mwguy @ mwguy @infosec.pub

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892

Joined

2 yr. ago

My apologies I misread your tone.

LLM's hallucinate all the time. The hallucination is the feature. Depending on how you design the neural network you can get an AI that doesn't hallucinate. LLM's have to do that, because they're mimicking human speech patterns and predicting one of my possible responses.

A model that tries to predict locations of people likely wouldn't work like that.

I would fully disagree. We targeted civilians, not in war zones at functions like weddings, funerals and other explicitly civilian gatherings. We (the US) had the intent to kill civilians, and our tolerances for civilian casualties were an order of magnitude larger than what the IDF is using.

If anything it's not comparable because what we did was worse.

I mean, it probably has a neural network component.

DST vsm Standard time literally doesn't matter. It's the switching between the two that kills people.

This AI isn't a LLM.

This is almost certainly true. That's truthfully the only way to track humans en-mass.

What do you mean? There's a whole generation of Yemeni children afraid of Sunny days because those are the days that people die. I'm a place that gets 300+ days of sunshine a year.

We we're much worse.

So you're complaint is that people are telling you, "You have this percentage chance of this being reality" and then you're mad that they're unable to be more accurate? It's polling it's not fortune-telling.

If I tell you that a rocket is going to land withing a 20ft circle 90% of the time and land 9 rockets in the circle and 1 out of it; was I accurate or inaccurate in your mind?

That would be such a poor move.

If a pill has a +- of 5-7 percent with 90% confidence. And you have ten polls, You would expect at least one to be off by more that 5-7%. What your describing is expected.

The Siena poll found that “independents, especially women, are swinging to the G.O.P. despite Democrats’ focus on abortion rights. …The biggest shift came from women who identified as independent voters. In September, they favored Democrats by 14 points. Now, independent women backed Republicans by 18 points–a striking swing given the polarization of the American electorate and how intensely Democrats have focused on that group and on the threat Republicans pose to abortion rights.”

This is the chunk you're complaining about? They didn't even refute the poll they just don't like that data. And that's after consistently complaining about polls that were marked as toss-ups.

Like please respond to the first one. Because the polls got Oz vs. Fetterman largely correct and it's the first example of a miss which should be the strongest one.

In other words, China, Malaysia, Korea, etc. – somewhere in Asia.

The Shadow Broker's leaks showed that state actors had whole tool suites to ensure that the product appeared like it was coming from a different location. Given that those tools have been leaked since 2016 and the concept is even older; relying on metadata like timezones, character set, etc... to make determinations about location is unreliable at best.

Did you read that article? Their first example of a polling "miss":

The average poll in the week before election day had Mehmet Oz beating John Fetterman by nearly 1% in Pennsylvania when in reality Fetterman beat Oz by nearly 5%

Pollsters were actually calling that race a toss up (also 538's page ). There were several polls that predicted a slim Oz and several that predicted a slim Fetterman. Even the Republican leading pollster that was predicting a 1% the wrong way has a confidence interval of +/- 2.5 and had 4.9% other/undecided factor in the poll.

People are angry that they can't read polls. They're angry that a toss up is just that.

Wow, hyperbolic polling “data” that is consistently inaccurate

Citation needed.

What's more; the majority of Americans don't vote. Trump realized that if you can convince non-voters to vote you can crush in an election and that's where the majority of his support has come from. Biden, the Democrats (and honestly the establishment Republicans) still don't realize or are unwilling to utilize this fact.

To win; Biden needs to help American's pocketbooks and do so now.

Everyone seemed to take the tone as support for Trump, which doesn’t appear to be the intent.

Ya that's pretty normal. Trump is the worst president in my lifetime. He should be easy to beat.

You'd be surprised. No Child Left Behind caused a lot of schools to "auto-pass" failing students to get them off of their rolls. And if you pass high school you can almost always get into a lower-tier public school or a community college. Also, you have to combine that with straight-up Scam colleges that accept anybody.

Cram it in your cram whole Lafleur!

You and I get that. The average person doesn't. That's why it's effective.