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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)NE
Posts
491
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631
Joined
2 yr. ago

  • Every day the US pushes us closer to nuclear war.

    In case anyone was wondering why China is rapidly building up their nuclear weapons stockpile, this is why. The US cannot stop their Cold War-era antics. They must always be superior. They must always be able to get the first say and the final say.

    China's nuclear doctrine is very clear: don't launch nukes at them and they won't respond with nukes, but if you do then nothing is held back. No first use, just like India.

    NATO's policy of allowing for first use stems from fears of being conventionally outgunned by the Soviets and now the Chinese. If anything, this should tell you where China's military capabilities lie.

  • 2023Q4 - 5.2% GDP growth

    2024Q1 - 5.3% GDP growth (+0.7% over estimates)

    Caixin Manufacturing PMI - 51.1

    Citi GDP growth estimate 2024 - 5% (up from 4.6%)

    This is as China's real estate sector is actively deflating and dragging down GDP growth (real estate as % of GDP estimated to drop from a high of 24% in 2018 to 19% in 2023) on the order of about 1 percentage point annually.

    I'm really not sure what you're talking about? Labour is rotating into clean tech deployments, GDP growth numbers actively account for the deflation of the real estate bubble, manufacturing is still expanding, and estimates for GDP growth from Western analysts continue to shoot up. Meanwhile, bankrupt developers are having their projects be repurposed into public housing.

    In fact, investments are rotating rapidly from real estate into industrial capacity, which tends to have higher short-term ROI and a more significant short-term contribution to GDP.

    The biggest concern IMO is the rapid expansion of debt at the national level, which reflects the collapse of LGFVs as a viable method of supporting provincial coffers due to the decline in real estate - China's government is becoming more centralized, and that has the potential to intervene with the (astonishingly successful) hands-off policy that's been adopted in the past.

  • Striking a facility that's entirely focused on detecting hostile nuclear launches is... Probably not the smartest thing Ukraine has ever done. Nuclear facilities typically are protected by MAD, and this is going to push Russia to the edge on nuclear weapons use.

    This is terrifying and I have no idea why the US hasn't intervened to clear the waters.

  • The Security Council resolution drafted by Russia rivaled one backed by the U.S. and Japan that failed last month. The rival drafts focused on different types of weapons, with the U.S. and Japan specifying weapons of mass destruction. The Russian draft discussed all types of weapons.

    Why is the US so keen to allow conventional weapons in space?

  • East Asian politics is played on centimeters, not miles.

    A nudge a few centimeters in any given direction has the same effect as a North American leader completely flopping to a different position, because it indicates a fundamental issue: what direction is this guy taking me?

  • Zelensky's approval rate is in the gutter. What do you really think?

    I think you're not understanding the perception of government in Eastern Europe. The mountains are high and the emperor is far away.

  • World News @lemmy.ml

    83% of supply chains fail 24-hour disruption response

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Text of the Gaza ceasefire proposal approved by Hamas

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Republican US senators sent threatening letter to ICC prosecutor over possible Netanyahu arrest warrant

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Top Secret: In a 2018 letter, Netanyahu asks Qatar to fund Hamas

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Biden calls US ally Japan ‘xenophobic’ along with Russia and China

    World News @lemmy.ml

    More than 100 arrested as NYPD cops in riot gear storm Columbia University, clear protests

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Air China to buy 100 locally made C919 jets in $11 billion deal

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Palestinians killed in Israeli strikes on designated 'safe zones'

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Police In Berlin, Germany, Arrest Pro-Palestinian Demonstrators Camped Outside German Parliament

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Students at prestigious Paris university occupy campus building in pro-Palestinian protest

    World News @lemmy.ml

    China hosts Hamas, Fatah delegations for reconciliation talks

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Ukraine pulls US-provided Abrams tanks from the front lines over Russian drone threats

    World News @lemmy.ml

    ‘We must say no’: Seoul defense chief on Korean, USFK involvement in hypothetical Taiwan crisis

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Hong Kong protests: thwarted plotters planned to use 2 bombs with 10kg in explosives to target police, court hears

    World News @lemmy.ml

    The US secretly sent long-range missiles to Ukraine — and Kyiv used them

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Philippines court sides with Greenpeace, bans genetically modified rice cultivation

    World News @lemmy.ml

    Mercedes-Benz boss urges Brussels to cut tariffs on Chinese EVs

    World News @lemmy.ml

    TikTok ban measure passed by the Senate. Here's what could happen next.

    World News @lemmy.ml

    FTC votes to ban noncompete clauses that bar employees from working for competitors

    World News @lemmy.ml

    China's new H-20 stealth bomber 'not really' a concern for Pentagon, says intel official