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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)CO
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2 yr. ago

  • It always annoys me when I see something that boils down to 'nth order derivative flips sign' where it's unclear what order derivative the article is even talking about.

    To be clear this is a change in the direction of the trend of the month over month inflation index. So we're talking about some third order derivative changing sign. Which frankly is about to be expected, at that point any signal is going to be noisy.

    The more down to earth statement is that the month over month inflation was very high and has now stabilized somewhat at around 4.5%ish which is still high (works out to about 70% yearly). It needs to be about a tenth of that.

    Note that the decrease in the month over month inflation is not a sign of things improving. It is a sign of things getting worse at a slightly lower rate than earlier. That's what annoys me about using such high order derivatives, it obscures the real problem.

    Roughly speaking this article is discussing how far someone has pressed the gas pedal while heading towards a cliff, while the real problem is that they're pressing the gas pedal (or more urgently they're heading towards a cliff). Of course that last fact hasn't changed so they manufacture a news story out of it by finding a derivative that did.

  • Cookies are a non-issue. They store data only locally and can be edited and removed at will. With third party isolation on by default there's really no reason to worry about them much anymore. And if you do just install cookie auto-delete to clean things up.

    This variant is definitely worse because the data is no longer just local.

  • One of the better uses I've seen involved using this perspective to turn what was effectively a maximum likelihood fit into a full Gaussian model to make the predicted probabilities more meaningful.

    Not that it really matters much how the perspective is used, what's important is that it's there.

  • You also shouldn't ask how it manages to light only half of an otherwise flat earth I suppose.

    Best explanation I saw involved light curving. At which point you're just working with a spherical earth in a weird coordinate system.

  • In their presidential elections at least it's pretty much by design. It happens because they have 2 rounds.

    The first round the far-right option gets a relatively large amount of votes. Then the round after only 2 options remain, so anyone who doesn't want the far-right option just votes for the only other option. Not sure what happens in general elections, but presumably it's somewhat similar because there's still 2 rounds.

    As far as election systems go it has quite a lot of obvious flaws, but it's perhaps not quite as bad as first past the post. At least it makes the tactical voting a bit more straightforward.