alvvayson @ alvvayson @lemmy.dbzer0.com

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2 yr. ago

Good point.

It is curious to see though. Putin owns Trump, but Xi Jinping owns Putin. And both of them have Iran as a key ally.

So I really wonder how this all will play out. Trump talks a lot, but his leash is short.

He will backtrack when new inflation figures hit. It might take 3-6 months, but China definitely has the stronger hand, by far.

Trump can avoid the inflation by allowing Chinese goods to come through countries like Vietnam or Mexico. This is basically the status quo.

It allows Trump to save face without huge inflation for US consumers.

That's what they're trying to do.

It makes most sense to switch the email+office users to Linux and reserve MacOs and Windows for users who really need to run specific applications.

More or less, yes.

Germany and France have been trying this for more than two decades.

But every time, there is pressure from the US government (the stick) and Microsoft arranges a short-term deal to make Windows cheaper than the cost of transitioning (the carrot).

But this time, the EU is serious about decoupling from the US, so I think it will actually happen.

We have long passed the point where lobbying and bribing were just doing your fiduciary duty.

And indeed, it seems we are back to feudalism and you have to pay tribute to the divine king and kiss his ring.

It's a bad time to sell, but anyone "buying the dip" will quickly learn what "catching a falling knife" means.

I think the road to the bottom still has some distance to cover.

In addition to that, having kids, crossing international borders and moving to different countries are also things where marriage gives benefits.

And in some jurisdictions, there can be very significant tax advantages.

Which is why there was always a big fight for marriage equality.

But if you don't want all these legal benefits, then co-habiting is fine.

You guys have your heads so far up your asses, billions of subsidies for renewables were "sabotage".

If only even more billions would have been thrown against it, surely then it would have worked.

German anti-nuclear religion is so persistent and dogmatic, I'd rather debate the Taliban on Islam.

Luckily the smart Germans are changing course, as polls continue to show.

Germany is the obvious evidence for that claim. Their once great industry is doing really bad due to high energy prices. Which is why even they are second guessing the Energiewende.

Despite insane levels of investment in renewables, they are still stuck on gas en lignite and have very high energy prices.

Merkel's bet that Russian gas could always be depended on didn't work out.

The "expensive" argument is bollocks.

It's not too expensive for China, South Korea, Japan, the USA, France, the UAE, Iran, India, Russia.

The countries without nuclear will deindustrialize and the countries with nuclear will outcompete them.

The Fed won't ever allow it to get as bad as the Great Depression again. Economic knowledge and monetary policy has greatly evolved since then.

The Great Recession is a more recent and likely scenario.

TIL 2000 and 2008 were just fluctuations due to big changes.

Stock market peaked 19 feb, 1.5 months ago. It has lost 17% since then.

That's an awfully long and persistent fluctuation.

The US stock market has been liberated of 11 trillion dollars and counting.

What a party, what a party.

But alienating our base so that we can lose elections to MAGA republicans is perfectly OK.

Obviously, the problem is with the voters, not us, say the Democrats.

People really don't understand that climate change is worse for life on this planet than a million Fukushima accidents.

Even Japan is restarting their reactors

Solar and wind are great, but major industrialized nations will need some nuclear capacity.

It's going to happen sooner or later.

The question is just about how long we delay it, with extra emissions and economic depression in the mean time.

They are (or were) the biggest producer of Fentanyl (allegedly).

But I have also heard experts say that Fentanyl manufacturing is just moving to the US for domestic consumption, so I don't know if it's still true.

Not if a trade war can destroy it first!

And how will they know if you're a fundie or not?

What they're doing is checking phones and social media. If they see you are a member of some antifa or BLM org, they'll get you.

So don't do those things via Facebook. Use meshtastic and hide your receiver.

But if you practice good OpSec and all they see is baseball, BBQ and church, then they won't be able to tell the difference.

Thanks for the effort post with great tips!

I would also really recommend having a physical community near you, not just online contacts.

I would even go so far as to say: join a progressive protestant church It's not a silver bullet, but the fascists in the US are Christian Nationalists and some of them will hesitate to mistreat a Christian. And some of them will feel an obligation towards a Christian.

This is a big part of why Martin Luther King wasn't killed earlier. The thugs in the 50s had no problem persecuting "godless heathens" in the McCarthy era, but black Christians were Christians.

And yes, they were also mistreated, but it would have been much worse if they had been atheist or communist.

Fascists divide the world very black and white. Us v. Them

Looking like them provides a survival advantage.