Black Voters May Be Abandoning the Dems—But They'll Never Be Republicans
Black Voters May Be Abandoning the Dems—But They'll Never Be Republicans
90 comments
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This article was written by Jeff Charles. A podcaster and political contributor who has appeared on fox News and Newsmax. He's also anti sensible gun control, transphobic and believes being trans is just ignoring biology, believes that schools should ban books that have "ideology" in them (anything queer), thinks kids are being indoctrinated just because it occasionally comes up that there are different ways of being a person, says he's an anarchist but will say libertarian sometimes to avoid "making people think he's crazy" but just doing that shows that he doesn't actually understand what anarchism is (or how crazy some libertarians are), and also talks about how the left wants Americans to be dependent on the state (all social programs). He's also on point for some things, specifically things that most libertarians ascribe to, like fuck cops and anti drug war. But like most libertarians, he only believes in his "do whatever you want and leave me alone" mentality when it lines up with his personal beliefs.
I don't disagree that there are black voters who are frustrated with the dems, but this is not a very good article and is written by an ass who has to push the idea so he can continue to be brought onto Fox News and Newsmax to talk about it and so his site gets new subscribers. Subscribers that have to pay 50 bucks a year for his premium content. Which I'm honestly surprised doesn't cost more. He's also partnered with Doni Anthony who has his own site/substack, which when you're on the landing page, the second article is, well, it requires subscribing and I'm not gonna do that. But it's about a bill called the Inclusive Democracy Act of 2023 which is about restoring voting rights to people with criminal records/felonies who have done their time, the article is about the "hidden" reason the democrats support the bill, which is a far right conspiracy that average voters would never vote for a democrat so they have to make new voters to be able to win. It's all baseless conspiracy stuff and is the same thought process for the "illegal immigrants voting" conspiracy.
The point is that an article is only as reliable as the author is, and this author is just crap.
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The poster of this article is almost certainly some kind of troll. If not a Russian agent, a fascism sympathizer. If you look at his posting history, it is almost entirely about attacking the Democratic party and Biden. Even when he is "pro-progressivism" it is usually in the form of a concern troll.
As a result, everyone should ignore return2ozma. And it's probably time to block him entirely. Also, report him for being a troll, since he breaks the rules on a regular basis.
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If not a Russian agent, a fascism sympathizer.
Even when he is "pro-progressivism" it is usually in the form of a concern troll.
I have observed the same pattern with other users who are pro-Trump and pro-Russia. They would claim to profess an ideology and say they don't support Russia and Trump, but then put their heads into the sand and pretend Trump and Russia did not do anything wrong.
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Yeah. He's the second "both candidates suck" account I'm having to block. Seems like posting to generate voter apathy which helps Trump.
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Please feel free to block him, but the articles are usually interesting and they bring up topics that the mainstream media doesn't like to.
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Alright, here you go then...
American politics is undergoing a racial realignment. Democrats are rapidly losing non-white voters as the forces that ensured their support weaken
https://www.ft.com/content/a7607626-5491-48bd-aa56-5a10cbeeb768
Paywall bypass: https://archive.is/GpL7i
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Sure I'll bite. This article was written by John Burn-Murdoch, and from what I can tell, he is not related to Rupert Murdoch and just seems like a boring centrist. So let's look at his first graph. It says it shows diminishing support for democrats among non-white voters, supposedly showing they're now at 60% support for non-white voters entirely. So the argument is that they are leaving the dems because they're being disillusioned. That 60% figure is suspicious though since actual voting shows completely different dynamics. In 2022 the breakdown actually shows around the same amount of support in particularly black voters, 93% of black voters supported the dems, which was around the same amount as the election in 2020 and 2018. But in the graph in your article it does not use those numbers. It uses share of non-white voters who identify as democrats, not actual voting patterns. The author uses that to show that black voters and other non-white voters are separating from the democrats, but never mentions the actual voting data showing that despite not identifying themselves as democrats, they still vote for democrats.
