azertyfun @ azertyfun @sh.itjust.works

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2 yr. ago

How far do things have to go before "humble empathy" towards those actively supporting the US regime becomes inappropriate? Gas chambers? War against Canada? Nuclear war?

The stakes have never been higher, and personally I'm not willing to humbly give the benefit of the doubt to someone who literally voted for Hitler. They are either dumb as a fucking brick or more likely (according to Trump's polling) they are actively seeking harm against their own neighbors and relishing on the fact that the regime is gleefully committing as many human rights violations as it can get away with.

We've done the "just forget about it and move on" strategy, and it led to Trump being reelected even harder. Maybe when this is over (whenever that is) we go back to the tried-and-true strategy of fucking shaving everyone of these wastes of breath down to the bone to expose their crimes.

Dry wood will last centuries without any oiling. Which is good news for timber frames because those are left untreated. As long as your house is water-tight, the frame will be fine because wood rot simlly can't metabolize in typical indoors humidity evels.

What we typically protect wood from is water, mechanical wear, UV, and stains. But even a furniture piece will not always get treated on internal parts where wear and wood expansion are no concerns.

With what money? NPPs only get built on public funds, private equity cannot make the economics viable due to the multi-decade amortization. It's fine on public debt but breaks down if you have to pay shareholders for billions of euros of loans over 20 years which amounts to so much money the cost is uncompetitive with fossil fuels + renewables. Private equity has been trying to make private nuclear power for 20 years now, mostly with SMRs, with little success and nothing to show for it up to now.

If Belgium ever builds a new NPP, it will be because the government voted on a multi-decade funding plan, which is not guaranteed to happen when the left wants no nuclear and the right wants fiscal austerity. Until then there's nothing that Engie can do but wait.

TBF work was done to keep it sound until 2025 and it was possible to extend the operational life further (basically you can just keep throwing hundreds of millions at them every 10 years for a long time to come).

What's fucked up is that in the last few years a bunch of maintenance wasn't done because the government said "no for real though super pinky promise we're not extending the contract again they will definitely be shut down in 2025 it's the law".

So now Electrabel/Engie is rightfully super pissed because this flip-flopping is going to cost us billions just to keep the existing reactors running. And they have zero guarantee the greens won't come back into a government coalition in 2029 and fuck the schedule up again.

I work in the industry (not MSFT) on cloud reliability so I have insight.

• The cloud itself is not as stable as some people may think. Standard is 99.9 % uptime. Which sounds great, but if your DB is 99.9 % and your compute is 99.9% and your storage is 99.9 % and your network and so on and any one of those going out breaks your application, then you don't have 99.9 % but (99.9 %)^n which is a lot less impressive. You can make things fault-tolerant through redundancy but that comes with great complexity which can cause outages of its own.
• Apps like teams, like most B2B bullshit, provide added value by bundling together as much shit as possible. Chat, calls, calendar, spreadsheets, you name it. So now any one of those features going out individually can impact the whole app.
• Every one of those features in the bundle is managed by a different team, possibly in a different country and coming from a different company acquisition. So now you have to glue unrelated tech stacks together which is super expensive.
• The way you bundle things together in a SPA in a corporate environment with finite resources is by basically bundling together a bunch of iframes. Ever notice that the calendar tab on teams sometimes tells you to refresh your page to get new credentials? That's why, this fucking thing bundles its own authentication lib and barely talks to MS Teams so it can't properly refresh its tokens! If you like having one product's technical debt, now think about having 20 products' technical debt all conveniently forced to interact together in one web page!

Honestly I'm impressed by how well teams works with the very severe constraints they clearly have. Shit's got more moving parts than Ryanair's entire fleet and it only breaks once in a while.

It's because the tech sector fundamentally relies on different economics than most engineering companies, and that has investors absolutely bricked up.

What investors being sold by "tech" companies is infinite ROI. Sure, [YouTube/Twitter/Uber/whoever] has never been profitable more than a few quarters in a row (if that), but think! They have virtually no fixed costs! That means if we just inject a few more millions in R&D we will finally reach the threshold where we can scale deployments to hundreds of millions of users who will be paying us MRR! Hosting costs are virtually nothing and at that scale R&D is basically free as well! And if push comes to shove, we can reduce costs to nearly zero by firing all the engineers! The economies of scale are practically infinite, they say.

