So just to be clear - are you predicting that this new Switch will release in the window just before xmas 2024, as announcing a new console now and not releasing it for a while is tantamount to shooting their christmas sales for the original console in the foot?
If so I guess it depends - will the new console be backwards compatible? If so, people will likely continue to buy games now in the knowledge that they can upgrade later on. And there have been rumours of a new Switch for a while. I suspect most people who wanted an OLED Switch by now would've got one. I feel like they could announce the console now and release it after a year or two, without hurting themselves too badly.
Yes I think you're right about Pokémon. But Nintendo does often keep things under wraps until the last minute. Maybe we'll hear something about Metroid a few months prior to the release of the new console? It would make sense to keep a heavy hitter like that up their sleeve.
I think slowing down on first party releases is natural at the end of any generation - once dev kits are available it just makes financial sense for new games to be built on the upcoming hardware.
Will Nintendo reduce the price of the current Switch's games? I doubt it (at least any time soon). Unlike the Wii U at the end of its lifespan, the Switch is still popular and people are still buying games like BOTW. And working on the assumption that there will be backwards compatibility, it wouldn't be consistent with Nintendo's strategy to reduce prices now.
I could see the new Metroid Prime being a Switch 2 launch title, and maybe they've been working on something like Odyssey 2 for that purpose. I doubt we'll see another Animal Crossing or Smash game for a while.
Ah in which case there's this one where you might be able to see a total eclipse from a midnight sun AND the aurora borealis! (in certain areas of northern Russia)
It looks more like a solar eclipse in that panel than a lunar eclipse. So I was wondering if it's possible to have a solar eclipse at midnight. And yes it is!
This eclipse will start only a few hours after the northern solstice and most of the path will go across areas with midnight sun
Ah thanks for the useful links! Those articles are all quite fascinating. In the plaintext attacks article, I love the tactic mentioned here:
At Bletchley Park in World War II, strenuous efforts were made to use (and even force the Germans to produce) messages with known plaintext. For example, when cribs were lacking, Bletchley Park would sometimes ask the Royal Air Force to "seed" a particular area in the North Sea with mines (a process that came to be known as gardening, by obvious reference). The Enigma messages that were soon sent out would most likely contain the name of the area or the harbour threatened by the mines
I explained it poorly - what I mean to say is, two people trying to send the message 'Hello' for example both using the same public key would get the same output. So if you had a simple message like that, someone could work out by checking every word in the dictionary what your message was by checking if the output matched.
But I guess it's a bit of a moot point - it's unlikely that an encrypted message would ever be so simple. It could just as easily be much longer, and therefore basically impossible to guess the plaintext.
The public key is used within a function by the person sending the message, and even someone that knew the function and the public key wouldn't be able to decrypt the message, because doing so would require knowledge of the original prime numbers which they couldn't work out unless a computer spend years factoring the public key.
My only other bit of confusion:
If someone used a public key to encrypt the message "Hello", maybe it would spit out something like Gh5bsKjbi4
If someone else sent the exact same message I assume the outcome would also be identical, and therefore it would be possible by using common phrases to work out what was sent? I could type messages like Hi, Goodbye, Hola until I got to 'Hello' and realised it was the same output.
However I assume that a message like 'Hello, how are you?' would result in a completely different output (despite Hello appearing in both) and thus trying to work out any messages in a brute force way like this would be pointless.
So using the formula in that guide, you get a numerical value for O. But surely someone else could follow the same process and also get the same answer? Unless the primes change each time? But then how would the sender and receiver know the way in which the values change?
Oh that does look like it! I'll make sure to avoid eating ice lollies at the same time.