I lost the link, I had it once and have shared it here when someone else had a similar question. It's been memory holed but if I find it again I'll send it to you.
Because it hard arbitrary provisions that would have essentially allowed Joe Biden to pause the border restrictions at his discretion. The assumption was that he would sign the "we fixed the border" bill, then pause restrictions, and act like he did something, and the Republicans weren't willing to give him that optic W.
It's fine that oil and gas production are higher now, I'm sure Trump will take that number even higher.
What I'd like to see when it comes to illegal immigration isn't exactly more arrests, but a stronger border that's harder to get through in the first place. And perhaps some deportations as well, although I tepidly prefer some qualified form of amnesty to deporting every single illegal immigrant.
For national security, a lot of it is securing the southern border. It does have some ties to foreign affairs, part of that is Trump's (relative) strength as a negotiator with world powers. He doesn't get everything he wants all the time, but he is feared to a degree by many leaders, which is important when some of those leaders are our enemies, and he understands how to use leverage in circumstances such as negotiating the release of American hostages from foreign soil. I will say that Trump isn't as good at negotiating as I would like, but at least he has a positive track record on that front, whereas Kamala Harris can't even negotiate the support of the Teamsters lol
I have great respect for libertarianism, but it's a little too extreme for me. There need to be federal institutions at some scale (even if they should be minimized, like Trump I too am a Federalist)
I think it's more than ABC News fired Nate and most people involved with FiveThirtyEight. Happened awhile ago, at least a year or two ago.