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39
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274
Joined
1 yr. ago

  • that’ll only change the odds on a single bookmaker. There are thousands on the election.

    Also it’s highly illegal to bet on an event you are part of (although that doesn’t seem to stop trump from doing other things).

    Additionally, to sway public opinion, influencing pollsters and the media (which we have objective proof of camapigns doing) is more effective. although they were mentioned in this article, they’ll be mentioned a lot less than polls.

  • I mean the betting markets are generally aligned with extravagant statistical prediction models.

    After all these markets have hundreds of millions poured into them, and people are trying to win not loose. Obviously there are still problems with them, and that headline really should have included “according to bookmakers”.

  • I don’t know the specific problem with that pollster but the general message of the headline still stands IMO.

    Trump’s debate performance was awful, but so was Biden’s, and somehow because this country is weird as hell Biden is held to a much higher standard than Trump while also being immensely unpopular.

  • I got blasted in a c/world thread because I used it to show a source that was untrustworthy. And ppl were saying its the factcheckerbias tool is unreliable cuz it rates the NYT as “factual”. I was suprised to get so much pushback.

  • Not to mention, for disabled people like me with specific illnesses including long covid, this basically means we can’t leave our homes without severe risk to our health. In essence, another ableist tactic to hide disability.