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  • That's, a remarkably rosy set of predictions.

    I hope you are right, and big picture, I think things might shake out that way eventually.

    But I am not as optimistic as you on several points.

    I don't think LLM AI will do as much as you claim as fast as you imagine.

    I don't think the owner class will put enough pressure on the politicians to generate that level of systemic change. They will muddle through with a thousand band aids stuck together.

    Which will lead to an increasingly dystopic hellscape in which young people increasingly persue careers as scam artists, wanna be celebrities, and outright criminals because those are the only paths to a comfortable life.

    But so hope to be wrong. Good luck to us all.

  • Social security is funded by government bonds.

    Bonds are just a promise the government makes to pay a certain amount of money at a certain amount of interest after a certain time has passed.

    They aren't stacking gold bars in fort Knox.

    (They might or might not be stacking gold, they just aren't paying for social security that way.)

    SS has always been a funded by the promise to pay it. I don't understand what you mean by "stealing"

    No one has been paid less than they are owed just because SS ran a surplus for 60 years.

  • France has a powerful executive. More powerful than even the US president, inside their own system.

    I have heard the French presidency described as an "elected dictator."

    Macron wants people to see what the far right has to offer and hopefully realize they don't like it before the presidency goes up for grabs.

  • France made childcare and education free and relatively high quality and look at that! They have just under replacement level fertility!

    Some people do want children. Not everyone, but lots of people do. It's true that wealth depresses fertility, but you can have a sustainable society if you give people financial security.

    I'm willing to believe there are some cultural issues at play, not just the economics, but that is for demographers to tease out.

    The American congressional representatives have an average of 2 children. Replacement rate. Get our standard of living up to that and you will see fertility go up.

  • Yeah, America is undermining it's own hegemony since 2016 and what do you know? The threat of violence is rising.

    Russia invaded Ukraine, China is threatening Taiwan, Ethiopia is threatening Eritrea, Venezuela is threatening Guyana. A world where large nations can bully, invade, and occupy small nations unopposed is not really better than the Pax Americana.

  • Raise the price of labor to the point that a working family can afford to have children at the standard they consider socially acceptable.

    That would devalue investment accounts though, so it won't happen until there is suffering on a scale not seen outside of major wars.