Ragdoll X @ Ragdoll_X @lemmy.world

Three raccoons in a trench coat. I talk politics and furries.

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2 yr. ago

There's also the problem that if the polls are crap, the results of the model will also be crap, regardless of how accurate the model is. It's similar to how publication bias affects meta-analyses. Several analysts have already argued that pollsters are unlikely to underestimate Trump again, and may in fact over-correct and underestimate Harris much like how they underestimated dems in 2022:

• https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html#link-647a30f1
• https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-underestimate-polls-wrong-election-donald-trump-1979080
• https://nypost.com/2024/10/30/us-news/election-polling-could-be-underestimating-kamala-harris-democrats-in-key-states-cnn-data-reporter-warns/

Honestly I'm not surprised considering California politicians seem to have a knack for making money disappear into thin air with magic (corruption): https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/gavin-newsom-homeless-money-budget-b2544347.html

Started my psychology course this year and to be perfectly honest the more I hear about psychoanalysis the more it just sounds like a bunch of bullshit made up by some horny guy who was full of himself

Despite what the law might say, there's no evidence whatsoever that letting trans people use their preferred bathroom causes any "injury or harm" to cis people.

To the contrary, there is evidence that restricting bathroom access is harmful to trans people - and cis people too, like Jay, a cis woman who was harassed in a bathroom after being mistaken for a trans person.

Even if they use the "right" restroom trans people are in danger of being harassed all the same if they pass too well: https://www.advocate.com/news/2022/7/12/trans-man-brutally-assaulted-using-womens-restroom-campground

Damned if you do, and damned if you don't. The point of laws like this isn't to protect cis women and girls, it's just to cause as much suffering as possible, because that's all Republicans care about.

Trump has been sabotaging peace talks

This is pure horseshit.

• Trump touts warm ties to Israel's Netanyahu, blasts Harris
• Trump, Netanyahu speak about Gaza hostage-ceasefire deal, Axios reports
• Trump says he told Netanyahu to end Gaza war but criticizes ceasefire call
• Trump signals support in call with Netanyahu: ‘Do what you have to do’

It’s the Palestinian American’s fault for not endorsing the genocide of their immediate friends and family.

Voting isn't a love letter, it's a chess move. Biden, Harris and other establishment liberals absolutely deserve to be relentlessly mocked and criticized (and frankly indicted) for cheerleading Israel's genocide, but aiding in the political victory of someone twice as genocidal as them, and who also intends to end democracy and target his political opponents would be a bad move.

Simply build a Paperwork Organiz-inator

I would like to propose some changes to that title:

Microsoft CEO's pay rises 63% to $79m, despite [because of] devastating year for layoffs: 2550 jobs lost [employees were fired by their greedy CEO] in 2024 [because he wanted more money]

Something tells me that Tim "the problem is everybody else" Pool might have a hard time finding a woman willing to put up with his narcissistic and toxic personality...

Conservatives have already said that they want to inspect children's genitals, so it's only a matter of time until they start saying that they want to regularly inspect women's genitals as well to "protect unborn children" (read: control women and fulfill their sick fetish)

Just don't ask them what they were doing between 1933 and 1945

!writingprompts@lemmy.world

It was pretty popular and cool on Reddit. Hoping it gets some more love here too.

I second the Nerts recommendation because when I was a teen I played Ligretto (Basically just a branded Nerts) at one party and we all had a blast. To this day I wish I had the opportunity to play it again, but I'm not a party guy nor do I have that many decks of cards so /shrug

I really hope someone actually makes this into a shirt like they did with the "priDEMONth" thing just to piss off conservatives lol

But Biden is shaking his fist very angrily! That has to count for something! /s

Recently I've actually been wondering how the hell researchers manage their citations for big projects, because a while back I started doing some research on the Cass Review, tripped on my own dick and accidentally ended up with 70-something disorganized citations (that I actually used) that were a pain in the ass to clean up.

I'm definitely checking out those first three software lol

Did the xLSTM end up going nowhere? I thought it looked pretty sexy.

She predicts the next token.

Well he is the oldest presidential candidate...