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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)DA
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2 yr. ago

  • Yeah, I was writing for the perspective of someone whose votes mattered at all to begin with (which isn't myself). Indeed the electoral college is its own catastrophe and needs to die.

    Anyway, yes, the DNC is to blame. I agree.
    However a part of the mechanism that helped trump win is opinions like "even if I was in a swing state there’s no way in fucking hell id be voting for a genocider" - I get it, I really do, but if I were in a swing state myself there's no way I'd help the rapist convict even worse genocider win. There were no good options this election, but there were orders of magnitude differences between levels of bad.

  • I agree with most of what you said, but voting 3rd party in the general election really is mathematically equivalent to simply not voting.
    And it's worse when it's voting 3rd party in place of voting for the least bad of the two electable parties, then (just like not voting) it's mathematically equivalent to voting for the most bad of the two parties.

    This is not an opinion. It's how the elections are structured, and I would very much prefer a better structure, but we don't have it and have to work with what we have.

    Even in the primaries, voting 3rd party usually simply means being unable to influence the major parties - but in this case you are absolutely correct that the "primaries" were a farce.

  • For 10 to not be the median it would also have to not be the case for the majority of people (just the plurality at best), and while I don't have proof handy I'm pretty sure a vast majority have exactly 10, making that the precise median and the mode. Only the mean would be a different number of digits. (Both definitions)

  • Yeah. It does seem counterintuitive, but it's a result of the uncertainty that what they see is what others do. So they have to communicate a number, and the only way they can is leaving or not each night to count up to it.

    I thought about it more and concluded that if the guru had said "I see only blue and brown eyed people" then everyone (but her) could leave the island using the same logic, regardless of how many of each color there was (greater than zero of course because otherwise she wouldn't see that color). Same for any number of colors too as long as she lists them all and makes it clear that's all of them and doesn't include herself.

  • Same way it expands to two: When there are three blue eyes, then each of them guesses they might have brown or something and there could be only two blue on the island, in which case as described those two would have left on the second night.

    But they didn't... So there must be three total. Same with 4, the 3 you can see would have left on night 3 if each of them saw the other two not leave on night 2...

    Leaving or not is the only communication, and what the guru really did was start a timer. It has to start at 1 even though everyone can see that there's more than one simply due to the constraints of the riddle - if the guru were allowed to say 'I see at least 50 blue eyed people' then it would start at 50 because there's no other fixed reference available. Everyone knows there's either 99 or 100, but they don't know which of those it is, so need a way to count to there. They also think everyone else can see anything from 98 to 101 depending, so it's not as straightforward as thinking the count could start at 99.