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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)TR
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  • The intuition is exactly your argument:

    When the machine says yes it's either because

    (1) the sun went nova (vanishingly small chance) and machine rolled truth (prob 35/36) -- the joint probability of this (the product) is near zero

    OR

    (2) sun didn't go nova (prob of basically one) and machine rolled lie (prob 1/36) -- joint prob near 1/36

    Think of joint probability as the total likelihood. It is much more likely we are in scenario 2 because the total likelihood of that event (just under 1/36) is astronomically higher than the alternative (near zero)

    I'm skipping stuff but hopefully my words make clear what they math doesn't always

  • There was a disparaging scene about them in the Yesterday movie about the Beatles disappearing from existence with only one person remembering them,

    The main character Googled for traces of the Beatles and was shocked to find there were none

    Then when he googled Oasis and found nothing he was like "huh. Makes sense"