American border is like prison border with the world being the prison. They are more concerned about people getting out of the prison than people getting in.
Other than gnome I don't see fragmentation in your argument. Most of the distros have shifted to systemd, most of them are shifting to Wayland. Immutable is a way of installation.
On these basic stuff it seems they are getting less fragmented instead of more.
Linux people have always been divided emacs vs vi; gnome vs kde. Nothings gonna stop that, chill man is fun.
The difference being the two partners have won the seat on minority votes. So it would be difficult to pursue fascist ideology. Also the opposition is stronger than before.
Russia can't have its 2 major supporters at loggerheads. At least till this conflict is resolved.