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2 yr. ago

  • I think you're putting too much weight on established precedent. The precedent you're citing were attacks made by non-state actors, and fighting back was easy since they didn't have air superiority. Precedent is going out the window if a more serious threat attacks a member state.

  • First, Rubio is parroting a wildly accepted fact. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2024/05/16/7455980/

    They've run out of youthful soliders and are drafting older men now.

    Second, I'd imagine the pace of losses would accelerate once Ukraine started drafting the elderly and children, but it won't come to that. Also a lot of Ukrainians have already left to dodge the draft.

    Lastly, why are we even piddling about troop numbers? They seem insignificant given the larger problems Ukraine is facing. Let's circle back to my original points.

    The main, possibly only, glimmer of hope in the article was "assets in and outside Russia had strong evidence that Russian arms production during 2025 has flatlined and is likely to contract, because of parts and labor shortages," and Russia is drafting 100,000 fewer men than last year. That seems well short of "starting to win," unfortunately. Ukraine also appears to be losing 1/3 of their military support if what Zelensky said in the article is true.

    Russia is fighting a war of choice but is continuing on with callous disregard for it's own troops. Their arms production is slowing down but so are their drafting efforts. North Korea is providing artillary shells and rockets. Ukraine is losing 1/3 of its military support and its army is aging. Unless they figure out how to fight in a new way that restores their ability to maneuver, then all they can hope for is a negotiated settlement.

  • Here I have a source too, one that's a bit more specific: https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-army-war-attrition/

    Relevant quote:

    "The problem that Ukraine is facing is not that they are running out of money, [it] is that they are running out of Ukrainians,” U.S. `Secretary of State Marco Rubio said during his confirmation hearing.

    My opinion: They're not going to win. Also it's disingenuous to say they've been holding back a Russian invasion for 11 years.

  • The main, possibly only, glimmer of hope in the article was "assets in and outside Russia had strong evidence that Russian arms production during 2025 has flatlined and is likely to contract, because of parts and labor shortages," and Russia is drafting 100,000 fewer men than last year. That seems well short of "starting to win," unfortunately. Ukraine also appears to be losing 1/3 of their military support if what Zelensky said in the article is true. Did I miss something?

  • I don't think you're wrong, I don't think you're quite right either. I do like what you're getting at. Bernie, relatively speaking, is way better than the other candidates we can currently choose from. That's what I'm getting at, you're attacking someone on a single issue and ignoring everything else they say and do. Hardly anybody will listen to you. They're writing you off as a weird, single issue voter. Don't you think your issues would have a better shot of being addressed if there were more people like Bernie in congress? Seems like abstaining instead of choosing the lesser evil also isn't working.

  • Just some life advice. I'm not sure what you're trying to accomplish with your comment, but a fairly awful person once said: however beautiful your strategy, you should occasionally look at the results.

    Really, there's nothing wrong with being an idealist but at some point you need to work with what you have.

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  • If Moscow perceives NATO as weak, Russia could be ready to wage a "large-scale war" in Europe within five years, the Danish Defense Intelligence Service (DDIS) has said.

    They didn't say Russia will, they said Russia could. I feel like this is fearmongering to a certain extent. How is the war in Ukraine going for Russia? They're winning, sure, but they're fighting hard for every kilometer and it's costing them. I really don't think any other country is worth as much as Ukraine is from Russia's point of view.

  • My favorite game in the series was Super Mario 3. I first played it on the SNES when it was part of the Super Mario All Stars cartridge. I really liked the levels, especially the variety of landscapes and the secrets you could find if you had the right powerup.

    Super Mario World is just as good imo. Everything I liked about 3 and more, plus the star road levels, that was a good game.

    The most recent game I loved was Yoshi's Wooly World on the WiiU. Excellent art style and super fun levels, especially the unlockable bonus levels.

    Oh and let's not forget Legend of the Seven Stars. That was a fun and bizarre story.

    That being said, does anyone else think the Mario universe is just fucking weird? How did the creators come up with Italian plumbers who can jump really high saving a Princess from an oversized turtle in a fantasy land with walking mushrooms? Who thought that was a good idea? What inspired them? I think the only reason it became popular was because Super Mario on the NES was one of the first decent games, and most players were kids who didn't care about the game's universe and narrative beyond saving the princess.

    If Mario wasn't the first popular platformer in the 80s and was instead introduced today, nobody would take it seriously. Since we all grew up with Mario, it's a thing we accept as is. Of course high jumping Italian plumbers discovered the mushroom kingdom and rescued their princess from Bowser, again and again and again. Of course little dudes with mushroom heads are ruled by a blond haired human. Of course giant pipes are a normal mode of transit. Of course goombas and koopa troopas are the baddies.

    Seriously, how did this universe come about?