Ranvier @ Ranvier @sopuli.xyz

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2 yr. ago

In Minnesota it is illegal up to 90 days before the election.

https://www.revisor.mn.gov/bills/text.php?number=HF1370&type=bill&version=3&session=ls93&session_year=2023&session_number=0

I don't know all the state laws, but there are more.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/artificial-intelligence-deepfakes-2024-election-states-rcna129525

Citation needed

No but seriously if you have more info I would be legitimately interested in it. But for starters what you say would be blatantly illegal under campaign finance law. Even as shoddy as it currently is. I attempted but couldn't find anything like you describe.

Also I saw half of one party not even show up for that appalling address. What party was that again?

Also if you're anywhere else too please.

They can try, but an update to the law has since been passed to make totally clear the vice presidential role is purely ceremonial and that they have no power to challenge or alter the proceedings in any way.

https://www.npr.org/2022/12/22/1139951463/electoral-count-act-reform-passes

I expect like you say they'll still make a big public stink and file some frivolous suits about it though like it's a real issue when it's not to rile people up though. And totally ignoring the other times this has happened before, like Reagan to George HW Bush.

Very weird. Supreme Court is not the highest court in new york state for anyone confused. Court of appeals is the highest court.

Well in a nutshell, communication equipment is supposed to transmit electromagnetic waves to communicate with other equipment. What would "shielding" it mean? Its whole purpose is to send and receive. Preventing electromagnetic waves from getting to it would defeat the whole purpose of a communication device. If you only block most frequencies and leave some frequency open to communicate on, then the drones can use that frequency too. If you flood all frequencies with junk, than there's no way any communication equipment could work because the signal will be overwhelmed by noise.

Anyone who knows more feel free to correct me if I'm wrong, but I think that's the basic issue. Either everyone is blind or no one is.

The electronic warfare being used are basically all types of jamming, flooding frequencies with random noise, not really electromagnetic pulses in the sense of using electric waves to induce charges in an object to disable it. Something like that would take an immense amount of power.

Just to elaborate more, it is an open convention because the delegates are unbound, they could vote for anyone now that Biden has withdrawn. To get on the ballot, anyone just needs to get the signatures of 300 delegates saying they support them. If the vast majority of delegates publicly endorse Harris before the convention though, it's essentially already over. As this would indicate she would easily win the first ballot (and no, before anyone asks, super delegates cannot vote on the first ballot).

I'd like to see it personally. But you're right, it might not happen, he's already whining that he won't do it unless the venue is changed from. ABC to Fox News. We'll see what happens though.

Yeah that's pretty much it, I agree with you.

Harris's healthcare plans were less liberal in the economic sense of the word, as it'd involve more government control. But they were more progressive or socialist (like Medicare, social security, etc all of which are somewhat socialist as the name social security implies). Not quite as much as Sander's though, who was pushing a true single payer system. More than just a public option though. I am really interested how much she sticks with the current plans or stakes out her own policies. Somewhat encouraged that many dems from the progressive caucus quickly endorsed her.

Harris has already called him a sexual predator, among other things. Hopefully she's still willing to do so.

https://x.com/KamalaHarris/status/1197243216132804608

Up to $47 million now, and that's after only 8 hours after the announcement of Biden stepping down. And that's just act blue small dollar donors. Definitely plowing right through that $53 million 24 hour haul that other guy got when he became a convicted felon.

He's already saying he won't debate Harris unless they switch the previously agreed upon moderators from ABC to Fox News.

Look, the American press struggles with these abstract political concepts. The words like liberalism, socialism, etc have lost all meaning.

But to some it up, her position in the 2019 primaries was somewhere in between Biden's and Sander's position. Basically a Medicare advantage for all (with straight public option included and available to all but private insurers not excluded just strictly regulated). I'm interested in what she comes out actually proposing now that she's most likely the candidate.

