RFK Jr. pulls more votes from Trump than Biden in three-way race: poll

Remember when the QAnon nutjobs thought a dead Kennedy was going to rise from the grave to be Trump’s running mate?
Nope. Literally!?
- Yup. And they're still obsessed with it.
- Yes. "But how could anyone believe that?!" I don't hear anyone ask. Knowing Better has a great video on that:
  https://youtu.be/gENRqiaS8xM?si=4SUndSk6IvSs1icD
  Also available on Nebula:
  https://nebula.tv/videos/knowing-better-what-are-you-so-afraid-of-selfhelp/

If there’s one thing I’ve learned in the last ten years it is that I’ll never trust a political poll.

I think we will have a three way run for President between Biden ( D ), Haley ( R ), Trump ( I ) in November of 2024. Trump will be disqualified in most states preventing him from winning the Republican nomination. He will run independently splitting the right wing votes. Biden goes on to win 45 states.

Nope there is no way this is going to happen. So Trump's eligibility is going to hit the US Supreme Court. It is litigation on the Constitution itself with more or less zero case law around it. This is the kind of thing that every lawyer dreams of putting their name on. It will hit the US Supreme Court and they will take it. So he will be either eligible or ineligible in all 50 states it will not be ~~peace meal.~~ piecemeal
Now that doesn't mean that there won't be a major independent candidate for some other reasons, but not for this reason.
- It will go to the Supreme Court and they’ll rubber stamp so he can run.
- The Supreme Court cannot issue a constitutional amendment, only the States or Congress can do that. It's going to be extremely difficult to claim the 14th Amendment doesn't apply to Trump based on the language and the fact that Confederates were barred from office without being convicted. The Supreme Court would be in breach of power to ignore what the Consitution says.
- It would be pretty hypocritical given that a third of SCOTUS believes in the independent state legislature theory which pretty much lets states legislatures do whatever they want with regards to federal elections. But, that's probably not going to stop them siding with Trump.
- And they will say that regardless of the Civil War precedents say, a court needs to determine whether he participated in the insurrection via a conviction.
- Piecemeal
Would be awesome, but I don’t see it happening. This man has so much support still— especially in the high levels of state government— it’s disgusting. Republicans are still massively supportive of Trump and he’s nearly a shoe-in for the R nomination.
- I think the reasoning above is based on the idea that he will be actually disqualified and not on the ballots as a convicted felon (at least I assume that's the "he's disqualified" angle here).
  Although, sadly I think it's unlikely to happen before the election, and even if it did I wouldn't be in the slightest surprised for Republican states to just outright change whatever laws they need to (or just ignore the law) to put him on the state ballots.
Stop. I can only get so erect.
A hard-core blible thumping Trumper is speaker in congress. Unfortunately for everyone's sanity, he's not going anywhere except hopefully into a max security prison.
- Probably a hotel on house arrest.
Trump will be disqualified in most states preventing him from winning the Republican nomination.
I doubt this really happens. Trump may only be disqualified in a handful of states which he would have lost anyway, and even if that happens I wouldn't put it past Republicans to ignore it and nominate him anyway.
They might even declare the whole thing unlawful interference on the part of the Biden administration, and send their own electors from those states again. Who's gonna stop them? The Supreme Court?
- If one state can disqualify him, he is disqualified in all states.
Removing Trump from the ballots will go to Trump’s Supreme Court. That won’t work.
Trump will be the republican nominee unless hell freezes over. That fucker will run from jail if he has to. Becoming president is his only way out of many of his DoJ cases.
- The Supreme Court will have a hard time defending Trump in that case. The 14th Amendment Section 3 is solid and gives Congress the ability to allow him on the ballot with a 2/3 vote.
I sure hope that is the case. But given how corrupt our system is, who knows.

Suddenly the media will stop giving this asshat any coverage.

A conservative plant will do that.

Yeah. I would expect an insane conspiracy theorist to appeal to redhats and not normal people.

Big if true

To the surprise of -10 people

Good.

Isn't there "No Labels" party too? We gonna have a four way split?

Don't forget Cornell West. It's just absolute chaos.

Feck em.

This is the best summary I could come up with:

“With minority and younger voters seeming intrigued, Kennedy, for now, enjoys the kind of demographic support his charismatic father and uncles generated decades ago,” Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a release.

Kennedy, an environmental lawyer and prominent anti-vaccine activist, was running in the Democratic primaries against Biden until last month, when he declared himself an independent after struggling to make inroads against the incumbent.

Former Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio), a strong progressive and Kennedy’s original campaign manager, notably left his position just days after Kennedy announced he was switching affiliation.

Politico reported on Wednesday that Kennedy has been receiving donations from former Trump donors at a much higher rate than from former Biden donors, possibly signaling the risk for Republicans with his candidacy.

Other polls have found that Kennedy may hurt Trump more than Biden in a general election, including a USA Today/Suffolk University poll from last month that found Kennedy costs Trump what would be a narrow lead in a hypothetical race.

The Quinnipiac poll found that adding progressive activist Cornel West, who is also running as an independent, for a four-way race, leaves Biden with a narrower lead than he had in the three-way race.

The original article contains 357 words, the summary contains 200 words. Saved 44%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!

“With minority and younger voters seeming intrigued, Kennedy, for now, enjoys the kind of demographic support his charismatic father and uncles generated decades ago,” Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a release.
Tim Malloy just be a distant Kennedy cousin or something, because this take is extremely generous. RFK Jr has the charisma of a plastic bag. The only thing he shares with his dad is his name.
And you would think Junior would want to steer clear of running for President, given what happened to his dad when he ran.

Doubt

Without talking about his controversy with the vaccines, would someone tell me why I wouldnt want to vote for RFK jr?

Edit: still waiting on that

I mean. Antivax bullshit is more than enough to disqualify him immediately for any sane voter. Why would someone spend any additional time learning about his other opinions?
- Thats..... pretty sad. So lets say there was a candidate that had all your ideal solutions except they were what you consider antivax, that person is no longer a good candidate?

The independent ticket seems to have died along with Bernie's chances of ever having been getting into presidency. It's almost like any whackjob that gets to run Independent, mind as well call it Republican 2.0

After Ralph Nader cost Gore the 2000 election, (along with blatant supreme court fuckery) Democrats have been a little wiser about third party candidates.
See, under First Past the Post, a third party candidate is a liability. When you support a third party, or independent, the most likely outcome is the majority candidate that is ideologically closest to that candidate will lose. The Spoiler Effect.
RFK Jr. is a blatant attempt at Republicans trying to create a spoiler candidate. The problem (for them) is, he's much closer to Trump than Biden on many key issues.