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508
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2 yr. ago

  • Starship was still Elon's brainchild and it is years behind, and threatens the viability of the entire Artemis program. Their finances are also terribly linked to the success of Starlink, which is also shaky at best.

    I would not say SpaceX is "on track."

  • It doesn't have to be your searches, it could have just been the fact that your phone recognized you were on a road trip and that people in your ad cohort tend to want to buy shoes while on road trips.

    I've worked in algorithmic ad space before and I can say that I've never seen evidence of phones listening on conversations but I have seen plenty of evidence from years ago where all your other data is used to form a terrifyingly accurate profile.

    We used to do dead reckoning and gps speed gait profiling and we would only need about a weeks worth of GPS data to know height, weight, sex, where you live, where you work, where your kids go to school etc.

    We would take that data and cross reference that with data broker info to form a profile, put you in an ad cohort bin, and serve you up as a platform for ad matching services to match to ad campaigns, which get even further targeted.

    Millions of dollars spent hyper targeting you but 99 times out of 100 the inaccurate campaign is paying more so they get the adspace but the one time the actual low paying hyper focused campaign gets through it's always scary how accurate it is.

    tl;dr: Ad companies don't need to listen to your conversation to know what you want to buy, ads are usually inaccurate because the inaccurate campaign paid more

  • It's usually not a case of the phone listening but, more creepily, that your behavior before and after talking to your wife about new shoes signaled that you want to buy new shoes.

    Ad algorithms are surprisingly perceptive about signals that aren't obvious.

  • Unfortunately because the world runs on speculative investment, a smaller birthrate means less investment in child care, making it harder to find babysitters and daycares

    Japan is already suffering from this, the birthrates are incredibly low but the daycares are packed because nobody is paying daycare workers enough, and nobody is investing enough to build new ones.

  • The study that graph is from literally says that millenial growth has stalled compared to baby boomer and silent generations:

    https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2024007pap.pdf

    We confirm that there has been a slowdown in intergenerational progress, except for Millennials who saw their incomes grow slightly faster than Generation X but still more slowly than Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation. Intergenerational progress has remained positive for all generations.

    First, we find that the higher household incomes of Millennials relative to Generation X, through their 20s, is a result of dependence on their parents rather than a rise in their own market incomes.

  • The problem is starship, Musk's mars-shot brain child, seems to be increasingly behind schedule for the Artemis missions.

    Not to mention using starship is apparently forcing any moon landings to launch between 8-12 rockets to get one SpaceX lander on the moon?

    Overall it seems like SpaceX is getting fucked by Musk's involvement as well.

  • There's a weird implicit conservancy in tech circles around the dictatorial nature of corporate leadership.

    It stems from this weird externalization of corporate decision making that just turns everything that happens at large companies into the machinations of the unknowable machine of capital.

    "Of course they were fired, they protested in a way that disrupted the business, if the business is disrupted the machine must correct itself, and it did so by releasing the corporate anti-bodies of leadership to fire the disruptive element. Thus the machine is corrected. This is all logically sound, and thus impervious to moral inquisition."

  • AI technically already won this debate because autonomous war drones are somewhat ubiquitous.

    I doubt jets are going to have the usefulness in war that they used to.

    Much more economical to have 1000 cheap drones with bombs overwhelm defenses than put your bets on one "special boi" to try and slip through with constantly defeated stealth capabilities.