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Posts
48
Comments
494
Joined
2 yr. ago

  • nominally, I agree that the immediate motives are Bibi's self interest.

    Strategically, this does drive a wedge between Hamas and Iran. Of the likely successors, Mashaal has had multiple conflicts with Iran, Abu Marzouk is a pragmatist who would probably start de-escalating, and al Hayya who is a hardliner. For two of those three, Hamas moves away from Iran which is probably a good thing for Israel.

    Only time will tell though

  • A lot of the criticism I've seen thus far falls into two categories:

    1. Users complaining that their favorite source is scored poorly
    2. Users complaining that the ratings have various sources of statistical bias

    The ones in the first group I think should take it as a wakeup call that they are either headline shopping or missing out on other perspectives of current events. This is especially important on the international stage where armed conflicts will naturally produce two opposing accounts (and lots of propaganda).

    The second group have a point - MBFC isn't the end all be all, but it's certainly better than nothing. Having meaningful bias measurements for each relevant scale would be impressive but way beyond what MBFC aims to do.

    So all in all - I see this as a very positive change

  • About 20 years ago Hezbollah first started using guided anti-tank missiles. In some cases they are steering the missile all the way until impact. I'm sure details will come out soon, but you don't just randomly hit the field/playground in the middle of town by accident without trying at least a little bit.

  • Hezbollah has been launching combination rocket/drone attacks along the entire northern border for the last 6 months. In the least week or two there have been several reports of hits without any warning sirens. I'm inclined to say that this is indicative of a shift in tactics and/or technology that has been shared, and may also impact the Ukraine war (the drones are the same Iranian design/manufacture).

    This incident will draw lots of saber rattling against the Houthis, and there will probably be some air raids on Houthi military assets by various coalition forces. The ones to watch here are Saudi Arabia and Jordan - they both have the opportunity to earn some goodwill for relatively little risk and achieve their own goals at the same time.

    I have no clue if the Houthis will attempt to escalate this with larger drone swarms. Their doctrine so far has been less than 20 daily, most of which are targeting ships or Eilat. But this is the first time they've directly targeted Tel Aviv.

  • "He saw groups of men with sticks waiting for trucks to leave the Kerem Shalom crossing into Gaza. All trucks he passed were badly damaged, with broken windshields, mirrors and hoods."

    My personal bias filled in the masks. I guess I was holding out hope that they had some fear of consequence left.

  • You clearly didn't read the article.

    Israel needs that aid to be distributed. Otherwise Gazans starve and the war has to end before the hostages are returned or Hamas is killed off. The masked men attacking aid trucks are terrorist sympathizers who are trying to starve Gazans.

  • Defederation is a tool of last resort. Before taking that step as a community we should attempt to engage the admins to align them towards more acceptable behavior. Migrating communities away from instances with petty and abusive admins is always a good idea, and this absolutely qualifies.

  • Calling to defederate merely on the basis of political opinion might be premature. However, I suspect defederation will happen for legal reasons: they host users who openly support terrorist organizations designated as such by the EU. LW is subject to Dutch law - hosting such content is more of a gray area than CSAM, but still very much illegal in most countries.

    The reason I'm not pushing here with examples is because I have not yet contacted the mods/admins to remove said content. They may have simply not been aware and I'll give them that chance. But even seeing that content has a chilling effect on users who would contribute - even in unrelated communities.

  • 3 hostages per week for 6 weeks in return for an immediate withdrawal of all Israeli forces and a full end to the war.

    In other words: 18 hostages, some of whom might be dead, and 114 who would never be returned.

    This was not a minor change that could possibly be construed as testing which terms would be acceptable. This was a deliberate attempt to sabotage negotiations and produce a headline of "Hamas agrees to ceasefire" to avoid US pressure on Qatar to kick out Hamas leadership.

  • .gitattributes can invoke Word on windows to diff versions, and there are plenty of open source scripts that can do it if you don't have a copy of Word (or Windows) lying around.

    But Word is like shit for papers. Use LaTeX instead.