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6 mo. ago

  • Yeah it's part of the enshitification process. This is why Lemmy appears superior to reddit thus far. On reddit, the quintessential early "are you stupid?" response is enough to shut down the conversation. I'm glad it didn't happen here.

    And it's not even that I disagree that Teslas have major safety design faults, you cannot put door opening mechanism on an electric actuator, because you'll get trapped. I'd never buy a car that doesn't have a mechanical door latch at hand (it's hidden on teslas). Interestingly Teslas used to be considered one of the safest vehicles, but I think a lot of it is, the early EV adopter demographic is simply characterized by much safer driving, and as this demographic shifted, more and more reckless drivers obtained Teslas. (I've been driving EVs since 2017 and around 2022 the demographic shift, at least for Teslas, became very obvious)

  • it's one thing when there are updates on the same new, another is the same news getting reposted 3 weeks later without an update.

  • No. Incidence is a measure of probability of events over time (or with cars alternatively over miles). If the number of events is low (and 4 is low), your confidence intervals are extremely wide (which is the statistical way to say, we have no idea what the real number may be). The comparison is striking, the pinto had 27 fires over 9 years in >3M vehicles. https://fuelarc.com/evs/its-official-the-cybertruck-is-more-explosive-than-the-ford-pinto/

    Let's add that idiots buy cybertrucks who disproportionately think it's bulletproof...

    Again, "analyses" like this make great clickbait but contribute very little to our understanding, and that will remain the case even regardless of you getting angry at me about it or not.

  • Are we still riding on this 3-weeks old news? A whole year had elapsed since.

  • that's how confirmation bias works, not statistical probabilities.

    EM's still a nazi and the CT is a horrible joke, but this is still insufficient data.

  • Funny that the article doesn't cover what happened to Ferdinand Porsche. Not a lot of consequences there.

  • Reads like clickbait. There's 34K Cybetrucks, so the actual number of fire fatalities is rounded to 5, one of which is the trumptower guy (so 20% is already intentional). Not that these are encouraging numbers, but you can't draw conclusions from an N of 4.

  • That's very optimistic. Remember people leaving the GOP ship in droves after Jan6? By 2024 they managed to return to trump somehow. Almost everything that happened in the past 3 weeks that is of consequence to peoples livelihoods had been entirely predictable. I wouldn't count on the judgement, nor the political memory of people with sudden "trumpgret" in 2024.

  • I also don’t think it’s hindsight.

    Many people said many many things, so by the rule of large numbers, someone's prediction will pan out but it doesn't necessarily mean they have a superior grasp of the underlying causes or that their next predictions will be correct again.

    And at this point I think a civil war is the only way to resolve things. Nation states will not survive the invention of the internet.

    I suspect you are correct about the eventuality of a civil war, but I do hope the revolution can be pulled off without bloodshed. Like through migration to decentralized networks.

  • the solution isn’t to frame it as rural vs urban, but left vs right.

    I'd say the distinction is justified by the very quantifiable and objective data to support it from many countries and elections. It's also by design, as rural people's emotions will be much better controlled by xenophobia in its most literal sense. Also rural people have much smaller networks and thus much more controllable information consumption. This is what right wing conservatives have been banking on.

    Republicans will never turn out to vote for a democrat no matter how bad their candidate is. Reaching out to them, wherever they live, is a waste of time.

    I entirely agree with this, but it's also hindsight is 20/20. I don't think it was an insane idea to run on the idea of cooperation and consistency vs. the chaos of trumpism to convince the "normal conservatives". Harris' campaign was highly risk-averse, but again the theme was consistent, vote for us and we won't fuck shit up like trump would. What the past two general elections showed is that anger appears to be the primary winning force. GOP strategy pounding on grocery pricing was the perfect method, people pay for groceries multiple times a week, so you can remind them how angry they are every time even when Americans' primary issue (relative to other western nations) are housing and healthcare and the lack of social safety net, whereas Americans have bad diets but don't starve.

    That said if we keep anger to be the driver of elections, it's only a matter of time to end up with a civil war.

  • There’s plenty of hippies and anarchists in the boonies. They’re just not gonna turn out for someone reaching across the aisle to their annoying redneck neighbors.

    Well, that's my point.

  • My point is that considering how complicated the situation was where incumbent parties were massacred globally, Harris didn't run a shitty campaign. She made some bold decisions that didn't pan out. For example, she attempted to bridge the rural vs. urban divide by picking Walz, something that is quite ubiquitous to other modern authoritarian systems such as Türkiye or Hungary. What I would conclude is, rural votes are forever lost to the far right, and trying to appeal to rural voters will not be a viable future approach. Simply saying she did a shit job is not very constructive, and frankly quite unfair.

  • No, you found a person can read, ain’t even american.

    Certainly not one who proofreads.😂 I'm very eager to hear your explanation on the state level stuff, but I suspect you're not here for the intellectual discourse:D

  • No they aren't angry. They give zero fucks and just pull an RFK on Samoa. They will simply not to pay attention to "MSM" if it gets inconvenient, and any present change will be chalked up to Kamala.

  • You can’t actually be that dumb, the militia part was state level.

    It's hard to debate such well-regulated arguments.:) Also, we found the redditor!

  • I see a pattern here. Woman doesn’t get elected => they ran a shitty campaign

  • would be a pretty big ego stroke, I’d venture.

    did I hear big stroke?:)

  • Love it. You can never post anything bad about guns on Reddit's unpopular opinion section. And I agree, it's to murder other humans. The 2nd amendment's present interpretation is an amazing example why I have such low respect for constitutional lawyers: The well-regulated militia part is in the same sentence to specifically set the context in which the right to bear arms is protected and people getting away without taking the militia part into consideration is total bullshit.

    Also, the 2nd amendment does not absolve irresponsible gun owners for the consequences of their gun ownership. Since Americans lose 350K guns annually (!!!!!!!) and provide most of the Mexican cartels' firearms, there's a lot of bad gun ownership that people should be punished for. Generally speaking, you'll be the last to know about the gun ownership of people who actually store them responsibly.

  • “fun” fact, Porsche, the guy who founded the car company was a card carrying nazi. Pretty devoted. Just a great example of how the actual elites can support and benefit from insane wars without long term consequences.

  • e now I know I am human and very killable. I still got a motorcycle, but I had a healthy respect for my limits as well as the dangers involved by the time I was 25.

    Some people's frontal lobes never reach maturity, it just evolves into fetishes like impregnating Mars after dumping Earth.