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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)WH
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2 yr. ago

  • You know nothing about the Caucasus. Your timeline is wrong:

    1. Armenia has been occupying Azeri land since the war in the 90s. Azerbaijan could not do anything because Russia supported Armenia.
    2. In 2018 the government of Armenia gets toppled by Pashinyan, a pro-West politician. Russia stops protecting Armenia and in 2020 Azerbaijan moves in to take back Karabakh.
    3. Armenia is crushed in the battle (no surprises there!). This is a very one-sided fight and Armenia has no chance.
    4. Russia steps in at the last minute to save Armenia from total failure. The resulting peace deal is very generous to Armenia given how poorly it did in the battle.

    The second Karabakh war happened only because of the 2018 coup in Armenia which gave control of Armenia to a pro-Western government. Without Russian support there was nothing Armenia could do to stop Azerbaijan taking back the land that was stolen in the first Karabakh war.

  • Azerbaijan has more than 3 times the number people Armenia has. In addition Azeris have oil/gas and a strong ally in Turkey. Armenia's hopelss militaty situation is a given. They can't win any fight. The only thing they have going is Russia's support. Without Russian support Armenia is in a very bad spot.

    In fact the only reason the 2020 war happened is that Azeris correctly predicted that Russian support for Armenia is not what it used to be, given Pashinyan's desire to flirt with the West.