Blackbeard @ Blackbeard @lemmy.world

Retirement edit: [I got famous](https://lemmy.world/post/22257957)! Canyon2

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2 yr. ago

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Part of me keeps hoping that there's some kind of systemic right-wing bias of modern polling methodologies, and that as time goes on we can count on the gap between polling and election results to get larger in the leftward direction. Gods what I wouldn't give for a systematic, nationwide trouncing of the GOP like the one Dems got from them in 2010. Instead it seems like we keep getting hope dangled in front of our faces and results are always middling, at best, with the rare exception of a Georgia runoff or an Alabama one-off.

I sure hope you're right that Cruz is in trouble. For all our sakes.

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Current polling data has Cruz trailing by 1 point

You're citing the only poll where Cruz is behind, so if we're talking about polling more broadly that's very much not true. His lead has been fairly consistent in the +3 to +5 range for months. Scott's lead is the same or bigger, again with one polling exception.

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He's term limited.

The party doesn't care about him, specifically. His polling has been under water for months, and anyone who's not utterly delusional knows he's about to get thumped by Stein. They're now worried that if he stays in the race over the next month and a half, he will continue to be a lightning rod for Democratic attacks, especially on abortion, and that'll continue to dampen Trump's messaging. Still not convinced NC could go blue, but if it does, Robinson will be hugely responsible for it. He's a fucking moron who makes Trump look sane and stable.

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