Grimpen @ Grimpen @lemmy.ca

Posts

5

Comments

398

Joined

2 yr. ago

They won't be able to afford our medical isotopes soon. These are raw material inputs into high value industries. This will damage US aerospace, automotive, etc.

Don't tariff your inputs! This means Boeing will pay a lot more for any aluminum (domestic capacity insufficient, and less price competition vs. eat the tariff).

It's going to suck, but at least I can revel in the schadenfreude as the US shoots itself in the foot.

Link's broken.

IsThisCanadian.ca

Shopper+, it's not as extensive and no third party resellers, but they're pretty good.

https://www.shopperplus.ca/

I find "Trump 2.0" useful to differentiate how I expect things to go down. Trump 1.0 came in and and flailed a lot. The US' system of checks and balances moderated many of his "policy goals". Trump 2.0 looks to replace competence in the bureaucracy with loyalty, and subverting any checks and balances.

A lot of power has accumulated within the office of the Presidency in the US. I used to figure that an advantage of the US system vs the Westminster model is that a PM with a majority in Parliament has very little he can't do, as long as they are able to whip the votes. It seems that the US has drifted into an elected King almost. Broad authority within the Presidency will probably not go away anytime soon.

This makes for a very unstable government, assuming elections even stay fair.

Trump is old, there is going to be a post Trump era soon, but I don't see a reversal if this model of governance. We can only deal with the US in 4 year terms from now on. Anything long term is too uncertain.

Developing more stable trading partners as well. The US is closer, and will always be next door, but I think Trump 2.0 has shown us that we should not integrate our economy with theirs at all, rather just trade with them "opportunistically". Long term partners should be developed elsewhere.

EU (CETA), Asia (CPTPP) and CANZUK need to be focused on.

There are a few of causes for hope.

First, Trump has surrounded himself with loyalists and sycophants, not competence. On the downside, this is how Putin ended up on year 3 of a 3-day "special military operation" in Ukraine. Trump is going to make incredibly stupid mistakes not just because he's stupid, but everyone he has surrounded himself with will be telling him how wonderful and clever he is. On the other hand, this is a good way to get clobbered by reality.

Canada and Mexico have responded with targeted tariffs and are also planning ahead to next steps. Heck, Canada just finalized a trade deal with Ecuador. Sure it's not going to replace the US, but it shows many competent people are out there working for Canada. Meanwhile the US government apparatus is going to be gutted of competent people.

Second, Canada does export a lot of raw materials, which should be easier to shift to other markets. Also things like hydo power and oil can probably absorb a fairly high increase in cost without being substantially effected. Hydro power as an example, can easily eat a 10% increase and still be the cheapest source of electricity. Canada could probably slap export tariffs on oil, hydro electricity, and potash and the US will just have to eat it.

Finally, Trump will probably continue tariffing the EU and other countries as well, further triggering retaliatory tariffs. This means Bosch, Samsung and LG will need to make more dishwashers to replace the Whirlpool and Maytag dishwashers that aren't going to be sold outside the US (as an example). It's going to suck, but Canada already has CETA and CPTPP to build on, and should be deepening CANZUK ties. The world is bigger than the US, and the US looks set to isolate themselves from everyone. Being on the outside in that case is better.

no one wins trade wars, but the kid who never stands up for himself always loses and for a long time

• Scotiabank Daily Points

I would have capital investment to the private sector. More just sign some deals, such as long term pricing or export permits, whatever. Trump is obsessed with oil and gas. If we signed some deals it would send a pretty cheap signal.

Premier Eby made some similar comments wrt approvals for mines and such. Slightly different, but if there is a global market and construction is going to take a while, might as well get building now.

The day before. Mixed feelings about being a member of a political party, but give it a whirl for a year I guess. Probably about to get bombarded with hyperbolic fundraising spam.

I bit the bullet and joined the Liberals just to support Mark Carney. I also think highly of Chrystia Freeland, but Carney's background is exactly what I'm coming around to thinking this country needs right now,

It's kind of too bad, I think Chrystia would make a good first elected female PM, in addition to just being a good PM, but Carney's history with BoC in 2008 and later BoE along with what I've heard him say just seems what's needed right now.

Heck yeah! If USMCA/NAFTA2 is out the window, ditch all that IP BS. Cory Doctorow is so correct!