On July 23, 2016, ahead of the 2016 Democratic National Convention, the 2016 DNC Rules Committee voted overwhelmingly (158–6) to adopt a superdelegate reform package. The new rules were the result of a compromise between the Hillary Clinton and the Bernie Sanders presidential campaigns

Ultimately, the DNC decided to prevent superdelegates from voting on the first ballot, instead of reducing their numbers

People keep seeming to forget about the super delegate reform Bernie fought for. They are still there now, 15% of all the delegates (a lot of the super delegates being democratic elected officials like members of congress since that automatically gives the status). But they can't vote in the first ballot any longer. They could only vote in a contested election in subsequent ballots, after all the other pledged delegates are unbound as well.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superdelegate

Even before those reforms, they never really made a difference in any convention, except possibly 1984 when they helped push Mondale from a plurality to a majority by voting for him on the first ballot.

I'm not personally in favor of them at all, but it's not nearly as bad as it's made out to be sometimes. If we go to an open convention though, unless there's a majority choice on the first ballot, they may play a role on subsequent ballots.

Their proposals are in the article

The IMF, which often requires fiscal prudence among its borrowing countries, recommended a series of options to lower deficits, including reducing some longstanding tax deductions and exemptions that it said were "poorly targeted." These include tax exemptions for the value of employer-provided healthcare plans and capital gains on the sale of a primary residence, and deductions for mortgage interest and state and local taxes - breaks that add up to about 1.4% of U.S. GDP per year.

The U.S. should consider closing the "carried interest" provision under which investment partnership income can be taxed at lower capital gains income rather than normal income, the IMF said. It added that corporate tax rates should be raised and the corporate tax system shifted to a cash flow tax.

The IMF also recommended raising federal excise taxes on gasoline and diesel, which have not been raised since 1993.

On the expenditure side, the IMF recommended indexing Social Security benefits to the chained consumer price index and subjecting earnings greater than $250,000 a year to payroll taxes.

So kind of a mix of good and bad. But raising corporate taxes was one thing. A lot more reasonable than I was expecting.

Vice president doing it wouldn't be but once he kills the president, he is automatically president per the 25th amendment. Then he just pardons himself. Bam, criminally immune. And pardon power is in article 2, can't be questioned, automatically an official act with presumptive immunity.

This supreme court ruling is so dumb.

Using the 25th amendment to remove a living president would require cooperation of the cabinet and congress (if Trump contests the removal).

The Labor Party boycotted the vote and its members were not in attendance. The Arab parties voted against the measure.

Some more important context for people.

Very broad you're right, here's the cdc info on it:

https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/underlying-conditions.html?CDC_AAref_Val=https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-care/underlyingconditions.html

Age alone is enough to qualify.

You don't need to be hospitalized to get all the antivirals. In fact, that's the whole thing paxlovid is supposed to prevent. Anyone with risk factors can take paxlovid, and it's very effective at preventing severe covid. It should be started as soon as possible, not waiting until someone's already hospitalized. Even in unvaccinated people, if taken early in the course, is 90% effective at preventing severe disease.

Remdesivir is the one that's generally only for hospitalized patients, though even that can be used pre hospital too.

Anyways point is, if you get covid, and have risk factors for severe covid, call your doctor or urgent care to get paxlovid to take if you can, especially if you're unvaccinated.

And yeah between getting diagnosed quickly, getting paxlovid I'm sure, and being immunized, Biden will very likely be fine.

Edit: yes he started paxlovid https://www.npr.org/2024/07/17/nx-s1-5043814/biden-covid

Yes, that's true. The poll averages themselves haven't moved much either though. And the reliance on the fundamentals forecast has me nervous, but they definitely do it for a reason. When they developed the models and looked at poll history the pattern they found was the fundamentals had a big influence on what the polls would look like closer to the election and the eventual result. Polls closer to the election are more predictive than the fundamentals. Polls farther away from the election less so. There's at least some reason to think things have changed enough maybe the fundamentals aren't as fundamental for this race, but I guess we won't know until afterward.