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usernamesAreTricky @ usernamesAreTricky @lemmy.ml
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  • Trump is often a paper tiger. He quite often backs down from fights the minute someone pushes back. He's also been rather willing to throw people under the bus

    He's not yet a dictator as much as he might be trying to make himself one. Most of his power in this moment is from people complying assuming he is. He is a lot weaker in actually getting you to do something if you resist than he wants you to believe. Don't do his dirty work for him

    The fight isn't over until it's over

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  • If they don't testify, they can put people in contempt of congress which can be enforced by the Sergeant at Arms. This is something that did happen to Steve Bannon when he refuesed to testify for the Jan 6th committee. Not just a hypothetical power

    The Sergeant at Arms is part of the house, not the executive

    If Trump tries to illegally dismissing congress, they could just still meet and direct the Sergeant at Arms anyway

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  • Chuck Schumer had that power last wee

    And the senate would not need to be involved here. All but 1 house dems did vote against it when there was a real chance to stop it (it wasn't 100% certain that republicans had the vors in the house)

    House dems are livid at Schumer. The house has been better at opposing - it's just that their powers are much more limited while in the minority are more limited compared to the senate.

    Democrats have no subpoena power or ability to hold official hearings while in the minority

    The context was in flipping the house. They would be in the majority in that scenario

    If you for half a second think a Republican-led House

    Again the context was flipping the house

  • Touché

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  • I get the idea of wanting to stick it to the US, but it's maybe not the largest source of pride when you consider what the industry looks like. Being slightly less bad than the US is not a high bar. It's still quite horrifying


    Intensive farming is the predominant method of producing meat, dairy products and eggs in Europe and elsewhere in the world

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/23/long-shadow-life-under-the-veiled-grasp-of-factory-farming-in-europe

    In the EU, over 300 million animals spend all, or a significant part, of their lives imprisoned in cages – from sows in farrowing crates to egg-laying hens in so-called ‘enriched’ cages.

    [...]

    While the EU ban on the use of barren battery cages came into force in 2012, nearly half of commercial egg-laying hens are still kept in so-called ‘enriched’ cages. Additionally breeding flocks and chicks are also caged, often in barren cages.

    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/cmsdata/231961/'End%20the%20Cage%20Age'%20report,%20October%202020.pdf

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  • Don't conflate national dems and state dem parties. The state dems are fighting back far stronger

    Hell many are defying trump straight to his face such as Maine's governor who told him in person that they'd not comply with his anti-trans stuff

    Kathy Hochul is still enforcing NYC's congestion pricing despite Trump directly telling her to stop and threatning federal funding

    And so on

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  • We've had multiple special elections already this year. Dems have had some massive overperformances in some of them.

    For instance, Iowa saw a Trump+21 district state senate distict flip

    Virginia had special elections earlier in January where dems had a couple of point overperformance compared to harris

    Stop doing Musk's and Trump's work for him and claim things are over before they're over. All this does is create cynicism and apathy that play straight into his power

    Join on the streets too and vote in every damn election. They want you doing neither, so do both

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  • That requires much more than just red states republican legislatures being complicit. That's just a straight up military coup at that point. That's not the scenario the earlier people were laying out

    We've had hybrid senarios before. During Lincoln's elections, many southern states didn't even let him put his name on the ballot. He still won the election

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  • If they don't testify, they can put people in contempt of congress which can be enforced by the Sergeant at Arms.

    The Sergeant at Arms as I wrote. They are part of congress. They are not part of the executive branch


    Under this process, the procedure for holding a person in contempt involves only the chamber concerned. Following a contempt citation, the person cited is arrested by the Sergeant-at-Arms of the House or Senate, brought to the floor of the chamber, held to answer charges by the presiding officer, and then subjected to punishment as the chamber may dictate (usually imprisonment for punishment, imprisonment for coercion, or release from the contempt citation).[18]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contempt_of_Congress

    The sergeant at arms of the United States House of Representatives is an officer of the House with law enforcement, protocol, and administrative responsibilities. The sergeant at arms is elected at the beginning of each Congress by the membership of the House.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergeant_at_Arms_of_the_United_States_House_of_Representatives