It's the rare instance where capitalists actually care about long-terms gain a bit too much. The tech industry tends to be single-mindedly chasing monthly user counts first and revenue second or third. Then at some point reality catches up, the accountants start getting their way, the product starts getting enshittified, and the users leave for something else. Did the product actually turn a net profit over its lifetime? Who knows, who cares. Everyone who made those early business decisions has long since cashed out.

Where the markets are unbelievably irrational is that this frenzy has spilled over into industries where the the sales pitch for infinite economies of scale doesn't even make theoretical sense. Tesla sells physical products, so why are they worth more than every other automotive company combined? OpenAI operates at an enormous loss because LLMs are just expensive to train and run by nature, so they cannot be profitable under the current business model at any scale. Yet here we are. Just because it's labeled as "tech", investors are throwing our retirement funds into it. And any time the markets are being irrational, there's a risk that investors wise up to the bad fundamentals and the whole thing comes crashing down.

In Europe we've been spared some of the worst of the craziness. Although venture capitalism is alive and well in the software sector, I would wager that European companies tend to have stronger fundamentals on average (but that's just a gut feeling, I'm not an economist).

Vanishingly little of the hordes of little hands who immediately crumbled to Trump actually answer to him. And those that do are still supposed to uphold the constitution first and foremost.

Resistance has always been an option, Americans are just almost unanimously choosing not to exercise it.

Suse has been trying pretty hard with Harvester. KVM-based, VMs-as-k8s-pods which leverages all existing k8s tooling, as well as the same multi-cluster federation as RKE2.

Seems pretty great from afar, though it's very much under active development.

I know people in that predicament and they're, charitably, helpless little babies when you tell them to read two paragraphs of documentation on how to run one command in a Linux CLI.

Fundamentally nothing out there really caters to the needs of resellers. Your average resale company couldn't automate a backup job to save itself from bankruptcy if it doesn't come with a neat GUI, a 24/7 support contract, and preferably a Microsoft or oracle logo somewhere in the corner to inspire confidence.

Like I jest but there are Microsoft outfits and FOSS outfits and there is essentially zero professional overlap even though they both sell IT products/solutions. The disconnect is a mile wide. Which translates to wildly different business models where the FOSS people have been running shit in containers for 15 years while the Microsoft slaves are still licensing their monolithic solutions by the CPU Core and doing weird-ass shit like buy 4-core xeons because it's more economical with these archaic licensing models.

So sure Proxmox/Suse are certainly very happy with their sales number right now but anecdotally I'm not seeing the migration frenzy that one would expect under such intense price gouging. Broadcom correctly identified that it will take years for these super corporate structures to steer away from "the way we've always done things" and in the meantime that's untold millions in additional short-term profits.

The main difference in difficulty between the modes is the parry window. If your problem is the parry window, switch to normal mode.

I find in normal mode the game is not very hard for main quests, but extremely punitive with the many optional bosses. So if you still want a challenge, they're right there.

The oval beige thing that takes up 1/5th of the width of the screenshot.

Literally, yes you can, on that specific website's satellite imagery. Bloody thing's over 10 km wide, it's the size of a large city. I can still easily spot it on my screen if I zoom far enough out to also include Edinburgh and Riyad!

The only way not to see it from space would be to look in the wrong place or when it is cloudy.

That's a broad topic where I would avoid making generalizations. It's a matter of tradeoffs.

The key indicators I'd look at are, in no particular order:

• Cost. Does cloud hosting provide economies of scale that dramatically reduce operational costs?
• Risk. If your cloud provider hikes prices or turns out to be based in a hostile fascist dictatorship, can you easily switch to another offering?
• Liability. For better and more often for worse, companies love delegating business because it relieves them of liability if someone cocks it up. It's a harsh reality that some SMEs have IT infrastructure that looks fine and inexpensive until they find out the hard way that their "IT person" doesn't know what a firewall is.
• Accounting. Companies strongly prefer OpEx to CapEx due to the way modern accounting incentives, and cloud hosting is tailored to that.
• Practicality. If you want your email to sync to your phone abroad, you'll need a cloud (though it could be a private cloud, but then I'd recommend a VPN which is more secure but less practical).
• Security. Does the NSA looking at all your files matter? For governments I would hope it does buuuuut...

