☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆ @ yogthos @lemmy.ml

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I think it's going to be a bit more complex than that because most people in Ukraine are tired of the war, and they're starting to realize they were used by the west. I don't expect there's going to be much appetite for some sort of an insurgency movement after the war is over. Meanwhile, the resentment towards the west will very probably result in blow back in Europe. The US will likely keep meddling, but I do think their influence will collapse in the whole region.

I love how all the chuds from nazi adjacent instances come out of the woodwork to downvote anybody pointing out the basic facts of the situation.

they will

The World Bank just reclassified Russia as a high income country https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/world-bank-country-classifications-by-income-level-for-2024-2025

Meanwhile, the IMF forecasts that Russian economy is set to grow faster than all the western economies https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/17/russia-forecast-to-grow-faster-than-advanced-economies-in-2024-imf.html

I'm really not sure what it is you think Russia lost access to exactly given that they're part of BRICS which is a bigger economic bloc than the G7 at this point.

It's important to understand that the US is not omnipotent. Russia has defeated NATO in Ukraine, and the US can do nothing to change that. The US also sees China as their primary adversary, and they're not stuck supporting Israel against Iran. They simply do not have the resources to contest Russia now.

That's highly dependent on the instance I find.

funny you should mention that (I know you're being sarcastic :)

Overall, our results suggest that the rise in remote work and TFP growth are positively correlated. From 2019 to 2021, the (weighted) average percentage-point increase in remote workers across industries was 14.9. This suggests that the rise in remote work was associated with an average 1.2 percentage-points increase in industry-level TFP.

https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-13/remote-work-productivity.htm

🤣

:)

I'm also fine with the US regime collapsing as a result of a 20 year war.

I don't think either the US or Israel have the industrial capacity to run a protracted conflict for the next 20 years.

Yeah, does look like it's fake looking closer.

The problem, until recently, was that SWIFT was basically the only game in town for doing international settlements. On top of it, the US having been central to the global economy, most countries did not want to risk secondary sanctions by trading with Cuba. Today, that's finally changing with the rise of BRICS as a bigger economic bloc, and new trade options becoming popular as a result of the trade war between Russia and the west.

Iran may close the Strait of Hormuz, while Yemen could shut the Bab al-Mandeb.

That would destabilize global energy markets in a hurry, and the west would go into economic tailspin as a result.

Given that Yemen nearly managed to shoot one down, I don't think it would be surprising. I agree we'll need to wait to see some concrete evidence to definitively call it though.

https://www.twz.com/air/how-the-houthis-rickety-air-defenses-can-threaten-the-stealthy-f-35

edit: pictures are coming out now

It's not called a flying cybertruck for nothing.

Absolutely hilarious how the US bet the farm on this tech, and the first time it was tested against a serious military it turned out not to actually work. Who could've guessed.

the US right now

exactly

It's hard to know for sure, and either scenario is very plausible. Israel is certainly doing everything it can to force Trump's hand here. Iran will have no choice but to respond, and then the Israeli lobby will put maximum pressure on the US to strike at Iran in response.