merc @ merc @sh.itjust.works

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2 yr. ago

1am (EST) and 1 of the 3 major party leaders has lost his seat (Singh). Bruce Fanjoy (LIB) has a 2500 vote lead over Poilievre in Carleton with 68% of the votes counted, so it's looking fairly likely he'll lose too.

I wonder if there has ever been an election where this many parties have changed leaders in such a short span of time. First Trudeau stepping down, then the NDP and Cons both having their leaders lose their seats. The only party leaders who survived the election and kept their seats are Elizabeth May and Yves-François Blanchet.

I just hope that this time the small parties can push to get rid of FPTP. This election would have looked so different with any other form of voting.

Can you imagine if, at 45 he has to make a resume and try to find a job for the first time?

Interesting situation right now at about midnight. 172 needed for a majority, projections say they'll be about 10 short. NDP is projected to get about 10 seats, which might not be enough to bring a Liberal/NDP coalition up to 172. Greens are down to 1 seat, leaving only Conservatives and Bloc Quebecois.

What happens if the Liberals and Conservatives (and Green) can't form a coalition to hit 172. Would the Liberals actually make a coalition with the Bloc Quebecois? What could they agree on? What would the Bloc demand?

Wow, you should really call up her family and tell them they're wrong. Those poor fools who knew her and were with her day after day think she committed suicide, but you, some guy on the internet, you know better. They have a right to know! Go call them up and inform them how wrong they are!

And suicidal people are always honest about not being suicidal, right?

If he resigns, Tesla becomes just another car company. Car companies get a P/E ratio of 7 (if they're well run). Tesla's P/E ratio is above 160. Elon Musk's "genius" leadership is how Tesla investors have convinced themselves that they're not investing in a typical car company. If he goes, the stock tanks. But, then again, if he stays, the stock tanks because he's clearly not a genius, and even if he was he's an evil genius and people don't want to buy cars associated with his brand.

Here come the conspiracy theorists.

Could it be that being in the spotlight is exhausting and depressing? Could being a victim of sex trafficking have a huge mental toll? Could it be that her relatives actually know her mental state better than some dude sitting on a couch halfway across the world.

No, of course not, it has to be murder because that makes everything more exciting.

That's the problem. Someone shouldn't have to find a random YouTuber to get basic answers.

I really wish independent journalism existed so you could find out basic facts like "how often does the FBI normally arrest judges?" "Has a judge ever been arrested for obstruction of justice?" "Do they never get arrested inside a courthouse?"

I'm sure Judges sometimes commit crimes, just like everyone else. Are they normally given special deference and not arrested? Do they only get arrested for serious charges, and normally they get special dispensation because of their judge status?

Arresting judges does sound alarming, but without context it's impossible to know just how norm-breaking it is.

For example, if a judge is pulled over and found to be driving drunk, I most definitely would want that judge arrested and charged. Not arresting and charging a judge in that situation sounds like institutional corruption. I wouldn't be surprised if it happens, but I don't know because these journalists aren't doing their damn jobs.

Don't get me wrong, in this case I'm pretty convinced that the Trump people are overstepping their bounds. It seems like a pattern of attacking the judiciary. And, this isn't the judges being arrested for driving drunk or accepting bribes. This is judges being arrested for things related to immigration. Immigration, in particular, is something that the Trump administration is doing completely unlawfully.

But, how can we have any kind of informed dialogue when the standard of reporting is: "One side said 'It's outrageous they arrested a judge', the other side said 'the administration won't accept judges breaking the law.' The judge may have been a democrat."

I've never thought Trump was smart. He sounds stupid when he talks. He doesn't seem to have a grasp of even basic things. But, now I'm thinking that somehow as stupid as he sounds, he's actually even dumber. Like, he's fooling people like me into thinking he has an IQ of 80 when it's more like 60. In a way that's impressive.

I wouldn't use the word "tunnel-visioned". That implies focused on something and ignoring the things nearby.

I think it's more accurate to say "ignorant". Many, probably most Americans just have no clue about most things outside the USA. You've travelled abroad, most Americans have not. The US is such an insular society that people can get away with saying things like "Canadians hate their healthcare" and people actually believe them.

And fundamentally how would they fix their current issue? They could distance from elon but that would be a slow burn

They can't distance from Elon because his supposed genius is a key factor in why they're so absurdly overvalued. If they dump him, they immediately get viewed as a car company. Car companies have P/E ratios of about 7, if they're well run like Toyota. That would mean they'd lose 95% of their value.

If they don't distance from Elon, then they have to deal with his personal brand constantly tarnishing their corporate brand. Somehow they have to convince themselves that people will get over Elon fast enough to get their sales back up. Even if he "gets out of politics", whatever that means, I don't see that happening. He has burned all his bridges, and there's no going back.

Also, it's absolutely ridiculous that they would have a high valuation because of self-driving cars. Tesla is the company in absolutely last place when it comes to developing self-driving car technology. They don't even use LIDAR, so they can be fooled by a Bugs Bunny / Roadrunner trick.

Waymo is probably in first place in self-driving tech. They have actually been running a taxi service for years using self-driving cars. Cruise was probably in second place before they were shut down and absorbed into GM. So, you could maybe say GM is in second place. Zoox, Pony.ai, Motional, etc. are also all doing well. Tesla is probably dead last, and their very public failures are dragging the industry down. The fact that they called their tech "full self-driving" and that it was so bad prompted all the other companies to rename what they were doing so they weren't associated with Tesla.

Eventually someone's going to make a killing shorting Tesla. The only problem is that markets can remain irrational longer than most people can remain solvent. Who knows when this might finally end.

It may let malicious people feign stupidity, but that doesn't mean you have to just forgive them.

I don't remember what did it for me, I switched a while ago. But, I do clearly remember one time when I had the kind of moulded earphones that go really deep in your ear, and I caught the cable on something, and they got yanked out of my ears. That was pretty painful.

Why are you so deep in your own bubble that you don't believe that someone could simply prefer wireless? If that's the case, you should get out more, meet more people, expand your horizons.

I think anybody who wasn't malicious would be very careful about this process. They would know that a mistake was possible and that they should triple-check everything they were doing. So, it's more that the stupidity is the evidence for the malice. That, and the fact that there wasn't a massive apology and attempt to correct the mistake when these news stories started coming out.

Ooh, BUUURN! BUUUUUUUUUURN!!!

Is it? Hitchens' razor says that you've provided no evidence for your turtle-like stack of razors, so your claim can be dismissed without evidence.

I've never lost one in at least a decade of using them. But, I don't use the kind that just balance on the edge of your ear.