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451
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2 yr. ago

  • The vast majority of things humans do (and receive monetary compensation for) are things humans have already done; the result of countless generations of failure-driven iteration.

    If you're interested in this you might enjoy exploring the ideas around consciousness as an emergent property, and the work of Douglas Hofstadter.

    ...and try GPT-4 before you write it off.

  • Listen, I don't want to resort to the type of condescending interaction that is so common on the internet - perhaps you don't realize the implications of what you wrote, or even what you wrote. If, however, you are sincerely arguing for some fucked up form of expertise by default, please let me know and I'll be happy to oblige.

    Oh. I guess I might've done it anyway.

  • I think you are vastly overestimating the uniqueness of most of what we do, and I think that's probably an adequate rebuttal here, but for the sake of gratuitous verbosity, let's say it weren't: the hypothetical 'thing' to which you refer will almost always be made of many pieces that have been made a million times before. And as we can break a problem down to solve it and effectively produce something we consider novel, so too can it - especially with a bit of expert guidance.

    If a conventional expert can delegate pieces of their puzzle to 'an LLM', and achieve near-instantaneous results comparable in quality to what they might hope to eventually get from a team of motivated but less experienced folks, why wouldn't they - and how does this not portend the obsolescence of human expertise as we know it? If that seems absurd, consider how expertise is gained.

    More directly, but not aimed at you, I am confident that anyone who shares your sentiment has not spent any meaningful time working with GPT-4, or lacks competencies necessary to meaningfully assess and recognize the unmistakeable glints of something new; of a higher level of comprehension and ability.

    It worries me, seeing so many intelligent people so wilfully unprepared for what is coming, oblivious to the fact that what we are arguing about today is already irrelevant! Because though things have been changing at a literal-fuck-you rate, technologies are converging and progress is accelerating in ways that are necessarily incomprehensible even to the folks ostensibly driving it.

    We should already be way past this point, collectively. It isn't going to take more than a couple quick iterations to leave the naysayers in the same pool as DT supporters in terms of sheer force of cognitive dissonance required to get through a day.

    It is ok that we aren't special, but failing to come to terms with this reality ... probably won't bode well for us.