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  • AFAIK you can also not join the IDF by simply being extremely religious.

  • The other thing that most people don't focus on is how we train LLMs.

    We're basically building something like a spider tailed viper. A spider tailed viper is a kind of snake that has a growth on its tail that looks a lot like a spider. It wiggles it around so it looks like a spider, convincing birds they've found a snack, and when the bird gets close enough the snake strikes and eats the bird.

    Now, I'm not saying we're building something that is designed to kill us. But, I am saying that we're putting enormous effort into building something that can fool us into thinking it's intelligent. We're not trying to build something that can do something intelligent. We're instead trying to build something that mimics intelligence.

    What we're effectively doing is looking at this thing that mimics a spider, and trying harder and harder to tweak its design so that it looks more and more realistic. What's crazy about that is that we're not building this to fool a predator so that we're not in danger. We're not doing it to fool prey, so we can catch and eat them more easily. We're doing it so we can fool ourselves.

    It's like if, instead of a spider-tailed snake, a snake evolved a bird-like tail, and evolution kept tweaking the design so that the tail was more and more likely to fool the snake so it would bite its own tail. Except, evolution doesn't work like that because a snake that ignored actual prey and instead insisted on attacking its own tail would be an evolutionary dead end. Only a truly stupid species like humans would intentionally design something that wasn't intelligent but mimicked intelligence well enough that other humans preferred it to actual information and knowledge.

  • Agree

    Jump
  • Yeah, exactly. Winters in LA or LA might be different. But, winters in places with months and months of snow are awful. You can't do much outside because it's too cold. You can't have your windows open to get some fresh air because it's too cold. You can dress properly to do outdoor activities, but it often requires so many layers that it's really uncomfortable. Plus, you can't have any gaps. Your neck, wrists, ankles are often places where the cold can get in, or worse they can get wet and being cold and wet is awful.

    In addition, the world is just miserable in winter. There's almost nothing alive outside other than other humans. No grass, many trees lose all their leaves, birds migrate away, everything is shades of grey or brown. Christmas can be fun, and it's no coincidence that it's celebrated almost exactly on the darkest day of the year. That's when we need a lot of pretty lights and cheer. But, Christmas is just the beginning of winter. What follows is months of gloomy grey cold.

    And, while there are outdoor winter sports, you need special footwear for all of them because of the snow and ice. You can't even walk across a field or a park without extra effort because of all the snow. Even key winter sports like skating or hockey, if played outside, require that you at a minimum spend a lot of time shovelling all the snow off the ice surface. For a good experience you also have to flood and smooth the ice periodically. So, it's a lot of work.

    Having said all that, if I had to choose between -30 and +40, I'd probably choose -30, because at least you can put on appropriate gear for that and spend some time outside doing something fun. It may be dark and it may be grey, but it's possible to dress for the weather. When it's too hot, you really can't spend any time outside, without risking your life, and it certainly isn't possible to do anything active. But if the choice is between -30 and +30, give me the +30 any day.

  • A mix of first generation immigrants, 2nd generation, 3rd generation, 4th generation, a few remaining natives.

    100% first generation immigrants would be a major shift.

  • If immigrants don't get due process, then nobody gets due process.

    You could arrest Bill Clinton and claim he's an immigrant. If that means he doesn't get due process, he can never prove he's not an immigrant, and so he's stuck in Guantanamo forever.

  • I mean, the 2nd amendment is clearly only about militias, but you can see how that went.

  • If you end birthright citizenship, then nobody gets to be a citizen by birth. If you can't be a citizen by birth, the only way to become a citizen is naturalization. If the only citizens are naturalized people, the country is 100% immigrants.

  • I've been through at least 5 different kinds of phone chargers over the years. Starting with the olde-fashioned coaxial power connector, then going to various versions of USB, and at least 2 kinds of Apple proprietary connectors. Standardizing on USB-C is great. I just hope that they're able to update it in 10-20 years when USB-C is fully out of date.

  • Ah, so you believe ICE?

  • There are a lot more, I just grabbed the first few.

  • And only then?

  • Maybe if that happened ICE would actually start identifying themselves.

  • Maybe tens of thousands of years ago, but 2000ish years ago 60ish was old age. The main reason life expectancy has gone up isn't that old people didn't make it to 50, it's that young people didn't make it to 2. If a couple has 5 kids, 3 of them die as toddlers and the other two make it to 70 the average life expectancy is about 30, but that doesn't mean living past 30 is unusual.

    Also, tens of thousands of years ago there was an ice age, but for the last 10k years light-skinned Europeans still had normal summers and worked in the fields.

  • And if he does step down as CEO and sell his shares, the stock will tank anyhow. The only reason it's currently about 100x over its realistic value is that people bought into the idea that Elon was this genius who was going to... well who knows. Nothing he could have done would have justified that valuation.

  • I don't either, but my nose isn't hairy and it would burn to a crisp outdoors.

  • There are lots of stories about this.

    But, those are the ones we know about. Are there others we don't? I'd say it's certain.

    For a serial killer, this has to be a gift from the gods. Get some gear from an army surplus store, cover your face, kidnap and kill someone, hide the body, and everyone will just assume that they were deported and lost in the system.

  • Do you mean the one from Norway? He wasn't picked up by a van, he was denied entry at the airport.

  • On the other hand, what bullshit is it that my stupid human body can't survive being outdoors without medicinal cream. My ancestors would be ashamed.