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  • Pot committed is more a math reality with a small amount of sunk cost fallacy. There's always a non zero chance someone is bluffing. A 99% chance to lose $11 is better than a 100% chance to lose $10 if you can win $100 on that 1%.

  • They are more similar than they are different though. The numbers are bigger and the limits aren't known, but they do exist. Many countries have felt the pain of excessive debt, the arguments that it can't happen to the US are essentially that the US is a unicorn country.

  • This isn't a normal rational thing. This is Trump using schoolyard bully tactics. Mexico went the appeasement route. Trump doesn't care about anyone respecting the US, he cares what he can get them to do for him.

  • No business is ok with arbitrarily paying more, even if it is predictable. That's why they built factories in Mexico in the first place, because it was cheaper. Businesses also aren't a monolith in their preferences, Amazon would happily take 4 years of chaos if it forces many competitors out of business. Similarly musk/Tesla isn't ready to compete with other car companies (US, EU, or China) actually trying to make EVs, more chaos on his competition is great for him.

  • Marco Rubio has the traditional qualifications for SoS. Doug Burgum for interior was a governor, maybe lacking specific history/preservation credentials, but not awful. Pam Bondi was a state attorney general. Doug Collins served in the military and as a congressman, so probably qualified for veterans affairs.

    There's a couple that are qualified in that they did the same or similar job for Trump last Time. Russell Vought and John Ratcliffe.

    That's the best I could find from a qualifications perspective. The other picks are pretty bad