ralphio @ ralphio @lemmy.world

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2 yr. ago

It trades on Hong Kong Stock Ex so not a traditional Chinese market, but technically a Chinese one nonetheless. Honestly considering how many tech stocks are traded in retirement funds today, Evergrande probably once seemed like a relatively conservative investment.

Rule of thumb is about 1/3 go to foreign investment for a typical retirement account in the US. But you're right, it should be a very small part of the average portfolio.

Yes, both stock and bonds. But the stock and bonds have been trading near zero for a couple years so the damage was done in '21.

The main divergence between the two is that Zelensky is more optimistic about the war while Zaluzhnyi is more pessimistic. There's also been some chatter that Zaluzhnyi could make a run at the presidency in the future so it could be a factor. This article covers most of it: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/31/valerii-zaluzhnyi-ukraine-general-president-volodymyr-zelenskiy-rift

FYI: CNN on the credibility of Steele's sources.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/18/politics/steele-dossier-reckoning/index.html

There are plenty of confirmed crimes committed by Trump. No reason to continue to cling to this.

Rtskhiladze later admitted he had been told the tapes were fake

What am I missing here?

ETA: What I'm saying is if the tapes were fake how could they have been used as blackmail. For blackmail to be effective you need to prove it exists.

Yeah you're right that there is nothing definitive. I've always found Manafort's actions to be the most suspicious though. Maybe "almost certainly" is too presumptive.

Let me do my penance here and acknowledge that there almost certainly was some level of collusion between Trump and Russia running up to the 2016 election. That said, the Steele dossier is National Enquirer level of tabloid bullshit. It's so divorced from any sort of evidence that I wonder what case Trump could possibly have here even if he met the deadline to file. If I make a bunch of baseless claims about someone I have not violated their privacy.

Yeah, I'm sorry but this is stupid. I think you're on to something here in that technocracy has led to a situation where corporate stooges are put into positions of power as "experts" who just make policy that benefits capital. On the other hand economics is a legitimate science with rigorous case studies to back up at least some of its theories. The real problem is there are a lot of junk theories out there that have been implemented through the political weaponization of faux-expertise. Chicago Boys' economics is a good example of the problem.

Yeah basically admitting it's state sanctioned. Should save the South African lawyers some paperwork.

Yeah I'm pretty sure this is Israel's methodology for calculating Hamas deaths, 100% of adult men are soldiers. It's obviously a lie but I do believe that's where the number comes from.

How convenient for dem leadership that anyone who disagrees with them is actually a foreign agent.

To be clear since it seems like Pakistan is trying to re-muddy the waters here, the cable is authentic. It does show that the US pressured them to jail Khan. https://theintercept.com/2023/08/16/imran-khan-cable-pakistan-us/

Edit: my bad I meant the US pressured the military to remove him from office.

This doesn't even make any sense, these are problems with the manufacturers not the airlines themselves.

Yep between the mountainous terrain and Iran's advanced missile program it'd be a disaster. If a president got involved in a war like that, the opposition party might end up with 70 senate seats instead of the 60 the dems got after the Iraq war fell apart.

ETA: the other problem is that Iran has a much, much stronger central government than Iraq or Libya did in terms of control over the population.

Biden seems to be making a habit of making statements that contradict US intelligence and then having to backpedal so we'll see.

This being the most high profile example of Biden doing this: https://theintercept.com/2023/10/31/gaza-death-palestine-health-ministry/

That's definitely a big factor here, but NK does have some leverage over China. China for example has not been happy with NK nuclear and missile tests, but they have continued anyway. I guess it's just a question of how far NK might stray from China's authority.

I think you might be misinterpreting China and NK relations here. China moreso sends aid to NK since if the regime collapsed, they'd have to deal with the refugees. It's not as simple as China pays the bills therefore Kim is their puppet. If he went against their wishes they could use force or withhold aid, but that would also just lead to them dealing with a refugee crisis.

Although an invasion is unlikely it's worth keeping an eye on since the result would be a disaster for every party involved.

Yeah a much more plausible explanation of why Dems outperformed polling was new voters after the overturn or Roe. Similar to when Trump brought out new voters for Republicans which made them outperform polls. Of course we can't know the true reason for sure and there are many competing factors, but this all seems very likely to me.

The other thing we have to realize is that Republicans still won the House popular vote by about 3% so the Rep count paints a rosier picture than the actual reality of the raw count.

All that said I still expect Biden to slightly outperform polling in 2024 due to new Roe-inspired voters.

The timing of this discovery seems awfully convenient, no? Even if it's true, it looks like the Israelis sat on this info.

So they didn't throw out the case nor did they order an end to military operations. Consider the can kicked, not that it's a surprising outcome. Tough to parse the legalspeak at this point so I don't have the whole picture.