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Posts
43
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297
Joined
2 yr. ago

  • Not in cold blood. That refers to a degree of murder. Murder is any intentional killing of a person by another person. Homicide is any killing of a person by another regardless of intent (broader). Manslaughter is usually unintentional, but can also refer to the killing of another with a lesser intent (like the intent wasn't to kill specifically, but cause harm or something).

  • Okay, but high COL blue states aren't the only ones out there. If it costs twice as much to live in Tennessee as it does in Idaho, the Tennessee legislature (being largely Republican) will probably do fuck all about increasing the minimum wage. In fact they haven't.

  • The problem with having a universal minimum wage is the minimum is usually pegged to the state with the lowest COI, and there are usually assholes in government in higher COI states who will not require their state to set the minimum any higher. So you end up with people still struggling to survive because the minimum wage is too low and their state doesn't have any delta. Pegging the minimum wage to regional COI makes way more sense given the vast differences in COI between urban and rural parts of states.

  • He never said he wasn't going to. A media outlet reported on rumors he'd only committed to one term and everyone took that as gospel. Turns out he sort of maybe signaled it one interview with Slate as a maybe, he never said he'd only do one term.

  • I'm not sure that's correct. 538 was always a polling aggregator, but people treated it like 60% chance means "for sure." I think what we're now seeing is we don't actually have much good polling data due to extremism, and therefore sites like 538 aren't as valuable.

    I distinctly remember Silver refused to make a prediction on who would win in 2016 because he insisted that Trump's 33% odds according to 538 meant there was a very real chance of a Trump victory. But everyone came out an blamed Silver for calling it wrong.

    I don't actually like the guy, I think his analysis and political savvy is pretty weak and he comes off as incredibly arrogant. But he literally just runs a weighted data aggregator. So if the data is bad, his results will be bad too.

  • Tankies are literal authoritarians. People say they're "authoritarian communists," which ignores they're mostly Maoists or Stalinists, both of whom were closer to fascism than the left. It sort of ignores the basic premise of communism or even socialism to have a single authoritarian ruler. Kind of like how the Nazis called themselves socialists. I guess they were a workers' party to start, but I don't think you can reasonably conflate their ideology with the tenets of socialism.