OldWoodFrame @ OldWoodFrame @lemm.ee

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2 yr. ago

I'm a dapper Dan man!

He voted for Trump. Not a ton of Democrats do that. Call me crazy but while I'd assume someone who ends up attempting assassination doesn't like the person they attempt assassinating, that doesn't mean they are automatically a member of the opposing political party. 1/3rd of Americans are independents.

Yeah that's not even enough for me to know if it's controversial. I, also, think SCOTUS will have different opinions on separation of powers.

This sort of story is dumb. Is that really the reason you wouldn't vote for someone? There must be more compelling points. So who is this for?

I think it's just circle-jerky "the team I hate also smells icky" stuff, like when Alex Jones said Obama and Hillary literally smelled like sulfur.

Not everything has to be 18D chess. Maybe they just hate Trump.

This thought terminating cliche is used on the right as well. It makes no sense (so...Trump is the one who "became black?") and just exists so people can reinforce their world view uncritically.

If you have an opinion, back it up with evidence and say that.

It's actually kind of smart for the presidential campaign to push for a government shutdown. Republicans will get blamed, but not Trump specifically.

And everyone looks bad in a shutdown to median voters. The immediate reaction is "just make a deal" which means Biden-Harris admin looks bad too...not as bad as Congressional Republicans but also bad, surely there are people who will (incorrectly) not think Voter ID laws are important enough for all this fuss either way.

Of course, the problem is that the Trump team are being too obvious with it so they WILL be blamed if it happens, now.

Same thing happened with the border bill...would have been genius if it failed without Trump meddling.

I don't think she started it. Very well could have popularized it.

Still gross to make that accusation about someone as reprehensible as Loomer. And it let's Trump off the hook. She's not traveling with him because of sexual favors, she's traveling with him because he supports her insane views.

I think it will, but people won't think it did. Harris was dropping slightly in the polls, Polymarket odds were up to 52/46 Trump. The betting markets being the most responsive item to check, it's currently 50/49 Trump, back to tied. I think polls will look similar, back to essentially tied, but that's where things were a couple weeks ago so it might just erase the mini slump from everyone's mind.

I liked her hit single Chalupitating.

Feels like it's more xenophobic. Obviously one assumes many of the referenced people are brown, but they are assumed poor too and we aren't saying it's classist. The thing that unites all of the people implicated in the claim is that they are foreigners.

This article is written monthly and read exclusively by people who agree with it. Not sure the purpose of it.

The CEO was just conspicuously spotted with one of these a couple weeks ago, looks like it was a marketing scheme as we suspected.

It's raising a minimum wage.

He's a paid something or other for them, why?

So annoying that Democrats propose something, the Republican majority opposes and entirely quashes it, and the "take" is that we should blame Democrats for not getting it done.

Republicans control the House and even if they didn't, there is nothing close to a majority vote of the House that want to impeach members of SCOTUS.

It's a chance of winning, not a poll, so 64% is high but not insane. Silver is serious and it's a decent model. Knowing the model there's a pretty good chance this is a high point for Trump but it's not like he's pulling this out of nowhere, he has had similar models every election cycle since like 2008.

If it's overstaying Trump it's because his model is interpreting the data incorrectly because of the weirdness of this election cycle. I personally think that is likely the case here.

I suspect Harris got her "convention bounce" (as defined by the model) right when she became the nominee, this made the model think she was overperforming pre-convention and now the bounce is fading "early" when the model thinks she should still have it so it seems like she's underperformed.

If this is the theory, knowing how close the swing states are and thus how swingy it can be, most likely this number goes back to maybe 55/45 Trump.