Either way it goes, be mindful of blind spots. Companies often don't (IMO) properly assess the risk of locking themselves into walled gardens due to short-termism. But at the same time IT gremlins such as myself tend to underestimate the costs we represent, not just as salaried employees but as people who might cock something up or leave behind us an undocumented mess that will costs hundreds of thousands to rebuild a few years from now.

It won't be ugly for most of them. It'll be fucking peachy. There will be no revolution.

"The revolution will be painless if the left allows it to be" well the left has made its choice and every minority will be left to rot in the concentration camps because demonstrably americans have utterly buckled to the mere implication of potential violence.

Hopefully America will be like Russia, violent and authoritarian with severely declining quality of life and a broadly politically apathetic population.
Alternatively - and increasingly likely - it will be like Nazi Germany and the fascists will make up for declining quality of life by engaging in increasingly doomed military campaigns.

Either way the ones who could have done something to stop this will be the least affected while everyone else gets crushed under the boot of fascism. But at least they will have the moral high ground of never resorting to political violence.

I wouldn't say "no chance". Last summer Trump was a few inches from being a chunkful of splattered History.

Of course the idea that the population could take the US military full-on is ridiculous. But resistance doesn't have to take the shape of traditional warfare, and anything would be better than the current overwhelming apathy that is the response to being governed by literal Nazis.

I doubt Trump thought that far but his posse of inside traders certainly did. And they're (probably) right.

BTC will never replace the petrodollar, but already acts as a refuge asset exactly like gold. It is valuable because it is reliably scarce and reliably in demand. It is not unreasonable that with US bonds cratering and the fed causing Turkish levels of inflation on Trump's orders, some investors would divert some of that money to (perceived) alternatives such as gold and crypto. Much to the pleasure of Trump's buddies.

What's bizarre to me is that a lot of billionaires not close to the Trump syndicate will be getting fucked on the collapse of the US economy and it's hard to believe they are getting a better deal than under Biden when the stock market was booming and they could already buy politicians and newspapers for relative peanuts. The supposed deep state is doing a really bad fucking job of fighting for its own survival.

This whole case has collapsed into a handful of choices:

1. Judge doesn't declare the Trump admin in Contempt of Court (i.e. does nothing). This sets precedent that Trump's administration enjoys full immunity from the judiciary, officially turning the US into a dictatorship. This is what has been happening for weeks and remains by far the most likely scenario.
2. Judge declares Trump in Contempt of Court, but is unable to enforce it. This is equivalent to scenario 1.
3. Judge declares the Trump admin in Contempt of Court and deputizes state police to enforce the ruling and arrest, if not Trump, at least some officials. This would be legal and remains the only constitutional solution, but would almost certainly trigger an armed response from the regime. Democracy doesn't go down without a fight, but the end result is uncertain.
4. Pro-democracy factions use illegal/violent means to force Trump to comply (military coup, sudden Luigi's Mansion remake, etc.). However it would seem that the masks fell off and despite decades of propaganda to the contrary, literally not a single living American is willing to put their life on the line to protect Democracy.

This is terrifying. Americans are running headfirst into the Greatest Depression, except this time they are the Nazis and they have enough nukes to eradicate life on Earth.

And their political discourse oscillates between "serves us right" and "yes daddy". Republicans are complicit and literally everyone else will refuse to resort to political violence or disobedience even as Trump orders nukes to be fired at whoever he's mad at that week.

Bad news, the people driving cars in that traffic are breathing in the exact same fumes. The cabin air doesn't magically get rid of pollutants because it went through a paper filter meant to keep out large particulates. The asthma/cancer causing pollutants go through just fine.

In fact in slow moving traffic where two wheelers are allowed to filter, I'd expect they are getting exposed to fewer pollutants because they are spending less time in traffic. Plus cyclists get improved cardio which helps negate breathing problems.

Anecdotally the physical health difference between no exercising and mildly exercising while commuting is mind-blowing. And the fact that so many able-bodied office workers couldn't run a mile uninterrupted due to a car-dependent lifestyle should be terrifying.