Any CAPTCA that can't be cracked by a computer can be cracked by shoving it in front of a porn video and someone will solve it for you before it times out.
538 isn't what it once was, they were purchased a few elections ago, and Nate Silver took his algorithms with him when he left he started the Silver Bulletin. He says it's too soon to make predictions. https://www.natesilver.net/p/7-quick-thoughts-on-the-latest-harris
*That JD Vance the couch fucker is really cringe and weird.