The next graph does the same thing, uses how people are identifying themselves in a poll as opposed to actual voting data and doesn't even make much sense when actually looked at, especially since the y axis isn't labeled so it's confusing. I mean, does it show how nearly 100% of white voters in 2022 are republicans and close to 100% of white voters are liberal? It just makes no sense and is not a good representation when the author doesn't even provide context to what the graph is trying to say. It makes no sense. Then he uses a book to try to illustrate that black voters are abandoning the democrats, but that book “Steadfast democrats: how social forces shape black political behavior”, was released in 2020 and is about how black voters are unified around the democrats and examines the reasons for this. So this author is using data to say what he wants to say that actually says the opposite of what he is trying to say. Then the next graph supposedly shows racial breakdowns for different more conservative beliefs and for those that identify as liberal or conservative. But it as a graph that also makes little sense. 75% of black voters identify as conservative while close to 90% or above identify as liberal? How can you have those numbers when they don't add up to be 100%? There's not 165% of black voters. This graph is suspicious as fuck, if you are gonna use percentages and want me to take you seriously, they need to add up to 100%. I'd also like to acknowledge here that multiple of the links in this article that are supposed to lead to actual other articles, actually just lead to the main page, that could be because I am not a subscriber, it's just annoying and not the important part.
Anyway, lets go to the next graph which the author introduces by saying that he extended the books research to include all non-white groups, despite it again not actually showing what he wants it to show. He claims it shows that different races are increasingly identifying as conservative, but it uses the book and a Pew Research Center American Trends Panel Wave 43 to make that case. But from what I can tell in that pew research trends panel, there is no mention on how many non-white voters identify as conservative, so I have no clue where he is getting that information unless it's from the book which I also doubt given the book being about how black americans rally around the democrats consistently. The article finishes by saying that as the US becomes less racially segregated, more black and non-white Americans will change party affiliations to republican. But all it uses for that is just the census data which never mentions less racially segregated america leading to more non-white GOP voters. It also uses a republican pollster named Patrick Ruffini and his book “Party of the People Inside the Multiracial populist coalition remaking the GOP” as evidence, again, for showing how black voters are abandoning the democrats despite the fact that the share of republican black and non-white voters hasn't changed much in the last couple of elections, the distribution is the same, it's just that turnout was higher so there were more non-white GOP voters. Okay last thing on this incredibly long post, the article actually ends by saying that these voters are likely to become swing voters and that they likely will be won back by the dems, or at least can be. Essentially saying that all that he was saying in the article wasn't actually influential and that the distribution in the voters could still be the same. He doesn't use voting data for the entire article, which is the most important data to use when it comes to this.
Anyway, I couldn't find a lot on John Burn-Murdoch, but this article is still trash.
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I work in construction, and there are several black co-workers of mine that support Trump.
Idk why it is so hard for media to grasp that there are chuds of every race.
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It is not unusual for decent workers, outnumbered by right wingers, to go-along-to-get-along to keep their asses out of unneeded troubles.
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Nah dude. Plenty of non-white workers saying bigoted shit all the time.
People need to stop attributing morality to skin color
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Construction is just a circle jerk of vocal trump supporters and people too concerned about being astrocized by their coworkers to speak up. Right ring identity is peer pressured onto people that don't pay any attention to politics. It's all just jokes and games to these idiots
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Fans of misogyny work in construction? 😱
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While that story is not impossible, it is vanishingly unlikely. I know that there's enough racism in the construction industry that it's a rare occurrence to even see multiple black people at a worksite.
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I know that there's enough racism in the construction industry that it's a rare occurrence to even see multiple black people at a worksite.
I'm one of 5 white guys out of close to 100 other production employees, lol. Have you ever worked in construction? At least here in VA it's a healthy mix of latino, black and white
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What region do you live in? I think that's accurate for the Northeast and Midwest (even in the area around Detroit) but the black belt in the south is quite different.
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This is the best summary I could come up with:
The Democratic Party has been gradually losing support among racial minority voters over recent years, a trend that has garnered no small level of attention in the political sphere.
Several other polls have confirmed that this paradigm shift remains in full swing as nonwhites gradually veer away from the party they called home.
