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2 yr. ago

  • Those were individual public opinion polls. Basically the raw data of a questionnaire which may have been targeting specific areas or demographics.

    The 338 data is the best guess at who would win if the election were held today. It takes aggregated polls, ridings, demographics and historical data into account. So it is a much more sophisticated prediction.

    However, it notably doesn't project into the future. That means the odds are not taking into account current trends, so Poilievre's drop from 100 to 75 is extremely significant. His odds will likely continue declining for some time. The question is where will it taper off and will there be a rebound before the actual election.

  • Because like it or not, actually paying for stuff is the only way to save journalism and by extension our democracies.

    The alternative is to link shitty clickbait / AI spam. At least this way:

    1. People might be encouraged to pay for journalism.
    2. There are many ways to bypass the paywall for those who won't or can't pay.

    Please don't ban paywalls.