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  • even if in a hypothetical that it was just blue states that held elections, that would be enough to potentially flip the house. California and New York have enough potential and realistic house flips to change the US from red to blue

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  • Because they do have power if they're willing to use it. It can slow them down. For instance,

    They have subpoenas. Make republicans have to spend all their time talking about all the horrible things they're doing to the floor. Remove all their time to do said horrible things because they're too busy testifying

    If they don't testify, they can put people in contempt of congress which can be enforced by the Sergeant at Arms. This is something that did happen to Steve Bannon when he refuesed to testify for the Jan 6th committee. Not just a hypothetical power

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  • Elections are run by the states including for federal office. They are not run by the federal government

    Nor are there is no provision anywhere to cancel elections due to war. They still happened during the US Civil war

    Hell even if in a hypothetical that it was just blue states that held elections, that would be enough to potentially flip the house. California and New York have enough potential and realistic house flips to change the US from red to blue

    Declaring that they won't happen just plays into Trump's hands. It makes people more cynical and less inclined to fight back

  • 90% the things Trump suggests are not something he actually does. The trouble is you're never sure which 10% are what he will do

    He floods the zone with so much intentionally that it all looks like noise. Don't get twisted by it all. It's designed to make you numb and assume he is more powerful than he is. He's done that this term and he did it during his first term

    Follow his direct actions more than his words. Based on actions, I'd actually be a bit more alarmed for Panama invasion than Canada right now. He directed military to create plans for that. Watch it more closely

  • I believe most of those were based on intentionally misreading of the orders from my understanding. The recent one with sending people to El Salvador was more much blatant. Especially as people within the whitehouse are blatantly poking at the judge. For instance, yhey are retweeting the el salvador president "joking" and saying "Oppsie, too late" (they were ordered to turn the planes around before they got there)

    It's going to matter what the courts do from here out. They have the power to sanctuation. If Marshalls don't enforce said sanctions, they have the power to deputize others to enforce for them if the courts are willing to do so

  • Watch for any movement / build up of troops. He could still be bluffing here, but this is more than what he's done for other places as far as I'm aware. His actions and orders from here out will be much more telling than any of his words will be

  • She would have to be in the senate to take over senate leadership in the short term. For his seat itself, there's been house members - including moderates - starting to support the idea her primarying him when his term is up in 2028

    Several members — including moderates — have begun voicing support for a primary challenge to Schumer, floating Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.) as possible candidates, three House Democrats said.

    https://www.axios.com/2025/03/14/house-democrats-angry-chuck-schumer-shutdown

  • House dems aren't as much. The censure vote is stupid, sure, but censure is just paper with no teeth. House spending votes do matter and all House Dems minus 1 all voted against the bill Schumer wants to get through. They are fucking pissed at Schumer right now. They're actively pressuring him (and publicly so) and starting primary efforts. State AGs are also pressuring Schumer not to go through with this

    Complete meltdown. Complete and utter meltdown on all text chains," said the member, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to offer sensitive details of members' internal conversations.

    A senior House Democrat said "people are furious" and that some rank-and-file members have floated the idea of angrily marching onto the Senate floor in protest.

    Others are talking openly about supporting primary challenges to senators who vote for the GOP spending bill

    [....]

    "People are PISSED," one House Democrat told Axios in a text message.

    Several members — including moderates — have begun voicing support for a primary challenge to Schumer, floating Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.) as possible candidates, three House Democrats said.

    One lawmaker even vowed at the House Democratic retreat to "write a check tonight" supporting Ocasio-Cortez, said the senior House Democrat

    Another Democrat told Axios the ideation has gone a step further: "There is definitely a primary recruitment effort happening right now ... not just Schumer, but for everyone who votes no."

    [...]

    Said one member: "Folks are still working the phones tonight with their senators. We have not given up."

    https://www.axios.com/2025/03/14/house-democrats-angry-chuck-schumer-shutdown

    If they do actually try and start impeachment against a judge, do keep the pressure on the senate to vote no, but don't preemptively doom about it. It just makes people defeatest and stop fighting

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