Yet while the GOP will undoubtedly pick up a higher percentage than it has in the past, that doesn't mean that an exodus to the Party of Lincoln is in the offing—especially when it concerns Black Americans.
In February, folks like Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk and other prominent Right-leaning figures decided it would be a good idea to attack Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. and the 1964 Civil Rights Act during Black History Month.
Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy also came under fire for employing rhetoric about the Black community that was reliant on stereotypes and almost wholly devoid of solutions.
While more Black folks are seeing that the Democrats have no intention of doing anything meaningful to give African Americans a fairer shot, it is not as if they have a home with the GOP.
The original article contains 673 words, the summary contains 188 words. Saved 72%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!
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You're not wrong
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I keep trying to warn y'all but you won't listen. SMH
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Ever see the film Bulworth? Worth a watch.
tl;dw - Warren Beatty plays a Democratic Senator going through a mental health crisis and starts saying outrageous things hoping to be killed.
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Just from that clip, it looks like pretty on-the-nose political satire. I’m gonna have to put that on the watch list.
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90 comments
All it takes is enough people choosing not to participate in a clearly two-party system , and we have Trump for 20 more years.
Go ahead, do your protest vote. Vote your conscience. Whatever you call it.
Yeah, we need a better voting system… but we don’t have one at the moment.
Ranked choice voting FIRST, then you can do your protest vote.
Exactly. Get rid of this ridiculous electoral college and make every vote count.
So never?
Like there is literally zero reason for them to ever put forward a candidate who tries to bring about this change if they can never lose your vote.
This looks like you're setting a criterion you know won't be met. In the unlikely event that it is met before the two party hegemony yields fascism or societal collapse, I have little faith that there won't be a shiny new criterion to prevent voting against the duopoly.
I don't think you're wrong per se, but maybe, maybe, a political party should have to serve its voters' interests to get them to vote it, instead of relying on the other guy being a ghoul to gather fear-votes and blackmail-votes from those it ignores.
Not an American, but given similar experiences in my country (Greece), I absolutely do not blame them.
Our right wing politician just got the most popular re-election and standalone election statistics, and the only reelection-higher-than-first-election numbers, in our country's political history.
And everyone hates him.
I'm going to over-over-simplify, but the reason for those numbers, is that our left has failed at serving the rights and interests of the people, and then has been cannibalising itself, getting corrupted, and losing members for at least 15 years.
If a system is so corrupt that it doesn't take care of its citizens, they're naturally going to stop caring and supporting it. The ghouls will take over, because ghouls thrive in corruption better. 100%-Hitler will win, when his only opponent is 75%-Hitler, because 100%-Hitler is actually liked by some part of the populace.
This kind of fattening-of-the-ruling-class has been the way almost every single empire has weakened itself into collapsing over time, in human history.
Yet another country where this sort of thing happened: A feckless, corrupt, out-of-touch left loses to a douchebag on the right that everyone hates. It happened in the US, it happened in Argentina, and it keeps on happening in Britain, and I'm sure there's a bunch of other countries I'm forgetting.
We need to trim the fat, so to speak. But that takes revolution, and—Americans—can’t agree on where the fat is.
Every time I see this, I think of the cable employees from south park.
That’s how we end up with Trump in the first place….. A lot of people didn’t like Killary Clinton and the Dems fucked Bernie in the contested convention
We ended up with trump because enough idiots kept repeating shit like “Killary”.
Trump can only be president for another 4 year term, and changing the term limit requires an Act of Congress. Implying that he somehow intends to subvert a very established part of the system is pretty alarmist, and also gives him far more power than what he actually has.
My dude, the Constitution is literally just a piece of paper. It can do nothing without the will of the population to enforce it. You think Trump cares what it says? Or the party that backs him? Or the millions of voters who are begging for an excuse to commit violence?
Conversely, the government has whatever power the population gives it. If Trump decides he wants to be a dictator and stay in office, and the GOP don't resist, the Constitution won't magically force him out.
I think being alarmed is pretty rational at this point. I feel you may not be paying attention to recent events.
The GOP intends to coup. They’re not actually being quiet about it. If they get Congress, The Supreme Court, and the Presidency, they get the country.