Disappointingly true. We should absolutely fast track LNG and oil export deals overseas. Slap on an export tariff onto oil and Hydro.Trump already kind of blinked by only putting 10% on Canadian energy, so one of his oligarchs is begging. Double it to 20%, or equalize it to 25%. At the same time increase exports to the west. Prior to the Transmountain expansion, we were doing a "pipeline by rails". It's suboptimal, but no one wins in a trade war but not responding means you're going to loose worse.

Trudeau is too scared of Danielle Smith's wannabe Vichy Canada administration.

Hence my quote:

no one wins trade wars, but the kid who never stands up for himself always loses and for a long time

Scotiabank Daily Points

Copypasta my other comment:

The bulk of Canadian exports to the US are oil. We can certainly tariff US goods, but export tariffs on Canadian oil and hydro electricity to the US will probably be a big component of the Canadian response.

Even with a big increase on hydro power exports to the US, it's still cheaper than most other sources of electricity, so they'll still happily pay it.

As to oil, there are some refineries in the US that are set up to process Canadian bitumen. Canada's long history of just exporting raw materials and re-importing finished goods give a pretty outsized room to manuever here. This refineries will probably just pony up and pay more.

Where the damage will come is in areas like the auto sector, where there are tightly coupled supply chains.

Paul Krugman points out in his article The End of North America that there is probably already damage done to the concept of North American manufacturing.

Trump is going to do a whole lot of damage, we're going to take some of that damage, but my favourite quote on the topic:

no one wins trade wars, but the kid who never stands up for himself always loses and for a long time

Scotiabank Daily Points

The bulk of Canadian exports to the US are oil. We can certainly tariff US goods, but export tariffs on Canadian oil and hydro electricity to the US will probably be a big component of the Canadian response.

Even with a big increase on hydro power exports to the US, it's still cheaper than most other sources of electricity, so they'll still happily pay it.

As to oil, there are some refineries in the US that are set up to process Canadian bitumen. Canada's long history of just exporting raw materials and re-importing finished goods give a pretty outsized room to manuever here. This refineries will probably just pony up and pay more.

Where the damage will come is in areas like the auto sector, where there are tightly coupled supply chains.

Paul Krugman points out in his article The End of North America that there is probably already damage done to the concept of North American manufacturing.

Trump is going to do a whole lot of damage, we're going to take some of that damage, but my favourite quote on the topic:

no one wins trade wars, but the kid who never stands up for himself always loses and for a long time

Scotiabank Daily Points

That's exactly why I always enable the Compose key. It's the fastest and easiest way to just type a variety of Unicode glyphs. The key combinations trend to be intuitive as well.

There's a good chance the default config file will have a pretty decent selection. Although I have edited the config in the past, I haven't done it under KDE. The KDE article on setting up the compose key seems to say that KDE uses a different config file anyways.

Turning on the Compose key is pretty straightforward as I recall, just another setting under Keyboard settings. Finding that config file is still useful if you can't guess the right combo for your desired glyph.

Very useful for using character common in math and science.

Not exactly what you may be looking for, but one of the first things I set up in Linux is the "Compose" key. Sun keyboards in the 90's had a dedicated Compose key, and you can enable the functionality still. I usually set it to Right Alt.

The Compose key is kind of like an extended shift key, so 'Compose' + "c" + "/" for example will give you "¢".

The key combinations and characters can be edited in a config file (can't remember off the top of my head).

Not as versatile and an "Emoji picker", but allows quick insertion of Unicode glyphs into text. Useful for ¢£€¥™×° type characters.

I was looking! I probably will. Was looking through the reviews.

Jealous! I've wanted a Casio calculator watch since I was a child. Technically my off brand smart watch has a calculator, but it's not the same.

Chemical warfare. These bombers are carrying a chemical called "Dihydrogen Monoxide" or DHMO. What effect does adding a chemical containing Hydrogen and Oxygen to fires have?

Why isn't Trump talking about this Canadian chemical attack?

Pretty much the default for Steam Deck keyboard+mouse.

Works surprisingly well, just bind some keyboard shortcuts to the various other buttons and such.

Downside is that my right track pad is polished a little smooth in the middle. I blame the Master of Magic remake.