RubberDuck @ Badeendje @lemmy.world

Quak, Quak, quuaakk

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2 yr. ago

If you are asked where you differ from a whildly unpopular president in a time where all normal Americans are hurting bad, and you answer "nowhere".

And your points on the economy are essentially, the economy is booming..

You disqualify yourself, as we saw.

People did not want more of the same or small incremental change. And apparently the worry some have about fascism taking over is not believed by many.. politicians say a lot.. but they won't do that.

Time will tell.

Polio on the rise outside the Bible Belt.

The voters proved your theory wrong. Working class voted Trump or stayed home. How you you explain that... Because whatever Biden did.. 1) it was not enough and 2) Harris promised more of the same.

Harris said she could not think of anything she would do different from Biden in a period where Biden was remarkably unpopular and people are hurting, a lot. And she essentially promised them more of the same. "We won't go back" is not a promise to move forward. And her promises to help people start a business and give child credits.. does not help anyone not interested in starting a business, who already has kids or does not want kids. Everything was contingent on very narrow promises.

So the voters that needed change stayed home... They can say they did not vote for Trump and wash their hands of anything bad that happens.

Let's see how it pans out.

America will withdraw from anywhere without a direct financial benefit to the administration. This creates a vacuum and blind spots that will be filled by the US's adversaries, creating an even more opaque playing field for the US.

Heavily tarrifed sales to the US will be paid for by the US citizens while at the same time non US companies will see their sales in the US decline. If he removes income tax, this might be a bump in take home, but won't offset the rise in prices, especially not if US companies will just raise their prices to as close as possible match the non US alternatives making record profits.

Trump will demand countries pay for us protection, but having shown to be unreliable, this might mean some short term income for the US, the countries will scramble to be independent from the US and the US MIC as they cannot be trusted either (the us might stop sales, or even turn of supplied weapons).

The same for Ukraine, most likely Trump will just tell Europe to poney up the money and as long as the EU has no alternative they will have to, or they will allow Ukraine to fall, blaming it on trump. Regardless the relationship between the US and the EU will dramatically sour.

Since the EU is in an energy crisis, most likely Trump will try to price gouge the EU here as well.. on the other hand, drill baby drill could mean cheaper energy overall giving him severe leverage over countries in the middle east.

Luckily the police and the military have a bit different standards. Army generals are mostly well educated and very well read men who deal with the whole world and not just their neck of the woods, and possibly more important is that in the world of the military they do not have the monopoly on violence. They have to deal with adversaries who are equals and thus changes the power dynamic A LOT. A police captain can in the end just escalate all the way to the national guard and stomp out anything.. in the military they cannot as their escalations immediately leads to deaths and escalates all the way to nuclear Armageddon. So luckily they are of a different breed.

But now, trump might replace the top brass with his loyalists, (loyalty > competence) fast tracking some appointments of people that normally not have made it to that level.

The guard rails are off.. the world is in for a wild ride.

Power and prestige. In the US the billionaire class is revered as the shining beacon. Everyone wants to be them and history tells them they can be. You just have to get lucky. Like winning the lottery.

Maybe a warning for future generations about what is apparently acceptable discourse now.

If you got skills, pick a country and go to their immigration website. They will happily walk you through the process.

20 million people did not stay home over Palestine. People aware of that issue are also acutely aware of the fact Trump would be worse.

Apparently a lot of apathy among dem voters, or they also think a strongman for a while would be OK.

Yeah..

Never attribute to malice what can just as easily be explained by incompetence.

Top brass seem to swing the other way though. These are generations that tangled with Russia and china for decades now. They see much more behind the curtain than others do.

66 is only because of the filibuster right? Bit they could get rid of that if they would get a majority in the Senate... I know, its copium.but today I'm taking copium.

Fascism is very good for businesses. They squash dissent like unions and the publics voice. Then only the billionaire class will have a voice.

Y'all queda

If the Dems win and they don't put a boot on the neck of this fascist movement it will take over eventually.

So he's an industrial scale scab.

Probably also looking at previous elections to compensate.

But the simple fact is that the repubs lost way more of their voterbase to covid than the Dems did. So if you use proportional models, there is a good chance they are off by double the excess deaths in the republican party... And that is a lot.

All the vote predictions are inching to a 50 50 split. And pollsters are using AI to simulate real people and using that in their models.

I'm curious if the split will actually be this close, but everything screams that the models are not right.

And then the moment you see some smaller pollsters who actually did the legwork, you see deviation from the 50 50 split.

But still... The call to vote is excellent, cause last time around some states where decided by less than 15K votes.