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  • On a national poll the dems need to be about 5 points ahead to be in with a shot of taking the electoral college.

    This is a step in the right direction, lots of work to do though. I’m hopeful the more folks see of Harris, rather than their pre-existing largely meme originated opinions, the more they’ll like her.

  • Is anyone surprised?

    Jump
  • Because the early rounds of the primaries were in states more keen on Berni and less so on Biden, so Berni was an early front runner.

    Some folks have decided to extrapolate that out and assume Berni would have won nationally if only the DNC hadn’t been so strongly opposed to Berni.

  • Is anyone surprised?

    Jump
  • I think it’s referring to the period when Berni was leading the Democrat primaries in 2020 and implying that Berni was unfairly treated to get Biden the nomination. And I guess maybe that potentially switching to Kamala is a continuation of the deceit.

  • “We envision other types of more complex guardrails should exist in the future, especially for agentic use cases, e.g., the modern Internet is loaded with safeguards that range from web browsers that detect unsafe websites to ML-based spam classifiers for phishing attempts,” the research paper says.

    The thing is folks know how the safeguards for the ‘modern internet’ actually work and are generally straightforward code. Where as LLMs are kinda the opposite, some mathematical model that spews out answers. Product managers thinking it can be corralled to behave in a specific, incorruptible way, I suspect will be disappointed.

  • I’ve been tracking the odds on Betfair. They have moved from 1.54 to 1.58 (decimal odds, 1 is dead cert, 2 is 50/50), so very marginally less likely Trump win. ‘Slumped’ they have not.

    Harris is at 5.4 and Biden way behind at 15.5.

  • I agreed with this in 2020, but am far from convinced this time around. As much as folks like to bury their head in the sand about Biden’s troubles, they are way more of an issue than in 2020, anyone who doesn’t at least see that is not being honest with themselves or wilfully delusional.

    They might still think that even with Biden’s deterioration he’s the better candidate, but he still actually needs to be elected and I’m. It convinced the majority agree any more.

    A much younger candidates with centrist tendencies would at least be able to present a vision that is more that ‘I can beat the other guy’ and lay out a vision that, as middle ground as it might be, could get folks motivated again.

  • There is still time to replace Biden. After the convention there won’t be and a lot of ‘we need to replace Biden’ folks will return to supporting Biden because there is no other alternative. Until then they have an entirely justifiable voice.