be done it's explosive growth anyway. Assume all my predictions in that case are "x existing application continues to expand".

I actually think AR is still coming - it just needs really specialised hardware to work and have acceptable battery life.

The issue with mobile OSs on desktop is that they're designed to depend on conventional OSs right now. There's no way to develop an Android app on Android, and debugging your Android from itself is possible, but only as a hack.

On to my own predictions. I'm limiting this to computers, not all technology, which I think was intended.

The fediverse slowly grows.

Geopolitics significantly weakens the US tech monopolies. FOSS benefits, although they probably are replaced by more commercial platforms for the most part.

More likely than not somebody actually mandates cryptography backdoors. It's a boondoggle, although it might not fully unravel in the window given.

There's a chance crytographically-significant quantum computing comes early and causes pandemonium. Bitcoin becomes (nearly?) worthless.

Okay, I will mention one AI thing. It's going to find a place in rendering pipelines for videogames.

The trend to heterogeneous computing continues. Analog and reversible chips become part of the mix.

Nix-type immutable systems become daily driveable.

The thing is, injection molding is just dummy cheap at scale. If you have a significant run of open source hardware it still makes sense.

Chips are also pretty impossible to make at small scale, so you have to account for that. To date it's possible to find a decent chipset, but I worry it might not always be.

I actually feel like they've beat the heck out of the 5 before that. GDPR is a thing, and Windows increasingly isn't.

When does the gold bug stuff end?

I assume they have hard data to back it up if I'm supposed to find the information credible anyway.

Being obvious is almost a requirement. It's hard to instantly reject something you haven't heard much about.

Like, "ancient Egypt never existed" would get curiosity at the very least, despite the fact it's around as factually incorrect as flat Earth theory. A socially harmful belief like "left handed people are of the devil" would get a stronger negative response yet, once people know you're serious, but not at the same level as "gay people are of the devil".

I think controversial or even unpopular and a true nonstarter are two different things. "We should bring back racial segregation" is a nonstarter, as it should be. "AI will make life somewhat cheaper" will get you some support, even if it brings out angry luddites and denialists in response.

We have a funny thing going as a society where we say violence is always bad on one hand, and then have men solving things with violence as the plot of all our fiction. If you're poor, the state monopoly on violence is also not invisible, so the first message seems as hypocritical as it is.

I'd really, really love it if we had a more balanced discussion that could actually reach AMAB people. I do think socialisation is the main problem here.

So that's kind of the Yugoslavia solution, right? I'd agree, that would do the trick, but I'd like to point out there's still pockets of Serbians that think what they did was cool. Putting the onus on one side of the current conflict - and the far less powerful side - to smarten up beforehand seems unfair. That's how your initial comment read.

I'm actually pretty hopeful about the feasibility of ending the cycle. Human history is full of ethnic conflicts, and especially recent human history is full of the sides maintaining an uneasy peace afterwards. People might hate, but they want to live in safety far more; this specific conflict is still ongoing because one side has been empowered to do both.

That's where the "when" comes up as well. 10 years ago the narrative about Zionism in the West was different.

Nonviolence has yielded even less fruit.

In actuality, they're like cattle in a slaughterhouse as long as the US supports Israel the way it does. There is no right way to act.

Israel in the past has tried to make land for peace deals, but guys like Yasser Arafat fucked it up.

I mean, some of the current Israeli cabinet assassinated a prime minister to scuttle a peace deal. Let's not pretend one side has had worse faith than another continuously over many generations, because that's fairly impossible.

That's where "when from" becomes significant as well. The political calculus around Zionism was pretty different 10 years ago - being anti-Zionist was basically a fringe ideology in the West, and in the mainstream was conflated with being anti-Jewish.

Saying "Zionism" but interpreting it as a two-state solution was kind of a moderate-left take on things.

Not for many decades, and things have changed a lot. That's what I'm saying, new Canada is kind of opposite to old Canada (which flew the Union Jack until 1965), and old Canada is dying out.

You could argue that's not the actual state of things, but like I said, the hard data indicates most people at least see it that way.

People do seem to come to social media to be affirmed regardless of whatever the truth is. That's inevitably a road to ruin, though. Ditto for the people that come looking for conflict.

10 years on, I feel like Gentoo needs to be out of the picture and Mint needs to be where Ubuntu is, with the stuff in between moved up.

Reading this again, I see you're not a Zionist but just a person interested in nuance and the actual truth here. That's good, the source is doing the thing where you cut out a soundbite and make rage bait out of it.

So what's the solution here? Both sides are human, and will harbour grudges and gravitate to ideologies that legitimise them. Peace has been imposed under similar situations before.

What will happen is a totally different question. A successful and very ironic genocide seems most likely.

Lol, and this guy is blind on top of it all. I respect the commitment - people in my life are pissed I'm not on all the big walled gardens.

I’m not eager to turn this into a malware museum

It's an XP machine on the internet. I think it already is.

Ah yes, might makes right. Thank you for abandoning a pretence of the moral highground.

It's true. We'll see how that goes over the next few decades for you.

I mean, we're not at the point where they even have a say in it. They're busy struggling to survive because Israelis don't accept their right to exist and actually have American hardware to impose their will with.

When was this from, and what did he mean by that exactly? The context matters.

He's been way harder on Israel than Trudeau ever was.